Summary
Management framed results as an early AI-optics inflection, with demand accelerating faster than capacity and profitability exceeding prior targets.
Guidance
- 130%Q1 revenue $1.225B-$1.275B, $1.25B midpoint, above 130% year-over-year growth
- 39.5%Q1 non-GAAP operating margin 39.5%-40.5%
- $4.05Q1 non-GAAP EPS $4.05-$4.35
- 16.5%Q1 non-GAAP effective tax rate 16.5%
- $400MOCS revenue $400M-plus in calendar second-half 2026
- $50MUltra-high-power laser revenue ~$50M by calendar year-end
- 50%200G EMLs at 50%-plus of volume shipments by mid-2027
- Greensboro revenue beginning early 2028, ramping through calendar 2028
What analysts pressed on
- 01Financial targets: new targets likely at the next OFC, reflecting faster revenue and margin progress.
- 02NPO timing: high-power ELS opportunities appear sooner, while integrated mid-power lasers target late-2027 to 2028.
- 03OCS trajectory: management expects to exceed $100M in Q1 and become the leading supplier at one customer in early 2027.
- 04CW versus EML economics: smaller CW dies narrowed the margin gap, though EML margins remain higher.
- 05Substrate supply: current arrangements are comfortable, but further demand acceleration could require additional support.
- 06Chinese competition: no impact is visible, with management citing performance, yield, and reliability differentiation.
Notable disclosures
- $1.25B$1.25B revenue target arrives more than one quarter early, while Q1 margin exceeds the target model's high end.
- 35%$1.1B convertible-debt reduction lowered outstanding convertible debt by approximately 35%.
- First ELS module order carries meaningfully higher ASPs but margins below laser-chip levels.
- High-power laser demand is now further behind supply than EML demand, reversing the prior emphasis.
- CW lasers are shipping meaningfully for 200G-per-lane silicon-photonics applications after die-size reductions.
Risks raised
- Certain component shortages capped cloud-transceiver and OCS shipments below market demand.
- Ultra-high-power laser demand may require additional substrate supply beyond Japanese and AXTI arrangements.
- OCS previously encountered supply-chain problems during its ramp, although management said execution is now back on track.
- NPO and CPO scale-up depends on new processor and rack generations rather than retrofitting current XPUs.
Tone: Confident 0.90
Management described accelerating AI-optics demand, earlier targets, expanding opportunities, and sustained margin upside despite capacity constraints.
Who spoke
Company
- Kathy TaInvestor Relations
- Michael HurlstonChief Executive Officer
- Wajahat AliChief Financial Officer
- Wupen YuenPresident of Global Business Units
Analysts
- Joseph CardosoAnalyst, JP Morgan
- Simon LeopoldAnalyst, Raymond James
- Mike GenoveseAnalyst, Rosenblatt Securities
- Christopher RollandAnalyst, Susquehanna
- Vijay RakeshAnalyst, Mizuho
- George NotterAnalyst, Wolfe Research
- Tom O'MalleyAnalyst, Barclays
- Unidentified AnalystAnalyst
Full transcript
Analyst questions are marked with a bar. Timestamps are into the recording.
Prepared remarks
Good day, everyone, and welcome to the Loomentum Holdings 4th Quarter and Fiscal Year 2026 earnings call. All participants will be in a listen-only mode. Please also note, today's event is being recorded for replay purposes. After today's prepared remarks, we will host a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your question, press star 1 again.
Kathy TaInvestor Relations
At this time, I would like to turn the conference call over to Cathy Ta, Vice President of Investor Relations. Ms. Ta, please go ahead.
Thank you, Matthew, and welcome to Loomentum's Fiscal 4th Quarter and Full Year 2026 earnings call. This is Cathy Ta, the Moomentum's Vice President of Investor Relations. Joining me today are Michael Hurlston, President and Chief Executive Officer, Wajan Ali, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, and Wupen Yuan, President of Global Business Units. Today's call will include four living statements, including without limitation, statements regarding our future operating results, strategies, trends, and expectations for our products and technologies that are being made under the safe harbor of the Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.
These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from our current expectations. We encourage you to view our most recent filings with the SEC, particularly the risks described under risk factors and elsewhere in our 10 Q for the fiscal quarter and in March 28th, 2026, and in our most recent 10 K for the fiscal year and in June 27th, 2026 to be filed by Loomentum with the FCC. The forward-looking statements provided during this call are based on Loomentum's reasonable beliefs and expectations as of today. Loomentum undertakes no obligation to update or revise these statements except as required by Avocabola. Please also note that unless otherwise stated, all financial results and projections discussed in this call are non-yacht.
