Tempus AI (TEM) risk factors, 2025 10-K

Tempus AI's 2025 10-K lists 115 risk factors in 4 groups. No earlier 10-K is on file to compare against, so the most company-specific risks are read out below.

Risk factors listed
1154 groups
Section length
53k wordsItem 1A

What dominates the section

  • Regulatory and reimbursement uncertainty dominates, especially FDA oversight of LDTs and payer coverage for Genomics tests.
  • The business depends on monetizing de-identified healthcare data while managing privacy, cybersecurity, and AI-related legal risks.
  • Rapid growth requires substantial capital, laboratory capacity, clinical validation, and successful adoption by healthcare and pharmaceutical customers.

The risks most specific to Tempus AI

  • Certain of our tests are currently marketed as LDTs, and future changes in FDA enforcement discretion for LDTs could subject our operations to much more significant regulatory requirements

    Changes in FDA enforcement discretion could subject Tempus’s laboratory-developed tests to substantially greater regulatory requirements.

  • Risks Related to Our Business and Strategy

    The success of our business depends on our continued access to, and ability to monetize, de-identified patient data

    Tempus depends on obtaining, processing, monetizing, and distributing regulated de-identified healthcare data within legal and contractual limits.

  • Risks Related to Our Business and Strategy

    If third-party payers, including commercial payers and government healthcare programs, do not provide coverage of, or adequate reimbursement for, or reverse or change their policies related to our tests, our business, financial condition and results of operations will be negatively affected

    Payer coverage and reimbursement remain uncertain; Tempus had received payment on approximately 55% of clinical oncology NGS tests through 2023.

  • Risks Related to Our Business and Strategy

    We use AI in our products and services which may result in operational challenges, legal liability, reputational concerns and competitive risks

    AI integrated into Tempus’s diagnostics and data products could create operational, legal-liability, reputational, adoption, and competitive risks.

  • Risks Related to Our Business and Strategy

    Our use of generative AI tools may pose particular risks to our proprietary software and systems and subject us to legal liability

    Generative AI tools could expose Tempus’s proprietary software and systems to intellectual-property, confidentiality, and other legal risks.

  • Risks Related to Our Business and Strategy

    If we are unable to support demand for our current and future Genomics product line, including ensuring that we have adequate capacity to meet increased demand, or we are unable to successfully manage our anticipated growth, our business could suffer

    Increasing Genomics demand could overwhelm Tempus’s sample intake, customer service, billing, quality assurance, laboratory, and analytical capacity.

  • Risks Related to Our Business and Strategy

    If we are not successful in executing our strategy to increase sales of our Data and Services products to large pharmaceutical and biotechnology customers, our results of operations may suffer

    Selling Insights and other Data and Services products to large pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies involves lengthy, complex, high-cost sales cycles.

  • Risks Related to Our Business and Strategy

    Labor relations matters could have a material adverse effect on our business, reputation, prospects, results of operations and financial condition

    A labor-organizing petition involving certain Chicago laboratory employees could adversely affect operations, costs, reputation, and financial results.

All 115 risk factors

Headings as the filing states them, in filing order.

Other

  1. 01Our current or future products may not achieve or maintain sufficient commercial market acceptance
  2. 02Our diagnostic products, or our competitors’ diagnostic products, could have defects or errors or otherwise fail to meet the expectations of patients, physicians and third-party payers; in such cases our operating results, reputation and business could suffer
  3. 03Our existing and any future debt may affect our flexibility in operating and developing our business and our ability to satisfy our obligations
  4. 04International expansion of our business exposes us to business, regulatory, political, operational, financial, and economic risks associated with doing business outside of the United States
  5. 05Certain of our tests are currently marketed as LDTs, and future changes in FDA enforcement discretion for LDTs could subject our operations to much more significant regulatory requirements
  6. 06We previously identified a material weakness in our internal control over financial reporting. If we fail to maintain an effective system of internal control over financial reporting, we may not be able to accurately report our financial results or prevent fraud

