Agios Pharmaceuticals (AGIO) Q2 2026 earnings call transcript

Transcript, summary, guidance, and what analysts pressed on from the Agios Pharmaceuticals, Inc. call on July 30, 2026.

Held
July 30, 2026
Length
58 min
Tone
Confident0.82
Analysts
7
Words
8,126
Q2 added prescriptions
200442 cumulative by June 30
Cumulative prescriptions
442Unique patients only
Payer policy coverage
~75% of thalassemia livesU.S. coverage
Treatment initiation timing
10-12 weeksExpected launch-maturity range
Initial target patients
~4,000About 50% non-transfusion-dependent
Energize continuation
Over 90%Clinical trial to open-label
Sickle-cell Medicaid rebate
23%Mandatory rebate

Summary

Management framed the quarter as disciplined launch execution, with thalassemia broadening beyond early adopters and sickle-cell preparation becoming the next catalyst.

  • $5M$5 million of U.S. revenue reflected one-time stocking benefits, making second-quarter sales less representative of underlying demand.
  • 442 prescriptions included unique patients only; management said refills are increasing but declined to quantify refill rates or patients on therapy.
  • Revenue will replace REM-certified prescriptions as the primary commercial metric after third-quarter reporting.
  • Sickle-cell pricing, branding, and launch-label details remain unquantified until potential approval.

Guidance

  • $50M2026 U.S. revenue $45-$50 million
  • $25M2026 operating expenses approximately flat versus 2025, excluding $25 million upfront payments
  • 10%Gross-to-net 10%-20%, with quarter-to-quarter variability
  • 10-12 weeks average time to treatment initiation at launch maturity
  • November 1 PDUFA date for sickle-cell disease
  • Sickle-cell revenue not expected to materially contribute to 2026 full-year revenue

What analysts pressed on

  • 01Persistence after six months: management cited clinical-trial experience as the best proxy but said real-world data remain early.
  • 02Sickle-cell pricing and branding: management deferred specifics until approval, citing the eventual label and competitive environment.
  • 03Thalassemia patient mix: non-transfusion-dependent adoption is growing, with broader community penetration expected to continue.
  • 04Prescription sustainability: management declined to provide specific third-quarter prescription guidance and emphasized revenue conversion dynamics.
  • 05Gross-to-net: management reiterated the 10%-20% range while acknowledging quarterly variability.
  • 06Sickle-cell REMS: management said hepatocellular injury was not observed, so a REMS may not be warranted.

Notable disclosures

  • Post-launch refills are occurring in months two and three, but management declined to quantify refill rates or total treated patients.
  • 90%Over 90% continuation was reported from Energize into open-label treatment, though management cautioned clinical-trial persistence remains a proxy.
  • 60%60% of non-transfusion-dependent extension patients met hemoglobin-response criteria, supporting broader population expansion.
  • 50%Approximately 4,000 patients comprise the initial thalassemia target, with about 50% non-transfusion-dependent.
  • Composition-of-matter protection for mitapivat was placed at 2035, with potential additional patent extensions.

Risks raised

  • Six-month response evaluations could affect continuation as the earliest launch cohort reaches an important treatment-assessment point.
  • Non-transfusion-dependent patients have less frequent healthcare interactions, potentially lengthening initiation timelines toward 10-12 weeks.
  • Quarterly revenue may vary with order timing, inventory movement, gross-to-net dynamics, and persistence.
  • Sickle-cell economics may be less favorable because Medicaid carries a mandatory 23% rebate.
  • Sickle-cell pricing remains exposed to the eventual label and competitive environment.

Tone: Confident 0.82

The tone was strongly positive on launch execution and pipeline catalysts, tempered by early persistence uncertainty and unquantified sickle-cell commercial economics.

Who spoke

Company

  • Morgan SanfordInvestor Relations
  • Brian GoffChief Executive Officer
  • CeciliaChief Financial Officer
  • Sveta
  • Sarah

Analysts

  • Tess RomeroAnalyst, J.P. Morgan
  • Unidentified AnalystAnalyst, Bank of America
  • Samantha SemenkowAnalyst, Citi
  • Eric SchmidtAnalyst, Cantor
  • Emily BodnarAnalyst, H.C. Wainwright
  • Andrew BerensAnalyst, Lee Rink
  • Marc FrahmAnalyst, TD Cowen

Full transcript

Analyst questions are marked with a bar. Timestamps are into the recording.

Prepared remarks

00:00

Good morning, and welcome to AGIOS PHARMACEUTICALS' second quarter 2026 conference call. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. There will be a question-and-answer session at the end. Please be advised that this call is being recorded at AGIOS request.

00:00

Morgan SanfordInvestor Relations

I would now like to turn the call over to Morgan Sanford, Head of Investor Relations at AGIOS.

00:23

Brian GoffChief Executive Officer

Thank you, operator. Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us to discuss AGIOS Pharmaceuticals' second quarter 2026 financial results and business highlights. You can access the slides for today's call by going to the investors section of our website, agios. com. Please note we'll be making certain forward-looking statements today. Actual events and results could differ materially from those expressed or implied by any forward-looking statements because of various risks, uncertainties, and other factors, including those in the last few weeks. I will now turn the call over to Brian. Thank you for joining us. Before we review our second quarter results, I'd like to take a step back and highlight the strong position from which AGIOS is executing as we continue advancing toward our goal of building a multi-billion dollar rare disease business.

We are executing against multiple drivers of value creation, including the launch of acvesmine and thalassemia, the potential expansion of mitipivet into sickle cell disease, and a pipeline that continues to grow through both internal innovation and disciplined business development. During the quarter, we further strengthened our portfolio with the addition of Cevadoquinib, a next-generation, highly-selected oral-stick inhibitor that expands our rare hematology franchise into immune thrombocytopenia, or ITP. We also advanced AG236 into an operationally seamless Phase 2-3 program in polycythemia vera, adding another potential growth driver within hematology.