Non-yacht financials have inherent limitations and are not to be considered an isolation from, or as a substitute for or superior to, financials prepared in accordance with GAP. You can find a reconciliation between non-yacht and GAP measures and information about our use of non-yacht measures and factors that could impact our financial results in our press release and our filings with the SEC. Loomentum's press release with the fiscal fourth quarter in full year 2026 results and accompanying supplemental slides are available on our website at investor. loomentum. com. We encourage you to review these materials carefully.
With that, I'll turn the call over to Michael.
Michael HurlstonChief Executive Officer
Thank you, Kathy. And good afternoon, everyone. Loomentum is positioned at the heart of a secular industry shift. As I had compute workloads increase in both speed and bandwidth, data center architects are turning to optical links as a primary means of connectivity. Our fourth quarter results reflect the early stages of this transition. Driven by broad-based momentum across our scale out and scale across product lines, revenues surged 109% year-to-1.01 billion dollars, marking our eighth consecutive quarter of top line growth. Additionally, we are maintaining revenue velocity as we saw our third consecutive quarter of greater than 20% sequential growth, notice notable as the compare point is getting ever larger. While we experienced broad-based success, some of our previously highlighted growth drivers are just starting to layer in.
Notably, in cloud transceivers, we achieved record 800 gig shipments while initiating production of our next generation 1.6T modules. For NOCS, we successfully navigated supply chain commitments according to plan. In addition to strong top line performance, non-gap gross margin crossed 50%. We had originally targeted this threshold at a 2 billion quarterly run rate, so this milestone came quite a bit sooner than expectations. We expect gross margin expansion to continue driven by product mix and tight operational execution. Non-gap operating margins expanded by more than 21 2,150 basis points year-over-year. These results prove two things, our differentiated technology commands premium value and our operating model delivers outside leverage. Driven by shark acceleration and AI revenue, the midpoint of our Q1 revenue guidance reaches our $1.25 billion target more than one quarter ahead of schedule.
Additionally, our Q1 non-gap operating margin guidance exceeds the high end of our target model that we associated with this revenue level. I'd like to address some recent market noise around co-packaged and near-packaged optics.
First, our lead CPO customers' production plans remain very much on track, and their demand signal has increased since our last update. Our visibility into the timing of CPO's scale-up deployments is also sharpened. We remain confident in the demand ramp for ultra-high-power laser chips in the second half of calendar 2027 ahead of customer scale-up deployments in calendar 2028. Because the first phase of scale-up optical connections will span across compute racks within the cluster, this demand ramp applies to any topology larger than one rack.
Adding to our confidence, we were recently given our first external light source for ELS, module purchase for delivery by the second half of calendar 2027. Second, the rest of our customer base is currently prioritizing near-packaged architectures as an intermediate step to the eventual adoption of CPO. The NPO opportunity is completely additive for us, significantly increasing the optical TAM. We're seeing strong NPO momentum across multiple high-velocity engagements using our differential laser chips. Even our largest CPO customer is looking at NPO for specific new use cases further increasing the optical TAM at that account. These architectural shifts represent a major market inflection that plays directly to our core strengths as a premier laser chip manufacturer. Benefiting us as optics begin to penetrate the copper domain.
NPO offers a faster time-to-market option by placing optical engines on the board right next to the XBO accelerator, training power and cost for simplicity in optical scale-up applications. Customers are evaluating two types of laser chips for NPO. A mid-power laser integrated directly with the optical engine and a high-power laser used in an external light source module. Our mid-power lasers inherit the reliability and engineering of our flagship high-power platform. Our family of NPO and CPO lasers utilizes common design and process know-how to achieve industry-leading efficiency across 120 milliwatt, 150 milliwatt, and 400 milliwatt output levels.
Looking ahead, CPO continues to be viewed as the natural end state on the technology roadmap, placing optics directly on the substrate or interposer for maximum power efficiency through found-rate level advanced packaging.
Now let's look closer at the metrics to define our fourth quarter, starting with the components product category. Components revenue for the fourth quarter was 649 million dollars, reflecting 22 percent sequential and 103 percent year over year growth increases. Our laser portfolio continues to demonstrate strong momentum across every vector. Shipments of our narrow language laser assemblies grew sequentially for the 10th consecutive quarter and we were up over 130 percent year over year.
Pump laser shipments surged more than 80 percent year over year and will remain effectively sold out for the foreseeable future despite our rapid capacity expansion. Expanding inferencing and training applications are driving full-rate connectivity between data centers while political and regulatory constraints favor smaller more modular builds. These two factors, among others, are substantially increasing the demand for our pump laser solutions. To put this in perspective, for one major hyperscaler, the network capacity connecting just two AI data center sites double the total global backbone capacity they built over the entirety of the last decade.
To support the growth and scale across deployments, we have secured multiple long-term customer agreements that helped offset our planned capital expenditures. We continue to expect a four-fold increase in our pump laser shipments over the next several quarters to meet this escalating demand.