Risks Related to Our Business and Strategy

  1. 07We have incurred significant losses since inception, we may continue to incur losses in the future, and we may not be able to generate sufficient revenue to achieve and maintain profitability
  2. 08our ability to further validate our Platform through clinical research and accompanying publications
  3. 09Our operating results may fluctuate significantly, which makes our future operating results difficult to predict and could cause our operating results to fall below expectations or any guidance we may provide
  4. 10general market conditions, including high and rising inflation rates, high interest rates, government bank closures, liquidity concerns at other financial institutions, and other factors, including factors unrelated to our operating performance or the operating performance of our competitors
  5. 11market acceptance of relatively new products
  6. 12The success of our business depends on our continued access to, and ability to monetize, de-identified patient data
  7. 13Our ability to execute our growth strategy and become profitable is highly dependent on a number of factors, many of which are interrelated
  8. 14Our limited operating history and rapid growth make it difficult to evaluate our future prospects and the risks and challenges we may encounter
  9. 15We may need to raise additional capital to fund our existing operations, develop our Platform, commercialize new products or expand our operations
  10. 16finance capital expenditures and general and administrative expenses
  11. 17the potential costs of and delays in product development as a result of any existing or new regulatory oversight applicable to our products
  12. 18Products that are under development have taken time and considerable resources to develop, and we may not be able to complete the development and commercialization of such products on a timely basis, or at all
  13. 19further develop and scale our infrastructure to be able to analyze increasingly large amounts of data
  14. 20failure to demonstrate the clinical utility of the diagnostic test
  15. 21anticipate and respond to our competitors’ development of new products and technological innovations
  16. 22We may not be successful in updating or otherwise enhancing our Platform and products
  17. 23If we are not successful in leveraging our Platform to identify, develop and commercialize additional genomic and algorithmic tests, our ability to expand our business and achieve our strategic objectives would be impaired
  18. 24If our existing and new products fail to achieve and sustain sufficient scientific acceptance, we will not generate expected revenue and our prospects may be harmed
  19. 25If we are unable to support demand for our current and future Genomics product line, including ensuring that we have adequate capacity to meet increased demand, or we are unable to successfully manage our anticipated growth, our business could suffer
  20. 26If third-party payers, including commercial payers and government healthcare programs, do not provide coverage of, or adequate reimbursement for, or reverse or change their policies related to our tests, our business, financial condition and results of operations will be negatively affected
  21. 27If we are unable to obtain or maintain adequate reimbursement for our Genomics product line outside of the United States, our ability to expand internationally will be compromised
  22. 28Even if public or private reimbursement is obtained, it may cover competing tests, or the reimbursement may be limited to a subset of the eligible patient population or conditioned upon local performance of the tests or other requirements we may have difficulty satisfying
  23. 29Labor relations matters could have a material adverse effect on our business, reputation, prospects, results of operations and financial condition
  24. 30We use AI in our products and services which may result in operational challenges, legal liability, reputational concerns and competitive risks
  25. 31Large Language Models are algorithms that can recognize, summarize, translate, predict, answer questions about, and generate content using very large datasets, such as our own multimodal clinical- molecular database
  26. 32Our use of generative AI tools may pose particular risks to our proprietary software and systems and subject us to legal liability
  27. 33We may experience challenges with the acquisition, development, enhancement or deployment of technology necessary for our businesses
  28. 34If we cannot compete successfully with our competitors, we may be unable to increase or sustain our revenue or to achieve and then sustain profitability
  29. 35The sizes of the markets for our current and future products have not been established with precision, and may be smaller than we estimate
  30. 36The industries in which we operate are subject to rapid change, which could make our Platform, our current products and any future products we may develop obsolete
  31. 37We may not be able to successfully market, sell or distribute our products, and if we are unable to expand our sales organization to adequately address our customers’ needs, our business, financial condition and results of operations may be adversely affected
  32. 38If we are not successful in executing our strategy to increase sales of our Data and Services products to large pharmaceutical and biotechnology customers, our results of operations may suffer
  33. 39the potential that advancements in AI allow our Data customers to develop models that serve as functional equivalents of our database and render our own products obsolete
  34. 40sales. As a result, in the event a sale is not completed or is canceled or delayed, we may have incurred substantial expenses, making it more difficult for us to become profitable or otherwise negatively impacting our financial results
  35. 41If our existing customers do not renew their licenses, do not buy additional products from us, or renew at lower prices, our business and operating results will suffer
  36. 42the business environment of our customers
  37. 43A significant portion of our Data and Services product line revenue are generated by sales to life sciences industry customers, and factors that adversely affect this industry could also adversely affect our Data business sales
  38. 44We have invested and expect to continue to invest in research and development efforts that further enhance our data analytics. Such investments may affect our operating results, and, if the return on these investments is lower or develops more slowly than we expect, our revenue and operating results may suffer
  39. 45If we are unable to collect receivables from our customers, our operating results may be adversely affected
  40. 46requiring us, in certain circumstances, to obtain approval from Ares and/or the lenders party to the Credit Agreement before embarking on certain mergers, acquisitions, capital expenditures, or other operational issues
  41. 47We rely on a limited number of suppliers or, in some cases, sole suppliers, for some of our laboratory instruments and materials and may not be able to find replacements or promptly transition to alternative suppliers
  42. 48Certain disruptions in supply of, and changes in the competitive environment for, raw materials and components integral to the manufacturing of our products may adversely affect our ability to achieve and maintain profitability
  43. 49If our existing laboratory and storage facilities become damaged or inoperable or we are required to vacate our existing facilities, our ability to perform our tests and pursue our research and development efforts may be jeopardized
  44. 50We rely on commercial courier delivery services to transport samples to our laboratory facility in a timely and cost-efficient manner and if these delivery services are disrupted, our business will be harmed
  45. 51If we cannot provide quality technical support and services for our Data and Services products, we could lose customers and our business and prospects will suffer
  46. 52Seasonality may cause fluctuations in our revenue and results of operations
  47. 53public health or similar issues, such as epidemics or pandemics, that could cause business disruption; and