Beyond hematology, AG181 continues to progress, and we expect Phase 1b proof-of-mechanism data in phenylketonuria patients in the second half of the year. We also continue to apply a disciplined approach to portfolio management, making focused investment decisions and directing resources toward opportunities with the greatest potential to create value for patients and shareholders. As you'll hear throughout today's call, our progress this quarter reflects the strength of that strategy, combining commercial execution, pipeline advancement, discipline capital allocation, and strategic business development to position AGIOS for sustainable long-term growth.

Turning to our second quarter highlights on the next slide, we delivered a quarter marked by strong commercial performance, meaningful pipeline progress, and continued portfolio discipline. First, we delivered sustained commercial momentum with $44.7 million in total net revenue, including $40.9 million in the U. S. and 442 cumulative acvesme prescriptions for REM-certified physicians.

Second, we further diversified our pipeline through the in-licensing of Cevadoquinib, a next-generation, highly selective oral sick inhibitor for ITP, progressing toward Phase III and strengthening our rare hematology pipeline.

Third, we advanced Mitipivet toward a potential new indication in sickle cell disease. During the quarter, we received FDA acceptance of our SNDA with priority review and were assigned a PDU faculty of November 1st, bringing us one step closer to delivering a first-in-class medicine in an area of significant unmet need. And finally, we ended the quarter with approximately $1 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities, providing financial flexibility to support both commercial growth and pipeline progression. Overall, we entered the second half of 2026 with strong commercial delivery, a more diversified pipeline, an important near-term regulatory catalyst, and the capital position to execute on our strategy.

With that, please advance to the next slide, and I'll turn the call over to Cecilia to discuss financials.

05:06

CeciliaChief Financial Officer

Thank you, Brian. Next slide, please. Turning to our second quarter financial results, total Mesapeva's net revenue was $44.7 million, including $40.9 million in the U. S. and $3.8 million outside the U. S. Cost of sales for the quarter was $3 million, and research and development expense was $100.8 million, compared to $91.9 million in the second quarter of 2025. Primarily due to an increase in in-process research and development of $15 million, driven by the $25 million upfront payments associated with the agreement of OSTEP. Settings general and administrative expense was $61.5 million, compared to $45.9 million in the prior year period, reflecting an increase in commercial-related activities as we executed our launch of investment in 17 years.

Net loss for the second quarter of 2026 was $10.7 million, compared to a net loss of $112 million for the second quarter of 2025. We ended the quarter with approximately $1 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities, which we believe provides financial flexibility to support commercial execution, advancement of our pipeline, and continued investment in opportunities to create long-term value.

Turning to our outlook for 2026, we continue to expect approximately $45 to $50 million on PKG efficiency revenues in the U. S. Full-year operating expenses are expected to remain approximately flat versus 2025, excluding the $25 million upfront payments associated with the SEBI-DOP-BNF-IN licensing transactions recognized in the second quarter, and include investments to prepare for a potential sickle cell disease launch aligned with our November 1st producer days.

Our priorities for the remainder of the year remain clear. Driving the advancement launch, preparing for a potential sickle cell disease approval, advancing our pipeline, and maintaining financial discipline. Please advance to the next slide, and I'll turn it over to Svada to cover commercial highlights and our Vesme U. S. select email launch program.

07:30

Sveta

Thanks, Cecilia. Next slide, please. With six months of launch experience now behind us, we are encouraged by the underlying drivers of performance. What we have seen so far continues to reinforce our confidence in the long-term of PHASME opportunity in Thalassemia. Importantly, the strong execution across our commercial and patient-focused organizations further strengthen our confidence in future launch opportunities. In the U. S. , performance reflected continued growth in telecine demand and solid commercial execution. Net revenue in the quarter reflected approximately $5 million of one-time benefits related to stocking and thalassemia, along with modest gross-to-net favorability.

We continue to expect gross-to-net within our previously guided 10-20% range, with quarter-to-quarter variability. Outside the US, we delivered $3.8 million in net sales reflecting anticipated demand for telethemia in Europe, following approval, and continued consistent early demand for telethemia in the GCC. As we have seen consistently across rare disease launches, the shape of new patient starts naturally moderates as adoption broadens beyond the earliest waves of highly motivated patients and prescriberies. We continue to expect quarter-to-quarter revenue variability, reflecting order timing, inventory movement, and growth-to-net dynamics.

Next slide, please. I am very pleased with the continuous U. S. launch performance of Aspesme. During the second quarter, we generated an additional 200 prescriptions from RENT-certified physicians, bringing cumulative prescriptions to 442 as of June 30th. As a reminder, this metric captures unique prescriptions for patients with completely SPARMACEFORM from RANCE-certified physicians and serves as an early indicator of underlying demands. Importantly, the underlying launch dynamics remain healthy. While demand continues to come from highly motivated patients, we saw a growing proportion of non-transfusion dependent patients in the second quarter. A profile consistent with a therapy moving beyond the earliest, most motivated cohort of transfusion dependent patients. We continue to see strong conversion from prescription to treatment initiation.