Turning to laser chips, we delivered another record-breaking quarter for EMLs, primarily driven by strong demand for 100 gig per lane devices. Momentum for our 200 gig EMLs is also accelerated rapidly, now accounting for over 25 percent of total EML revenue.
Simultaneously, we are expanding our laser chip strategy to capture broader market opportunities in a way that align with our financial model. A key example is our CW laser chip for 200 gig per lane applications, which delivers high yield, proven reliability, and industry-leading performance in a compact form factor to a multitude of customers. Internal deployment of these lasers reinforces what our customers regularly confirm. We have a distinctive ability to deliver at scale to a very tight set of specifications which enables superior yields in transceiver manufacturing. Importantly, these new CW laser products will deliver margins that are to our long-term financial targets.
Looking ahead, we expect demand for both EML and CW lasers to grow significantly through the second half of calendar 26 and into 2027. To capture the coming 200 gig and 300 gig lane speed opportunities, we are expanding capacity across our two Indian phosphide wafer fabs in Japan, qualifying both CW and EML process flows on our newest tools that they come online. Even as we allocate additional capacity to CW lasers, we remain on track to deliver over 50 percent EML unit growth by the December 2026 quarter compared to the year ago, quarter. Wrapping up our components commentary, we have visibility to an expanding set of 3D sensing applications. These new opportunities are expected to drive below growth in upcoming product cycles with our primary customer.
Now I will move to our systems product category. Systems' fourth quarter revenue reached $357 million, representing a 30 percent sequential and 123 percent year over year increase. Both cloud transceivers and OCS were major drivers of the revenue growth quarter over quarter. While pockets of supply chain tightness for certain components cap shipments below total market demand, our factories executed to our aggressive plan for both product lines.
The bulk of our cloud transceivers shipments in the quarter were at 800 gig speeds, and we began shipping 1.6 T transceivers' plant. Meanwhile, profitability across our transceiver lines continues to improve, driven by games in both yield and capacity utilization, as well as the initial rollout of higher ASP 1.6 T transceivers. Our visibility into future cloud transceiver demand is clearer than ever. In fact, we expect the 1.6 T transceiver uptake to intensify, starting in fiscal Q1, and sustained through calendar 2027. This momentum is anchored by our scale of customers whose strong rollouts of custom AI clusters are driving a rapid transition from 800 gig to 1.6 T technology. With the use of improved design engineering techniques, we appear to be first to market in many instances ahead of larger competitors, giving us a market shared advantage that we should be able to maintain through the cycle.
The degree of difficulty with 1.6 T designs again is playing to our strengths, as our signal integrity team is widely acknowledged as the best in a competitive field. Turning to OCS, our internal manufacturing expansion is progressing smoothly. After doubling shipments from fiscal Q3 to Q4, our guidance includes our first triple digit OCS revenue quarter. The demand signal for 2027 continues to be incredibly strong, and we have started the initial work to add capacity with contract manufacturers as well as continuing to increase output in our internal factories. Since our last call, the roadmap for OCS has also come into better view. We are now planning higher and lower poor account products, including specialized intray offerings. Rounding out our systems category, performance in industrial lasers and cable access strength and quarter over quarter.
Within industrial lasers, we are seeing increased adoption of our ultra-fast lasers, targeting high-density PCB via drilling that supports advanced AI XVU boards and 1.6 T optical modules. Looking ahead to Q1, we expect to set another quarterly record and, as stated earlier, reach our $1.25 billion revenue target more than one quarter ahead of the plan, outlined at the last OFC. We anticipate that approximately half of the sequential growth will stem for our components portfolio, driven by continued expansion and scale out and scale across applications. The other half will be powered by the ongoing ramp of our systems portfolio by 1.6 T transceivers and accelerating OCS deliveries.
Wajahat AliChief Financial Officer
Now I'll hand the call over to watch it. Mr. Ali. Thank you, Michael. Fourth quarter revenue of $1.01 billion was at the high end of our guidance range, and non-GAP BPS of $3.23 was well above our prior expected range, demonstrating the leverage of our business model. GAP gross margin for the fourth quarter was 47.4%, and GAP operating margin was 27.8%. Both metrics exemplify the company's exceptional performance.
As disclosed previously, in the fourth quarter, we proactively equitized a portion of our convertible notes, which were in the money following the appreciation of our stock over the past year. This action reduces our debt by $1.1 billion, or approximately 35% of our outstanding convertible debt. This transaction resulted in a one-time non-cash GAP charge of $7.8 billion, bringing our fourth quarter GAP net loss to $7.2 billion.