Risks Related to Our Highly Regulated Industry

  1. 54increasingly scrutinizing certain personal data transfers and have proposed and may enact certain data localization requirements, for example, the Biden Administration’s executive order Preventing Access to Americans’ Bulk Sensitive Personal Data and United States Government-Related Data by Countries of Concern
  2. 55We conduct business in a heavily regulated industry, and changes in regulations or violations of regulations may, directly or indirectly, reduce our revenue, adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations
  3. 56Similar foreign laws and regulations in the countries in which we operate or may operate in the future
  4. 57the FDA may audit our clinical trial data and conclude that the data is not sufficiently reliable to support a PMA application
  5. 58Modifications to our FDA-cleared, approved or CE marked products may require new 510(k) clearances or premarket approvals or certification, or may require us to cease marketing or recall the modified products until clearances are obtained
  6. 59Our products may in the future be subject to product recalls. A recall of our products, either voluntarily or at the direction of the FDA or another governmental authority or regulatory authority, or the discovery of serious safety issues with our products, could have a significant adverse impact on us
  7. 60Even if we receive regulatory approval or certification of our products, we will continue to be subject to extensive regulatory oversight
  8. 61Any of these sanctions could also result in higher than anticipated costs or lower than anticipated sales of our products and have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations
  9. 62The FDA’s and other regulatory authorities’ policies may change and additional government regulations may be promulgated that could prevent, limit or delay regulatory clearance, approval or certification of our diagnostic tests
  10. 63We may never obtain approval or certification in foreign jurisdictions for any of our products and, even if we do, we may never be able to commercialize them in any other jurisdiction, which would limit our ability to realize their full market potential
  11. 64Failure to comply with federal, state and foreign laboratory licensing requirements and the applicable requirements of the FDA or any other regulatory authority, could cause us to lose the ability to perform our tests, experience disruptions to our business, or become subject to administrative or judicial sanctions
  12. 65number of whom may receive stock or stock options as compensation for services provided, do not comply with current or future corporate practice of medicine statutes, regulations, agency guidance or case law
  13. 66If the validity of an informed consent from patients regarding our tests was challenged, we could be forced to stop offering our products or using our resources, and our business, financial condition and results of operations could be negatively affected
  14. 67We may be subject to fines, penalties, licensure requirements, or legal liability, if it is determined that through our test reports we are practicing medicine without a license
  15. 68Our billing and claim processing are complex and time-consuming, and any delay in submitting claims or failure to comply with applicable billing requirements could hinder collection and have an adverse effect on our revenue
  16. 69the resources required to manage the billing and claim appeals process
  17. 70In March 2010, the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, as amended by the Health Care and Education Affordability Reconciliation Act, or the ACA, became law. This law substantially changed the way health care is financed by both commercial payers and government payers, and significantly impacted our industry
  18. 71We face risks related to handling of hazardous materials and other regulations governing environmental safety
  19. 72We could be adversely affected by violations of the FCPA and other anti-bribery laws