Time to start is naturally trending toward our anticipated 10-12 week range as adoption broadens across the NGDP population, where treatment decisions often involve more deliberate clinical discussions and patients may have less frequent interactions with the healthcare system. Access continues to strengthen, and we now have approximately 75% of the latimia lives covered under payer policies. Additionally, physician rent certification continues to progress in steps with prescribing activity, and it's not a barrier to patient access. As the launch matures, prescriptions with completed start forms become a less informative measure of performance, whereas revenue increasingly reflects both new patient starts and persistence on therapy. For that reason, in anticipation of a potential FDA approval for mid-to-pivot in sickle cell disease, we plan to discontinue reporting prescriptions from REM-certified physicians after the third quarter and transition to revenue as our primary measure of commercial performance.

Upon a potential, sickle cell disease approval will assess the most meaningful metrics to communicate the progress and outlook of the broader MetaViva structure. Next slide, please. I wanted to take a few moments to highlight the LASCMIA launch considerations in the second half of this year. The first half reflected a distinct initial phase of the launch. The first quarter benefited from a strong pre-launch anticipation and momentum built in the period leading to approval following the more than three-month PADUFA delay. Second quarter demand continues to reflect adoption from highly motivated patients and prescribers, with time-to-treatment initiations beginning to approach our anticipated 10-12 week average at launch maturity.

Looking ahead, we expect the shape of the launch to naturally evolve. Adoption is expanding into a broader, non-transfusion-dependent population, where patients are typically seen less frequently and treatment decisions may take more time. As the patient mix continues to shift toward non-transfusion dependent patients, we expect time to treatment initiation to move well within the 10-12 week range we consistently discuss. We are also mindful that the first cohort of patients who initiated therapy in the earliest months at launch is approaching six months of treatment, a natural point at which physicians assess clinical response. This is an important part of the treatment journey, and it is the period during which we will begin to build a broader, real-world understanding of how physicians and patients evaluate response and integrate MISA PIVOT into long-term care.

Taken together, this dynamic reinforces that ACFESME is delivering a healthy launch that is successfully progressing beyond the initial wave of adoption and into a broader expansion phase. As we move through the second half of the first launch year, our focus remains on expanding reach across the thalassemia community. expanding adoption in the non dependent segment while continuing to add new prescribers We remain highly confident in the long opportunity for a spasmid and in our ability to build a durable growing pterosemia franchise over time Please move to the next slide. We are actively preparing for a potential sickle cell disease launch in the U. S. and are encouraged by both the commercial opportunity and the unmet need we see in this community.

Our initial launch focus is on approximately 25,000 patients who are actively treated or in need of therapy today. We believe that population alone represents a meaningful opportunity for MitaViva, with potential to expand beyond the initial segment over time. Importantly, we are leveraging the capabilities, relationships, and insights we have developed through the 13-year launch, while continuing to invest in market access, education, and community engagement activities ahead of the Paducah Gold Days.

Pending FDA approval, we believe this effort is positioned as well to support a successful launch and to deliver an incentive to patients in need of innovative treatment options. Please move to the next slide, and with that, I will hand the call over to Spera to cover key R&D highlights from the quarter.

16:07

Sarah

Thank you, Spera. Turning to our pipeline on the next slide, following recent portfolio prioritization decisions, we remain focused on advancing a diversified rare hematology portfolio with opportunities across multiple stages of development. Ms. Apebot continues to anchor the portfolio with approved indications in Firebase Chinese efficiency in Palestinia, and a potential accelerated approval in sickle cell disease later this year. During the first half of this year, we achieved an important milestone with palestinia approvals in Europe and the UAE, completing regulatory approvals across all four priority launch geographies following prior approvals in the U. S. and KFSA.

Since first quarter results, we filed and received acceptance in the U. S. for the Mitapivat SNDA in sickle cell disease with priority review and the Fidufa goal date of November 1st. We remain committed to bringing Metapivast to patients with sickle cell disease and recently dosed the first patients in REIGNITE, our phase 3 confirmatory trial, an important milestone in advancing the program.

We also strengthened the pipeline during the quarter through the in-licensing of stevidofflinib, a next-generation stick inhibitor that expands our reach within rare hematology and adds a compelling opportunity in immune thrombocytopenia. Beyond METAPIVAT and SEVIDOPLINIT, we continue to invest in future growth drivers, including AG236 in Polycythinia Vera and AG181 in Penil-Kethanuria. Taken together, we believe the pipeline reflects a focused allocation of capital and resources towards programs where we see the greatest potential to create long-term value for patients and shareholders. Please move to the next slide. As we discussed when we announced the in-licensing of stevidofflinib, our interest in the program is grounded in its potential to address some of the limitations that have historically constrained the stick inhibitor class.

Stevidofflinib was designed to optimize both selectivity and pharmacokinetics, supporting sustained target inhibition while maintaining a tolerability profile suitable for chronic use. The clinical data generated to date are encouraging and support this design rationale, demonstrating dose-dependent activity, no dose-limiting toxicity through Phase 2, and evidence of durable flabulous responses. Taken together, these data support a rationale for advancing Pseudoplinip as a next-generation, highly selective stick inhibitor. We are looking forward to engaging with the FDA in the coming months to align on progression through Phase 3. Next slide, please. At EHA in June, we were pleased to share a broad body of data across both thalassemia and sickle cell disease that continues to strengthen our confidence in metastasis.

Across the portfolio, we have 10 aspects accepted, including the RISEUP phase 3 study, which was selected for the EHA oral plenary session. In sickle cell disease, RISE-UP demonstrated hemoglobin responses consistent with the mechanism of PK activation, with hemoglobin responders experiencing clinically meaningful improvement in sickle cell pain crisis-related endpoints and fatigue. At eHAO, we presented new data showing clinically meaningful reductions in transfusion burden and red blood cell units transfused across the total trial population, exceeding historical experience with hydroxyurea.