Turning to our non-GAP results, fourth quarter gross margin was 50.4%, which was up 250 basis points sequentially, and up 260 basis points a year on year, due to better manufacturing utilization, favorable mix, and increased pricing on select products. Fourth quarter non-GAP operating margin was 36.6%, which was up 440 basis points sequentially, and up 2,160 basis points a year on year. We continue to invest in critical R&D programs, serving cloud and AI customers while maintaining the rigorous cost controls necessary to optimize our business model. Fourth quarter non-GAP operating profit was $368.8 million, and adjusted even if it dug was $406.4 million. Fourth quarter non-GAP operating expenses totaled $138.1 million, or 13.7% of revenue, an increase of $11.9 million from the third quarter, and an increase of $28.8 million from the same quarter last year in support of expanding cloud and AI opportunities.
Q4 non-GAP SG&A expenses were $50.6 million, non-GAP R&D expenses were $87.5 million. Total interest and other income net was $22 million on a non-GAP basis. Fourth quarter non-GAP net income was $326.3 million, and non-GAP net income per share was $3.23. Our diluted weighted shares for the fourth quarter were $101.1 million on a non-GAP basis. I will now turn to the balance sheet. During the fourth quarter, our cash and short-term investments decreased by $0.43 billion to $2.74 billion, with the decrease primarily driven by convertible debt conversions. Our inventory levels increased by $59 million, sequentially, to support the expected growth in our cloud and AI-related revenue. In Q4, we spent $167 million in CAPEX, primarily focused on manufacturing capacity to support cloud and AI customers.
Turning to revenue details, components revenue of $649.4 million increased 22% sequentially in Q4 and 103% year on year. Systems revenue of $356.9 million increased 30% sequentially in Q4 and 123% year on year.
Now let me move to our guidance for the first quarter of fiscal year 27, which is on a non-GAP basis and is based on our assumptions as of today. We anticipate net revenue for the first quarter of fiscal year 27 to be in the range of $1.225 billion to $1.275 billion. The $1.25 billion midpoint reflects more than 130% year over year growth, setting yet another all-time quarterly revenue record for Lamento. We project first quarter non-GAP operating margin to be in the range of 39.5% to 40.5% and diluted net income per share to be in the range of $4.05 to $4.35. At the midpoint, this operating margin represents an expansion of more than 2100 basis points year over year.
Our non-GAP EPS guidance is based on a non-GAP and annual effective tax rate of 16.5%. These projections assume shares used for non-GAP diluted earnings of approximately $102 million. With that, I'll turn the call back to Kathy to start the Q&A session. Kathy?
Kathy TaInvestor Relations
Thank you, Watson. To allow as many people as possible an opportunity to ask questions, please keep to one question and one follow-up. Now, Matthew, let's begin the Q&A session.
Questions and answers
We will now begin the question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad to withdraw your question, press star 1 again. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. Your first question comes from the line of Joseph Cardoso with JP Morgan. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.
Joseph CardosoAnalyst, JP Morgan
Hi, good afternoon, guys. Congrats on the results here and thanks for the question. Maybe for the first one, obviously you highlighted you're tracking the hit the 1.25 billion revenue target a quarter early and are already running well ahead of your high end of margin targets here. You know, just given both the stronger demand and made the more favorable mix, how should we be thinking about the read-through to the next set of financial targets, particularly given what looks like incremental opportunities forming relative to the framework, including ELS, MPO engagement. And I think you even mentioned OCS as well, just curious in terms of how we should be thinking about the next set of targets here.
Michael HurlstonChief Executive Officer
Hey, Joe, this is Michael. You know, firstly, thanks for your continued support. You know, look, we'll come out with some new financial targets, probably at the next OFC. We're obviously running well ahead on almost every metric on revenue on margin, on operating margin. We see you doing quite a bit better. And you're right, look, I think there are some new things that we didn't factor into our discussion at OFC, NPO. We spend a bit of time on the prepared remarks on NPO, CW lasers. We think that that's an incremental opportunity for us. We probably not spent a lot of time on before. And you're right, OCS, I think is we've discussed, but it seems to be doing a bit better than expected.
So, you know, we feel like we're executing, we're trying to keep our head down and run and obviously, you know, adding nearly $250 million incrementally into the guy is pretty impressive. And, you know, we think we have the opportunity to do that more as we look out in future quarters.
Joseph CardosoAnalyst, JP Morgan
Nope, got it, Sarah. And then maybe just a follow-up and specifically on the MPO, curious if you could provide any further details there, you know, specifically how you're thinking about the time here, just given that it does sound like some of these opportunities are forming a little bit earlier than expected. And I know you talked about the different, you know, form factors or the different kind of content opportunities as it relates to the laser opportunities there. But any way to kind of flesh out, like where you guys are seeing, maybe the architecture of choice by your customers, and is that biased in any direction? And how we should think about content as it at least relates to maybe your large customer on the CPO side.
Relative to the ultra-high power laser. Thank you.