Risks Related to Our Intellectual Property

  1. 73Changes in patent law in the United States and other jurisdictions could diminish the value of patents in general, thereby impairing our ability to protect our Platform and products
  2. 74Issued patents covering our Platform or products could be found invalid or unenforceable if challenged
  3. 75We rely on licenses from third parties to provide certain products, and if we lose these licenses or if our rights under these licenses are limited, then our business will be adversely impacted
  4. 76If we do not prevail in such disputes, we may lose any of such license agreements, the license agreements may not be meaningful for our business and operations, and we may be subject to unnecessary or additional payment obligations
  5. 77Moreover, if disputes over licensed intellectual property impair our ability to enforce licensed intellectual property against third parties or use it to defend ourselves in litigation, the value of such licensed intellectual property may be diminished
  6. 78If we cannot license and maintain rights to use third-party intellectual property on reasonable terms, we may not be able to successfully commercialize our products. Our licensed or acquired technology may lose value or utility over time
  7. 79We may not be able to protect or enforce our intellectual property rights adequately throughout the world
  8. 80If we are unable to protect the confidentiality of our trade secrets, the value of our Platform and other technology could be materially adversely affected and our business could be harmed
  9. 81We may be subject to claims that our employees, consultants or independent contractors have wrongfully used or disclosed confidential information of third parties or that our employees have wrongfully used or disclosed trade secrets of their former employers
  10. 82We may not be able to protect and enforce our trademarks and we could infringe or otherwise violate others’ trademarks and if our trademarks are not adequately protected, then we may not be able to build name recognition in our markets of interest
  11. 83We may be subject to claims challenging the inventorship or ownership of our owned or licensed intellectual property or claims asserting ownership of what we regard as our own intellectual property
  12. 84Obtaining and maintaining our patent and trademark protection depends on compliance with various required procedures, document submissions, fee payments and other requirements imposed by governmental patent agencies, and our patent protection could be reduced or eliminated for non-compliance with these requirements
  13. 85Patent terms may be inadequate to protect our competitive position for an adequate amount of time
  14. 86Intellectual property rights do not necessarily address all potential threats
  15. 87Our products contain third-party open source software components and failure to comply with the terms of the underlying open source software licenses could restrict our ability to sell our products or may require us to publicly disclose our proprietary software
  16. 88The legislative, judicial and regulatory landscapes relating to AI are evolving and may impact our ability to use AI, and could limit our ability to operate and expand our business, cause revenue to decline and adversely affect our business