Importantly, outcomes from the subgroup of patients with at least one transfusion in the 52 weeks prior to enrollment directly informed the treatment effect and firing assumptions for the ongoing REIGNITE confirmatory trial supporting accelerated approval. We also presented additional patient-reported outcomes data showing clinically meaningful improvements in how hemoglobin responders feel and function, including reductions in physical pain. In addition, 66-week follow-up data from the Satisfied Phase II investigator-sponsored trial in related membranopsies show robust hemoglobin response rate and mean hemoglobin improvement, as well as suggesting decreased iron burden. In non-transfusion-dependent phallicemia, we shared open-nabel extension data showing that 60% of patients continuing on MISAPICALS met criteria for hemoglobin response, and 60% of patients who switched onto MISAPICALS in the open-nabel extension achieved hemoglobin response.

Additionally, subgroup analyses indicate high hemoglobin response rates for non-transfusion dependent patients with high baseline hemoglobin levels, indicating that less severely anemic NPD patients achieve improvements in hemoglobin levels and fatigue. These data were received very favorably by the salisthenia community and reinforced the value of misapigab in non-transfusion dependent patients, which comprise the majority of the ICMOS adult patients in the U. S. Taken together, these data reinforce the consistency of Misapivax profile across indications and further strengthen our confidence in the long-term potential of Misapivax in hemolithic immunology. While we continue to advance and expand the Misapivax opportunity, we are also focused on building the next generation of potential growth drivers within rare immunology. AT236 is an important example of that strategy.

Next slide, please. Following encouraging phase 1 data, we're advancing AG236 into an operationally seamless phase 2-3 development program in polysactamia zero. What continues to differentiate AG236 is its potential profile with an evolving strengthens landscape. The molecule demonstrates the subside and induction through day 57 and favorable effects on iron parameters in extended follow-up, supporting the potential for an every-six-month dosing regimen without saturation. The Phase 2 portion of the study is designed to identify the optimal therapeutic window across multiple dose levels while enabling efficient progression into the registrational portion of the program. More broadly, the C1 Phase 2-3 strategy reflects our commitment to disciplined execution while advancing development as efficiently as possible with Phase 2 initiation plan for the second half of 2026.

We believe AG-236 has the potential to further diversify our rare hymology leadership and contribute to our long-term growth beyond misapplication. With that, please move to the next slide, and I will hand the call back to Brian for closing remarks.

22:34

Brian GoffChief Executive Officer

Thank you, Sarah. Next slide, please. As we look across the business, we continue to make meaningful progress against the strategic priorities we established for 2026. We're building commercial momentum with akbesmium thalassemia, reaching 442 cumulative prescriptions as of June 30th. We're advancing midipivat toward a potential approval in sickle cell disease, which represents an important opportunity to expand our PK activation franchise and a potential next growth driver for the company. We're also advancing AG236, our siRNA-TEMPIR6 inhibitor for polycythemia vera, into an operationally seamless Phase 2-3 program expected to begin in the second half of this year.

And during the quarter, we further diversified our portfolio through the addition of cevidoplinib, a next-generation highly selective sick inhibitor in ITP progressing toward Phase 3. Importantly, our progress this year reflects both execution and discipline. We're investing behind the opportunities where we believe AGIOS can have the greatest impact for patients and create the strongest long-term value for shareholders. Next slide. Taken together, we enter the second half of the year with a growing commercial foundation, a meaningful near-term regulatory catalyst, and an increasingly diversified pipeline in the financial strength to execute on our strategy. Next slide, please. Today, AGIOS is anchored by a growing commercial business and supported by a pipeline spanning multiple development stages and disease areas.

Across the portfolio, we are pursuing opportunities where differentiated biology, meaningful patient unmet need, and disciplined execution can support durable long-term growth. Collectively, these opportunities represent rare disease markets, estimated at more than $10 billion in 2030. Before we open the call for questions, I'd like to thank the entire AGIOS team for their unwavering commitment to patients and their continued dedication to executing on our strategy. Their passion, resilience, and focus have been instrumental in the progress we've made this year. And with that, thank you all for joining us today. Operator, we're ready to begin the question and answer session.

Questions and answers

25:03

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, to ask the question, please press start 1-1 on your telephone, then wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press start 1-1 again. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster.

25:24

Unidentified AnalystAnalyst, Bank of America

Our first question comes from the line of Alex Stranahan with Bank of America. Your line is open. Hey, guys. Thanks for taking my questions, and congrats on the really strong quarter here. Two questions from me.

First, on time on treatment in the commercial setting, do you think the energized studies are a good barometer here? Just trying to think about how the dynamic of patients potentially coming off their pee could play into second-half sales. And then, you know, when you look at the time on treatment, did this change at all between 1Q to 2Q? Did it move closer or further away from that 10 to 12-week average range that you're setting out? And I guess, are you starting to see any repeat prescriptions under the REMS program at this point? Thank you.

26:14

Brian GoffChief Executive Officer

Thanks, Alex. So, two-parter. So, Sveta, you can take the first one. Actually, you'll take both of these on time on treatment and Energize as an analog. And then the second one, I think, Alec, you're asking about not time on treatment, but time to treatment from the demand to initiation. So, Sveta, you want to take that?

26:32

Sveta

Absolutely. We are very pleased with the strong initial start of the QASMI launch, Alec. And as we mentioned, we have in total 442 prescriptions from REM-certified physicians for the first two quarters of the launch. As we look ahead, in the first couple of quarters, we benefited from faster than anticipated time treatment initiation, so it was faster than the 10th 12th week, given that we had prescriptions coming from highly motivated patients and physicians. Keeping that in mind, we will start to reach the natural point of the six months at which physicians and patients are going to evaluate benefits for the product and continuations rate. But that's going to be more in the second half of the year, and we will monitor that closely.