Michael HurlstonChief Executive Officer
Yeah, I'm going to say a couple of things and then actually ask them to comment a little bit on the differentiation and mid-power. You know, certainly the timing of these opportunities is plus or minus what we have talked about for our lead CPO customer. Our lead CPO customer, we just said in the prepared remarks, we'd expect to start shipping in high volume for scale up. We're already, of course, shipping for scale up. But for scale up, we expect to be shipping in the second half of calendar 27 for their deliveries in 28. Our leading customers on NPO plus or minus, is the same kind of ELS high-powered laser. And then maybe followed by a couple that are integrated where the optical engine of a mid-powered laser is integrated inside the optical engine.
And it's all one unit. So I would say that the ones that we have, the best line of sight on and that are sooner, are more of the high-powered laser type, very consistent with what we've been talking about for our largest CPO customer.
With that said, I wanted WUPAN maybe to give a few seconds of color because I think there's a little bit of a mischaracterization. We think that these mid-powered lasers that are going inside the OE, a lot of things going on there in terms of differentiation. Do you want to give two seconds on that?
Wupen YuenPresident of Global Business Units
Yeah, definitely. That's my quote. So to do the kind of the NPO optical engine, imagine each NPO at about 6.40 of bandwidth, which is really equivalent to four times that of work with the CPO module. The level of integration and the power density that's required and efficiency required to fit everything into a small optical engine is immense. Therefore, you need really the best laser technology and the best efficiencies in order to really fit everything in a small package. So, in terms of register, it really is to leverage our 400 milliwatt kind of design principle and leverage the higher efficiencies of the intrinsic design process and scale it to a application around 150 to 100 milliwatt range that enables application.
This is actually based on our auto-type power technology that we immediately position to address this market. And we believe that by late 20-7, you know, 20-28 timeframe that NPO will hit the market and enable people to scale up and this becomes an interesting opportunity for us to increase our laser business.
Michael HurlstonChief Executive Officer
Thanks, Joe. Thank you, Michael. Thank you, Wooten. Thank you.
Your next question comes from the line of Simon Leopold with Raymond James. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.
Simon LeopoldAnalyst, Raymond James
Thanks for taking the question. First thing I wanted to try to ask is to what extent were you able to reprice backlog with your customers? And how did that affect this quarter's gross margin as well as your gross margin outlook? And then I've got a quick follow-up.
Michael HurlstonChief Executive Officer
Yeah, thanks, Simon. Look, we did reprice a little bit. I think, you know, most of our sort of LTA's are more forward-looking in terms of the price impact. We saw some benefit, as Wojcett said, in his prepared remarks on the gross margin line, on pricing.
We, you know, think that that still has some room to play through. But I'd say the long poll this quarter was more on mix, right, where we were shipping a lot of more of our high-mixed components. And I think, as we said, we'd expect that to continue to play through as well. So we think we have some room to run on the gross margin line, Simon.
Simon LeopoldAnalyst, Raymond James
Great. Appreciate that. And the other thing I've been in hope it asks you about is we've been hearing more about Chinese-based companies coming to market with new Indian Fosified fabs. What's your take on this developing and future competition? Thank you.
Michael HurlstonChief Executive Officer
Yeah, look, I mean, I think we're hearing the same thing. We obviously haven't seen any impact on our numbers as yet. And I don't expect there to be any impact. We think we have differentiation, obviously, on EMLs. We're very strong there. And these high-end mid-power lasers that are necessary for NPO and CPO get very strong differentiation there. And then even in CW, we've been surprised at our ability to price up, given what we said in the prepared remarks, that customers are seeing far better yields, given our ability to deliver consistent performance on our lasers. They just simply don't deviate. The width of the spec is very narrow. And that results in far better transceiver yields for the customers that we've actually started shipping CW lasers to.
And so as a result, we are able to command a nice price premium that we would expect to sustain as these Chinese, if these Chinese guys come online. A caution, people also, I think people are some of these Chinese laser suppliers are not delivering in the market today. So there's no recourse when they throw out these big numbers. We have not seen anything like that today in terms of their output. Thanks very much. Thanks, Simon.
Your next question comes from the line of a Mike Genovese with Rosenblatt Securities. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.
Mike GenoveseAnalyst, Rosenblatt Securities
Great. Thanks. It's really good to see the guide for a triple digit OCS revenue quarter. I think in the current quarter, I think is what you said. So could you just confirm that?
Michael HurlstonChief Executive Officer
But also, the question is, any comment on when we could expect to see that happen for ultra high powered CW scale out lasers where we'd get a triple digit quarter?
Yeah, Mike. Again, first, I want to thank you for the support of the company and really following our details really well. Yeah, you got it right. So in the guide, which is the first quarter, we'd expect our first triple digit OCS revenue quarter. We'd expect to be meaningfully above the three-digit mark. We're executing well on OCS, as I said. And then for ultra high powered lasers, we have said, hey, we'd expect by the end of the year to be sort of in the $50 million mark. I think the third quarter is when you'd see the first triple digit quarter for ultra high powered lasers. So we are executing. We're shipping today. We had good shipments in this calendar and the reported quarter before.