Risks Related to Ownership of Our Class A Common Stock

  1. 89The dual class structure of our common stock will have the effect of concentrating voting control with our Chief Executive Officer, Founder and Chairman, which will limit your ability to influence the outcome of important decisions
  2. 90We have not elected to take advantage of the “controlled company” exemption to the corporate governance rules for publicly listed companies but may do so in the future
  3. 91We cannot predict the impact our dual class structure may have on the market price of our Class A common stock
  4. 92An active public trading market for our Class A common stock may not continue to develop or be sustained
  5. 93Future sales of our Class A common stock in the public market could cause the market price of our Class A common stock to decline
  6. 94We do not intend to pay dividends for the foreseeable future and, as a result, your ability to achieve a return on your investment will depend on appreciation in the price of our Class A common stock
  7. 95We are an “emerging growth company,” and we cannot be certain if the reduced reporting and disclosure requirements applicable to emerging growth companies will make our Class A common stock less attractive to investors
  8. 96Anti-takeover provisions in our charter documents and under Delaware law could make an acquisition of our company more difficult, limit attempts by our stockholders to replace or remove our current management and limit the market price of our Class A common stock
  9. 97any claim or cause of action against us that is governed by the internal affairs doctrine
  10. 98economic and market conditions in general, or in our industry in particular
  11. 99If securities or industry analysts do not publish research or publish unfavorable or inaccurate research about our business, the market price and trading volume of our Class A common stock could decline
  12. 100We will incur increased costs as a result of operating as a public company, and our management will be required to devote substantial time to compliance with our public company responsibilities and corporate governance practices
  13. 101Our business could be adversely affected by the effects of health pandemics or epidemics. For example, the COVID-19 global pandemic and the various attempts throughout the world to contain it created significant volatility, uncertainty and disruption
  14. 102We may also experience losses related to investments in other companies, which could have a material negative effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations. We may not realize the anticipated benefits of any acquisition, technology license, strategic alliance or joint venture
  15. 103Our ability to use our net operating loss carryforwards and certain other tax attributes may be limited
  16. 104Taxing authorities may successfully assert that we should have collected or in the future should collect sales and use, value added, or similar taxes, and we could be subject to tax liabilities with respect to past or future sales, which could adversely affect our results of operations
  17. 105We did not design or maintain an effective control environment due to an insufficient complement of personnel with the appropriate level of technical accounting and financial reporting knowledge and experience commensurate with our financial reporting requirements
  18. 106Refer to "Part II, Item 9A. Controls and Procedures" for management’s assertion with respect to the effective disclosure controls and procedures in place as of the end of the period covered by this Annual Report on Form 10-K
  19. 107Our disclosure controls and procedures may not prevent or detect all errors or acts of fraud
  20. 108Our employees, principal investigators, consultants and commercial partners may engage in misconduct or other improper activities, including non-compliance with regulatory standards and requirements and insider trading
  21. 109Legal claims and proceedings could adversely impact our business
  22. 110Certain of our officers, directors and principal stockholders may pursue corporate opportunities independent of us that could present conflicts with our and our stockholders’ interests
  23. 111If we were to be sued for product liability or professional liability, we could face substantial liabilities that exceed our resources
  24. 112We depend on information technology systems, including on-premises, co-located and third-party data centers and platforms, and any interruptions of service or failures may impair and harm our business, financial condition and results of operations
  25. 113In the ordinary course of our business, we and the third parties with whom we work, process proprietary, confidential, and sensitive data, including personal data (such as large amounts of personal health and financial information), intellectual property, and trade secrets ,or collectively, sensitive information
  26. 114Remote work has increased risks to our information technology systems and data, as our employees utilize network connections, computers and devices outside our premises or network, including working at home, while in transit and in public locations
  27. 115resolution of any such incidents or to estimate the amounts or ranges of potential loss, if any, that could result therefrom. If we cannot successfully resolve a security incident or contain any potential loss, it could materially impact our business, financial condition and results of operations

Other Tempus AI 10-Ks

  • 2026 10-K risk factors

    117 risks. Tempus AI faces substantial financial losses, accumulating $2.4 billion in deficit as of December 31, 2025. Reimbursement uncertainties and reliance on de-identified patient data heavily impact core diagnostics. The business carries significant debt, including $206.0 million in term loans and $750.0 million in convertible notes.

    Filed Feb 24, 2026

About this page

Item 1A of the 10-K on EDGAR was split into its risk factors and, where the company's previous 10-K is on file, each heading was matched to last year's and the text compared word for word. The headings are the filing's own. The one-line readings and the overview were written by a language model from the text of the new, dropped, and rewritten risks; they refer to risks by position and cannot misquote a heading.

Tempus AI (TEM) Risk Factors: 2025 10-K, What Changed | Gloomberb