Currently, what we see from the market is a very strong feedback and a positive feedback from the community. So we expect continuation rates to be in line with the energized study.

And, you know, we'll continue to monitor that, but the product performance is very strong in the market. When it comes to time to treatment initiation, we start seeing that as we penetrate into the entity settings to move closer and closer to what we initially expected, the 10 to 12 week range. And as we move into the second half of the year, we will continue to monitor that, but we expect to be well within the 10 to 12 weeks, given the strong penetration in the NCDC settings.

And your third question was around repeat prescriptions for the REMS. When we look at that, of course, we have patients who have been on therapy for multiple months, so we do start seeing the repeat prescriptions, patients and physicians are going through the REM process very, very smoothly.

Thank you.

28:34

Thank you.

28:36

Andrew BerensAnalyst, Lee Rink

Our next question comes from the line of Andrew Behrens with Lee Rink. Your line is open. Hi. Thanks, and congrats on the strong execution.

I guess I just want to expand a little bit on the persistence, right, since it's so important going forward. Is there anything that you can tell us about maybe the expanded access program at all?

What the experience will be like for these patients in the real world? And then the other thing that obviously very important is going to be a sickle cell label whether it on a KESME or a pirate kind what factors will go into that And is there anything you can tell us in these early days ahead of the November 1st PADUPA that you been as confident that you won have a REMS or have to potentially reduce the pricing for a KESME and thalassemia Thanks Thanks, Andy.

29:34

Brian GoffChief Executive Officer

And I will just say again, and thanks for the comments about the strong quarter, I am really pleased and proud with the continued execution from Svet and the team. I think on the persistency, Andy, maybe we'll start with Sarah just reflecting on the clinical trial, the open label extension, and what we saw, because it still is early days for us to quantify persistence, but we always look at the trials and OLEs as a proxy.

30:01

Sarah

Yes, thanks, Brian. And I think, Andy, here we can really look at the open label data that we presented at EHA recently as well. So, as you know, we have very high continuation rates for people who finish the clinical trials and then go into the open label extension. And now we have the benefit of being able to have followed them for a period of time post-randomized control trial. What you see there is a good maintenance of response, so patients do continue on the drug, and you see that maintenance of hemoglobin, the maintenance of anti-hemolytic response, and people feeling good.

Another point there, what was exciting to see at the e-hop, they just said, was that people with higher hemoglobin also had good response to the treatment, which is important, of course, as we continue to expand the patients we capture in the launch. for the non-transfusion-dependent patients. And so, yes, so I think the clinical trial data is actually the best way to look at that question right now.

And I just wanted to add that I've been spending a lot of time with clinicians in the field, had the opportunity to hear their feedback on the EHA data. And as we enter into the second half of the year and we start experiencing kind of the real-world evaluation of persistency, I'm very confident that, you know, we'll see the repetition of what we see in the clinical trials in terms of continuation rates for six months.

In any regards to… Can you give us a number, a percentage that you saw in the open-label extension study of patients who stayed on? So for Energize, we had like an over 90% continuation from the clinical trial. In regards, yeah, and then of course it always, you know, as time continues, clinical trials are burdensome. It drops a little bit. It's very, very good persistence, both for PKD, for telethenia, for sickle cell disease in the clinical trial. What was interesting there is also the response rate with longer exposure, which is important for thalassemia. In the early 40%, we had some non-responders convert into responders, so we got to a 60% response rate there. So the clinical trial data is very good.

And we know, obviously, that's an important metric for us going forward. But we're still early days. This is our second full quarter of launch, which in a way matches the period of time for the energized trial. So we'll continue to monitor and, of course, implement appropriate patient services support to help patients continue on therapy.

32:30

Brian GoffChief Executive Officer

And Andy, maybe you can just repeat the second part of your question. Yeah, just, I mean, obviously, I don't think anyone expects sickle cell pricing to be as resilient as thalassemia or PKD. So it really depends on whether you get sickle cell out of tech, Besme or PyroKine. What do you think is going to drive that decision and any insights now that we're several months away from the PDUFA about which brand sickle cell may be added to, if approved?

Yeah, so the PDUFA is indeed November 1st. Priority reviews are very excited about that. We have not further discussed which brand name is going to be used, but as you know, the clinical trial data looked very good. We did not have the hepatocellular injury observed in the sickle cell disease patients, so therefore it may not warrant a REM. Either way, our teams are ready to execute a launch with or without a RIM, so more to come.

Absolutely, and as always, we'll provide more specifics at the time of launch once we have the label. We'll price the product for that indication and across the portfolio to maximize the opportunity back from the clinical data and, of course, the market environment at the time. I must say we are in a very strong position, given that it's our third indication there is a very high unmet need in sickle cell disease.

And we do have a very strong market access team. I'm very proud of the progress they made in thalassemia with the payer policies, and we'll continue to learn and build from here.

Thanks for answering the questions, and congrats again on the strong quarter. It looks like it's going to continue. Thanks, Andy.

34:45

Please stand by for our next question.

34:45

Unidentified AnalystAnalyst, Truist Securities

Our next question comes from the line of Gregory Renza with Truist Securities. Your line is open. Hi, team. This is support on for Greg. Congrats. Let me add the congrats to the team, too, on an excellent quarter. So my question is two parts as well, if I may. So as we enter the second half of 2026 and we move beyond the initial wave of highly motivated transfusion-dependent patients, how should we think about the run rate of new patient starts, particularly in the broader non-transfusion-dependent population? And the second part is, where are you at in terms of growth? I know it's favorable this quarter. Where are you at within the range of the 10% to 20% expected target?

Now you are at 75% of cover life. Thanks and congrats again.