We'd expect that to build somewhere in the $50 million range by the end of the calendar year and then to really meaningful impact in fiscal cuter.
Mike GenoveseAnalyst, Rosenblatt Securities
Great. Perfect. And then finally for Greensboro. Is there any update on the expectation for half of the capacity of Greensboro being there in calendar 28, the other half of the calendar 29? Is that still the schedule? I know it's early, but any kind of color you could give us in the progress, that would be great. Thank you.
Michael HurlstonChief Executive Officer
Yeah, look, progressing super well. I'm actually very pleased that the team that we got in Greensboro is first rate. As you know, we inherited a fully functioning fat. So the switch that we need to throw is to convert it from gallium arsenide in the emplosite. That is well underway. Some of the long coal items, reactors and things like that our team has gotten out in front of. I think we continue to say, you know, revenue, first revenue out of that in early 2028 and ramping through calendar 2028 into kind of a full pitch by the end of 28 and into 29. So really no change in that, Mike. Thanks for taking a question. Thank you so much, Mike.
Your next question comes from the line of Papa Silla with City. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.
Unidentified AnalystAnalyst
Thank you. Thank you for taking my question and congrats on the strong results. Michael, I was kind of double clicking on the OTS. I was hoping perhaps you can refresh. I know this quote you mentioned, it's a triple digit, but if you can refresh us on the 400 million plus OTS guide for the second half of 2026, are you running well ahead of it or just any update on that side?
Perhaps I to that. How should you think about your key OTS customers build versus buying from you calculus? Do you expect momentum to eventually absorb most of their internal programs? If so, any timeline in life?
Michael HurlstonChief Executive Officer
Yeah, Papa, look, you know, what I say is we're definitely tracking to the 400 million. I would not say tracking ahead. I mean, we've definitely, as you know, had some some problems early on in the ramp with supply chain. We're out of that now. I think we're executing, as I said to plan, we are plus or minus about where I would have expected to be for the guy, right? So that contributes, takes a dent out of the 400 million and that leaves us some room to run in the fourth quarter, fourth calendar quarter. You know, relative to one customer that apparently has an internal source of supply, we are, I think, executing extremely well. I don't think we, I think they'll continue to use an internal version, but I think as they ship more and more OCSes, we will absorb the vast majority of that.
So I would expect, you know, sometime in early 27 that we cross over and be the number one supplier and actually have momentum from there in terms of our OCS shipment. So we, you know, we're definitely, I think we surprise the customers. We are continuing to ship to a number of different customers or execution back on track, but most importantly, like on software and things like that, where I'd expect it to us to have more difficulty, Papa, we've done well. So I think our customers in general, if you talk to them, would say we've been an incredibly, incredibly strong supplier.
Unidentified AnalystAnalyst
No, that's great to be here.
Michael HurlstonChief Executive Officer
And Michael, for my follow up, just curious on the, any update on the supply demand kind of in balance, I believe last quarter, you mentioned 20% plus, where are we now and how do you see that improving or how do you see that going into fiscal 27 and beyond?
Yeah, so I would say on, on EML, probably no change, right? So I don't think that it's gone up, but it hasn't come down. We're still shipping behind customer demand on EML.
I think what surprised us is high-powered lasers, right? High-powered lasers, you know, again, there's been a lot of noise in the system on, on what's happening on various co-packages and your package opportunities. We are way behind our shipments, unfortunately, on, on high-powered lasers. So we, if, if one vector has really changed since the last time you and I talked, I'd say it's your high-powered lasers, and we are very much further behind. The demand signal is increased, and we are very much further behind relative to our ability to supply.
Yeah, I think just clarify, right?
Wupen YuenPresident of Global Business Units
Yeah, I'll just clarify all the execution of the demand is on the right, right? We're further behind because our, the demand has accelerated, that, as Michael said, in the prepared script.
Unidentified AnalystAnalyst
Yeah, no, that's very helpful. Thank you. Hey, Papa, thanks a lot. Appreciate it. Thank you, Papa.
Your next question comes from the line of Christopher Rowland with Susquehanna. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.
Christopher RollandAnalyst, Susquehanna
Hey, guys, fantastic quarter, and thanks for the question. My question in your press release, it sounds like you are selling not just the LS lasers, perhaps LS modules as well. And I was wondering if you could speak a little bit more about that look like beyond just lasers and for the full module. Yeah, Chris. Yeah, no, we, again, first, you know, appreciate how much time you're spending on the company.