35:43

Brian GoffChief Executive Officer

Thanks, Supua. So, Sveta, maybe you can start with, and I think you said it the right way, as we extend further into the broader reach in the NTD population.

35:53

Sveta

Sveta, you want to take that and then we'll do gross to net separately? Absolutely. I'm very pleased with the progress so far. We are really seeing a very healthy start of the launch, both from penetration into the community setting where the majority of prescribers are, as well as the penetration in the NTT setting, which is the bigger commercial opportunity. As we mentioned in the second quarter, we added 200 prescriptions from REM-certified physicians.

As we move into the second half of the year, prescriptions growth and revenue growth are not going to be directly correlated on a perfect basis, given that we're moving into the more mature phase of the launch. And revenues really also depend on time to treatment initiations, ramp-on boarding, and persistency, as we've discussed. Moving ahead, as we move into the NGVT setting, we expect the time to treatment initiation to move well into the 10 to 12 weeks, given the fact that these patients have less frequent visits to the healthcare professionals, And they'll need to go through the insurance verification as well as the REMS process as well. But we are really, really encouraged by the rate of patient adoption, the progress that we are making, the way the patients are converting and staying on therapy at this part of the launch.

And most importantly, the really positive feedback from what I'm hearing from the clinicians on the product profile in the real world. Great.

37:35

Brian GoffChief Executive Officer

And then, Superwad, I think the second part of your question was around the 10 to 20 percent guidance that we've given on growth to net. Cecilia, you want to comment here?

37:48

CeciliaChief Financial Officer

Yeah, so we expect that to continue to be in that range of 10 to 20 percent as we've guided before. There's always some quarter over quarter variability, but in an aggregate, that's a range we still expect to see.

38:04

Thank you. Please stand by for our next question.

38:05

Marc FrahmAnalyst, TD Cohen

Our next question comes from the line of Mark Fram with TD Cohen. Your line is open. Thanks for taking my questions and completely get the kind of pushes and pulls on turning a TRX into actual revenue. And, of course, there will be some drop-off patients on the back end starting in the second half.

38:30

Brian GoffChief Executive Officer

But do you view that kind of 200 patients at the top of the funnel as now kind of a sustainable rate? Or does that still reflect a little bit of that bolus that you kind of talked about for Q1 of, you know, the backlog of REM certifications and kind of the highly, highly motivated patients? Yeah, maybe I'll start, and I'm going to turn it over to Sveta. I think, Mark, a good way to think about a comment we've made several times in terms of engaged patients, engaged clinicians, is that's a gradient. And we know that we're still on the front end of that gradient. As we, and Sveta just commented on it too, as we move further into the NTD population, by definition, these patients tend to have less frequency of clinical interactions.

And so that's essentially the dynamic that we're up against. Sveta, what would you add?

39:26

Sveta

Yeah, no, absolutely. And as I also mentioned in my prepared remarks, looking into entering a new phase of the launch in the second quarter, we expect prescriptions growth and revenue growth not to correlate directly in every single quarter due to the time treatment initiations, the patient conversion rate, persistency, and kind of inter-quarter ordering variability. That's why we will actually move away from this initial indicator of demand after the third quarter, which is prescriptions, to something that we believe is more reflective of the underlying health of the business, which is going to be revenue. When you think about how the first house is going to transition into the next phase of the launch, which is the second house, in the first house, in Q1 and partially in Q2, we really benefited from this early adopters, highly motivated patients and physicians, the delay in the PDUFA, which created the anticipation of the launch for the launch, and patients and physicians were ready to start as quickly as possible.

So as we move into the second part of the launch, what I'm looking for is really the underlying dynamics of the launch, which allow us to further penetrate into the community setting, a very strong adoption into the NTDT setting across alpha and beta thalassemia patients, and moving into that more steady state of 10-12-week treatment initiation. So we are very encouraged of the way the launch is going and the way the team is executing. Okay, that's all helpful. And then maybe just on the other end of the funnel, the discontinuation rate, do you view these initial kind of very highly motivated patients and clinicians that are using, you know, that were starting therapy in, you know, Q1 and early Q2, are those patients, do you think, more likely to stay on drug because of that motivation?

Or are they perhaps the very hard-to-treat patients, and maybe they'll have a somewhat higher discontinuation rates than kind of the long-term number might end up being.

As we progress into the next phase of the launch, we'll provide more color onto what we see in the real world. My suggestion for now and what we're hearing from the clinicians is that the core period in the clinical trials is a very good proxy for continuation, and we'll continue to learn more. I'm very pleased with the payer policies that have been issued. They really allow a lot of flexibility for patients and physicians to make informed treatment choices on continuation. The policies are really for managing patients to clinical trial criteria or better. So let's use for now the clinical trial as a proxy.

Okay, thanks.

42:18

Brian GoffChief Executive Officer

Thanks, Mark.

42:20

Thank you.

42:21

Samantha SemenkowAnalyst, Citi

Our next question comes from the line of Samantha Simenkow with Citi. Your line is open. Hi, good morning. Thanks very much for taking the question, and let me add my congrats on the strong quarter. I'm wondering if you could just speak a little bit more to the dynamics of the clinical evaluation at six after six months of treatment that you were speaking on in your prepared remarks. What are physicians viewing as acceptable clinical bar for continuing treatment? And is this six-month clinical mark, is that pretty strict, or is there some flexibility where it could vary when a physician would be looking to assess the clinical progress for a patient?

42:47

Brian GoffChief Executive Officer

And I have a follow-up. Thanks, and this is another good one for Sveta, and also where we have important learnings from our experience already with PKD now over many years in terms of evaluation. Absolutely.

43:10

Sveta

So there is a variability of how patients and physicians define benefit, and I'm going to use the word benefit because it quite often goes beyond what is defined as the primary endpoint in the clinical trials. Of course, for transfusion-dependent patients, both patients and physicians will look at transfusion reductions, both in terms of ability to expand the time between transfusions, as well as reducing the amount of transfused blood, and both of these aspects are important. What we hear from physicians and I had the opportunity to meet both with patients and physicians recently at the Coolis Anemia Foundation meeting They really do that on a patient basis Majority of them mentioned the six months both driven by the fact that our clinical trials were within that timeframe but it's also a natural opportunity for them to evaluate initial benefits, and they'll make decisions based on that.

Transfusion reduction in the TGT patients will be important. They are not necessarily going to stick to what was defined as a 50% reduction in the clinical studies, going to be on an individual patient basis, and if they want to continue on therapy as well, and how they feel between the transfusions is also important. On the NTDT setting, they're going to look on improvement in hemoglobin. The one gram per deciliter is not like a hard yes or no. They'll also look at the improvement in hemolytic parameters, and very importantly in the NTDT setting is how patients feel. The reduction in fatigue is a key driver both for patients and physicians to continue on therapy, irrespective of the actual level of hemoglobin improvement.

So we are very encouraged from what we hear from our customers and look forward to learning more in the second half of the year.

Great. Thanks very much. And then just a second question about the evolution of the prescriber base. Are you seeing physicians write scripts for multiple patients that they manage? I'm wondering if there's any sort of, I guess, dynamic that you could share that you've seen over the first two quarters of launch. Thanks very much. Absolutely. When I look at our prescriber base, the most important thing for me is to look for breadth of prescribing because the lycemia, majority of the patients are managed in the community, and we don't have that much breadth across the therapy area. And I see a very, very strong breadth of prescribing across the country from different clinicians. So I'm very pleased with the healthy start of the launch.

We do have a small number of key opinion leaders who have written for more than one patient. And we continue to see prescriptions coming from these prescribers.

And we expect that to continue. They do have a stable patient base, but really our opportunity is to continue to penetrate the community settings.

Thanks very much.

46:25

Thank you. Please stand by for our next question.

46:30

Eric SchmidtAnalyst, Cantor

Our next question comes from the line of Eric Schmidt with Cantor. Your line is open. Thanks, Mike. Congrats on all the progress as well. And unfortunately, another question for Seta. She seems like she's on the hot seat today. So I just want to be clear about what's in the 442 cumulative prescriptions that you're reporting. You know, historically, I think you've said those are for individual patients mapped to individual start forms and wouldn't include refills or anything like that.

47:00

Sveta

Is that still the case? Absolutely. They are unique patient prescriptions.

47:05

Brian GoffChief Executive Officer

In a way, that's kind of the equivalent of a start form, and it's written by a REM certified physician. And I assume, Svetl, you have some insight into how many refills have also been written thus far?

47:21

Sveta

So, yeah, the refill rates continue as patients reach their second and third month of therapy. So the refills are continuing according to plan. So depending on, you know, the patients that have started and are progressing to the ramps, the refills are coming in. We are not providing a specific kind of refilled dynamics and total patients on therapy. And as I said, moving forward, we'll move away from start forms and really start focusing on revenue more because it takes into account all of these dynamics that you're asking about, Eric. New patients start trying to treatment, initiation, refills, and continuation. Okay, you anticipated all of my questions. I've just got one left, which is conversion of patients from start forms to therapy.

Do you have a sense of whether there have been many or any patients who have dropped out of the queue as they await therapy? Thanks. We have a very positive payer policies, and we have no market access kind of hurdles for now at the beginning of the launch, but I'm very pleased with that. Our fuel rate, which is basically prescriptions to patients starting on therapy, is very high, and it's very much in line with other rare diseases. So nothing unanticipated there, so I'm very pleased with that very high conversion rate.

48:44

Brian GoffChief Executive Officer

Yeah, and Eric, I'll just add that this is, again, where our PKD experience, smaller scale, but the experience really comes into play because it's usually a time element, not necessarily, you know, a loss element in the translation from a start form to a patient starting on therapy. And again, we know with these NTD patients, as we move deeper into that penetration, it could take longer, which is why the translational aspect of going from a start form to revenue gets harder and harder from your perspective.

Great. Thanks, and congrats again. Thanks a lot.

49:23

Emily BodnarAnalyst, H.C. Wainwright

Our next question comes from the line of Emily Botnar with H. C. Wainwright. Your line is open. Hi, good morning. Thanks for your question. Thanks, and congratulations on the positive quarter. I'll up on Europe sales for thalassemia.

49:32

Brian GoffChief Executive Officer

Were any of the 2Q revenues driven by Europe specifically, and how do you kind of think about ex-US revenue growth for the remainder of the year? And maybe secondly, with the sickle cell disease, PDUFA coming in November, are you expecting to launch by year-end, and should we be expecting any kind of initial revenues for the fourth quarter?

49:48

CeciliaChief Financial Officer

Thanks. Thanks, Emily. Cecilia can comment on the European question, and then we can come back to the question about sickle cell. Yeah, so Emily, the ex-US revenues, so for this quarter, is a combination of the consistent continued demand in GCC as we have early access there, as well as anticipated demand for thalassemia in Europe following the approval in May. I'd say the vast majority of our revenues are still expected to come from the US for the upcoming quarters as we're still kind of ramping up the The other regions, early access for both, so we don't expect either one to be material contributors.