Michael HurlstonChief Executive Officer
Yeah, we, we've got our first ELS module order, right, which from an ASP standpoint is meaningfully higher than the set of lasers that we ship in. So we're very excited about the revenue opportunity, you know, small to start, right? And we said that we'd be shipping, you know, sometime mid-year, early second half of 27, to be honest. A little bit later, we felt like we'd see more opportunity on sort of scale out applications than we have to date. But we're very pleased to be participating in the early phases of scale up with both lasers and now with the ELS module. As I said a minute ago, the ELS module meaningfully higher from an ASP standpoint.
But the margins are not quite as good above corporate average, but not quite as good as the lasers. So we're trading a little bit of earlier in the call. We think we have enough drivers on the margin side that we can keep the margin vector moving, but, you know, help our revenue acceleration.
Wupen YuenPresident of Global Business Units
And also just a bit to add, right? You can recall that we've positioned our ELS module to be really enabling the customers. We don't know how to deal with the digital laser chips. So this is really a great first step for us to take to, you know, shoot to one customer and then go from there. We enable other end users to use the ELS. We enable their CPO and NPO systems.
Christopher RollandAnalyst, Susquehanna
Excellent. Thank you, Wupeng. And thank you, Michael. Maybe as a follow-on. I think Michael, you've talked about, I think it's the 1.6 T cycle or 200 gig per lane. And perhaps, perhaps, CW and CIFO working into the supply chain maybe earlier and being a larger part of transceiver shipments ultimately. I guess, first of all, where are we on that? Is this on the CIFO CW side accelerated even faster than you originally spoke about? And can you kind of describe the difference in economics for you between CW lasers and EMLs, which would be, I think, larger because they contain the modulators as well? That would be great.
Okay, Chris. Yeah. Good question. And I'll give some commentary and then have Wupeng comment as well. So, one, no slowdown in our EML demand. I mean, we are, I think it was Papa that asked a minute ago, we see still a significant supply demand imbalance on our EMLs. As Cathy put in the prepared remarks, we're still very much on track to increase our EML output year over year. But even at the end of the year, we'd expect to be significantly behind demand. So, no, no slowdown at all in the demand that we're seeing from EML. We acknowledge, and we've said this before, that we would expect and are seeing CW lasers take a significant portion of transceiver output.
Silicon photonics is a viable solution at 1.16. Of course, we've also said, and it also seems to be bearing out, that as we think about 3.2T, Silicon photonics loses some of its advantages, and we'd expect to see EMLs come back in a meaningful way. What I comment is, a little bit of a shift in stance is that we are allocating some of our output now because we're actually doing quite a bit better in Japan than we expected in terms of output. And so, what we're doing as part of that is allocating some of this excess output to CW lasers. And we're now shipping CW lasers in a relatively meaningful way in this 200 gig per lane, Silicon photonics opportunity.
What's also changed for us is we have significantly reduced the die size of our CW laser. So, before when you and I talked, we said, hey, probably from a margin standpoint, EML is better. Now, we brought things much more in line. CW lasers are smaller, they're better performing.
Wupen YuenPresident of Global Business Units
We are commanding a significant price premium, as I said in a previous question, against what we view as the market price because of the performance of these lasers. And as such, the margin opportunity is still better on EMLs, but that gap has closed considerably, I think, since the last time we talked. We're glad you want to talk a little bit about the dynamic that you're seeing on CW and EML. Yeah, I think that's all we're accurate, right? Just a couple of things to add to that.
Number one, if you look at the application today, there's a lot of 200 gig per lane volume that's on 800 gig. And then in that, we actually seize a much higher EML share versus the other laser share. So, Michael, talk about dynamics. I think this will both continue. EML will remain a very important player in monetary per lane, but as one we see runs up, I think we will see more Seattle lasers. As Michael talked about, our new design of technology, Seattle laser is much more efficient there, but smaller, it gave us a much better gross margin profile. Another thing I also know, really dynamics here, is that in a constrained environment, we also see customers' behavior as wherever they can get a laser source, they will use that solution to support their build out.
So, the dynamics of EML laser is not only a technical one, but also a supply versus a demand situation.
Christopher RollandAnalyst, Susquehanna
Thank you for the transparency and, again, can you go out on the update? Chris, thank you. Appreciate everything. Thank you, Chris.
Your next question comes from the line of Vijay Rakesh with the Mizuho. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.
Vijay RakeshAnalyst, Mizuho
Yeah, hi, Michael. I'm going to add you the good quarter and guide here. Just a quick question on the 200 gig per lane EML and CW looks like that's ramping very nicely. Is it fair to assume both the 200 gig EML and CW laser should be a creativity or margins?