50:47

Brian GoffChief Executive Officer

And then the other question on sickle, again, given the PDUFA date being November, it wouldn't be a material contribution to a full-year revenues for 2026. And I will just add, Emily, we're enthusiastic about the opportunity of a priority review in November 1st PDUFA for sickle cell, And none of you will know this, but we're actually at a pretty important sickle cell KOL and community physician meeting. So the reason I bring that up is I'm really proud of the work that Sveta and the team are doing to get ready for that launch. And we're certainly looking to amortize as much as we can from the progress we're making in thalassemia towards that launch as well.

Thank you. Thank you.

51:35

Please stand by for our next question. Ladies and gentlemen, due to the interest of time, we ask that you limit yourself to one question, please.

51:35

Unidentified AnalystAnalyst, Goldman Sachs

Our next question comes from the line of Salveen Richter with Goldman Sachs. Your line is open. Good morning. This is Lydia on for Salveen. Thanks so much for taking your question, and congrats on the progress. Could you just speak broadly to the current breakout between transfusion and non-transfusion-dependent patients, and when you anticipate the non-transfusion population to make up a majority of patients on treatment. And then as a quick follow-up, once you reach that 10 to 12-week range, do you expect that to sort of be the run rate going forward? Thanks so much.

Sure.

52:17

Brian GoffChief Executive Officer

Thanks, Lillia.

52:17

Sveta

Sveta? Absolutely. What we're seeing now is a growing proportion of the NGDG segment, as we've always said and as anticipated. We have a significant proportion of the patients were the TTT patients, even they have more frequent interactions with the healthcare system and are in generally the more engaged patient population. We've seen a significant growth of the NTT patients in the second quarter. We expect that to continue. And if you look at our breakdown of our initial launch process, we have about 4,000 patients that we are initially targeting, and about 50% of them are the NGDC patients that will continue to penetrate that segment. And we expect the 10 to 12-week average time-per-season initiations to stabilize and remain constant over time.

Thank you.

53:20

Please stand by for our next question.

53:20

Tess RomeroAnalyst, J.P. Morgan

Our next question comes from the line of Tess Romero with J. P. Morgan. Your line is open. Hi, Brian and team. Thanks so much for taking our question. So, as a matter of quick housekeeping, can you just remind us what is the right way to think about the LOE for MIDIPIVAT? And then, second, to double-click here, what is the right way to think about how cumulative scripts for OGVSME should evolve from end of 2Q to end of 3Q? And then, when might you be in a position to guide to revenues if script count will no longer be reported after 3Q? Thank you.

54:02

Brian GoffChief Executive Officer

Okay, thanks, Tess. First one will be quick. You can think of LOE as 2035 of composition of matter plus extensions, and there are additional potential for patent extensions beyond that. The second one, which of course, for where we go from 2Q to 3Q, will be directional. We're not giving specific guidance, but qualitatively. Svet, I think this will be similar to earlier comments you've made about further penetration.

54:36

Sveta

Absolutely. As we look into the second half of the year, we're looking forward to continue to penetrate the NTT segment. And as we know, these patients have less frequent visits to the healthcare providers. And with that in mind, we also anticipate timed treatment initiations to move into the 10 to 12-week range, which will be a key dynamic of the quarter. As well, we are reaching this important six-month point of treatment benefit evaluation, and that's one of the main reasons we will start transitioning beyond Q3 into actually providing revenues rather than continuous prescriptions. Very importantly, we have an important date, November 1st, with the addition of the sickle cell disease launch.

And once we have, hopefully that launch will provide more information of how we can characterize the evolution of the meet-a-peva franchise across indications.

55:35

Brian GoffChief Executive Officer

But we will do that at the time of launch. And Cecilia, Tess snuck in a third question about guidance and when, so do you want to comment on that one?

55:44

CeciliaChief Financial Officer

Yeah, yeah. So, Tess, as Svetis mentioned, also with SICOSOL coming on board upon a potential approval in November, we look into the appropriate time to provide guidance for the franchise going forward. Good. Thank you.

56:00

Thank you. Thank you.

56:04

Unidentified AnalystAnalyst, RBC Capital Markets

And our final question comes from the line of Luca Issy with RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open. Hi, team. This is Shelby on for LUCA, and thanks for taking our question. Maybe on the commercial preparation for a potential launch in sickle cell, I believe this has a higher Medicaid mix versus thalassemia and PKD. So, one, is that correct? And two, how are you thinking about gross-to-net dynamics and net revenue per patient in sickle cell relative to your other existing commercial products? And also, does the novo competitive dynamic factor into your pricing approach at all? Any color there? Much appreciated.

56:48

Sveta

Absolutely. We will provide definitely more specifics on pricing at the time of approval, and that's going to be driven by the label and the competitive environment at the time, and we'll continue to observe that moving forward. Of course, the sickle cell disease population has a higher Medicaid proportion, and then by definition has a mandatory rebate of 23%, which will drive the gross tonight to a higher level compared to PKP and calisthenia.

But I can tell you we are super excited about the PDUFA date, and the team is ready for lunch.

57:30

Thank you.

57:31

Brian GoffChief Executive Officer

Ladies and gentlemen, at this time, I would like to turn the call back over to Brian Goff for closing remarks. All right. Thanks, everyone, for your questions and for joining us today. Sveta was in the hot seat today, which we quite enjoy, so thanks a lot for that.

To close, we're really pleased with the progress we made in the second quarter. That includes delivering on continued acphesmine launch momentum, advancing mid-pivot toward a potential sickle cell disease approval, as we just discussed, Strengthening our pipeline with Cevodoplinib and AG236, and maintaining the financial flexibility to execute. So, ultimately, we enter the second half of the year focused, disciplined, and confident in our ability to build long-term value for both patients and shareholders. So, thanks a lot, and we look forward to speaking with you all soon.

58:23

Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes today's conference call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.

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