Michael HurlstonChief Executive Officer
And when you see there's 1.60 crossover, it looks like it's already greater than 25% revenue, but when do you see that crossing over with they can be, I guess, and I follow up? Yeah, Mr. Rakesh, good to hear from you, my friend. Look, no change really in the forecast on the crossover. What we said is, and I think you're referring to 200 gig per lane lasers, we have said that for us, we'd expect 200 gig EMLs to be the majority volume shipments by the middle of 2027. We just said in the remarks that now 200 gig per lane EMLs are 25% of our mix. We'd expect it to be 50% or more volume by mid-year of 2027.
So we seem to be tracking to that. No real change in that. I think, generally speaking, yeah, you're right. Lasers are one of our better businesses and the lasers are more than our corporate creative, whether it's CW or EML. As I said to Chris a minute ago, we've closed the margin gap quite considerably since our last call on EMLs versus CW by stringing the die size of the CW laser.
EMLs are still better, but we've closed the margin gap quite considerably.
Vijay RakeshAnalyst, Mizuho
Thanks, very helpful.
Wajahat AliChief Financial Officer
And then on the operating leverage side, what it looks like started improvement there on your audio-care 40% target. How should we think about it as you go through fiscal 27? Thanks. Yeah, thanks, Vijay. So the guideline that we have given at $2 billion of revenue was 38 to 42%, like Michael said in his prepared remarks, we're already at the midpoint of that at much lower revenue levels. And so with gross margins improving, as we approach $2 billion, we'll see some improvement on the operating margin line as well that corresponds to those gross margin improvements. So think of the 42% outlier more as a midpoint with the range probably moving up 100 to 200 basis points versus what we showed at OFC.
Vijay RakeshAnalyst, Mizuho
All right. Thank you. Thanks so much, Vijay.
Your next question comes from the line of George Nauter with Wolf Research. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.
George NotterAnalyst, Wolfe Research
Hi guys. Thanks very much. Congrats on all the success here. I guess I wanted to ask about Indian boss-wide substrate supply.
Michael HurlstonChief Executive Officer
I was really intrigued by the deal you guys signed in the quarter with AXT. Because I think a quarter ago, you actually said that you were doing pretty well on the impossified substrate. And so it feels like there's a bit of a change here. I guess I'm wondering what you guys are seeing longer term here in terms of your need for more Indian boss-wide substrate. And as I extrapolate that, can I look at Queensborough and are you making more progress towards filling the rest of that facility? I'm looking forward. Thanks a lot.
Hey, George. Yeah. Look, I would agree. I mean, I think what we tried to hint to in a previous question is the ultra high powered laser demand has surprised us. And that cuts across a couple of customers. So what we're trying to do, I think really in the last three months is secure even more substrate supply. We were doing well. We felt like we had given the baseline of demand that we were seeing from ultra high powered. And then, of course, the EMLs, CW lasers that go into our scale out products, we felt pretty good, right? As you said, but I think we've seen a pretty big surge in demand, as we said. And in order to respond to that, we went out and we found additional substrate help from AXT.
I think the great partner who pens work with them for a good number of years. And we think we're going to need their help just given the surge in demand. So that's a drove that deal. If this vector continues, we're probably going to need to look for more help on substrate. We feel we're good at this moment. We're probably pretty comfortable just given our lead arrangement with a Japanese supplier. And now the announced deal with AXTI. But given the rate of change in the demand vector that we're seeing, that may not be true a quarter or two from now either.
George NotterAnalyst, Wolfe Research
And if you think it's likely that we could see you sign some LTA for more of the capacity in Greensboro, is that a possibility?
Michael HurlstonChief Executive Officer
Thanks. Yeah, look, we're looking to do that. I think we've sort of reported consistently that we have capacity in Greensboro. We have room there, and Blue Pen has been out talking to a number of customers about helping them with their laser demands, which are again, changing minute by minute is that everybody starts to look to adopt near packaged or co-packaged solutions. And so I would expect that we have some things to talk about over the next couple of quarters relative to new arrangements to in Greensboro that speak to more of this capacity we have there.
George NotterAnalyst, Wolfe Research
Thank you. Thanks so much, George. Thanks, George.
Your next question comes from the line of Tom O'Malley with Barclays. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.
Tom O'MalleyAnalyst, Barclays
Hey guys, thanks for taking the question. Great to be on the call. My first is on the MPO side where they spent a little more time in the preamble talking about the technology. I was curious when you look at ASIC and GPU roadmaps, when you see the intersection of MPO, does that need to be with a new generation of silicon? Or can you intersect an existing ramp? If you were just saying, you know, a big customer today ramping in the beginning of next year, were you able to ship MPO solutions where they originally started off as electrical only solutions just for the timing aspect of your ramp. That'd be super helpful.
Michael HurlstonChief Executive Officer
Yeah, Tom, super to speak to you again. We really appreciate this chat as always, Tom, as always. Look, I think what we're seeing now is an inflection in the A6 and then the 30 speed, and that's driving the need for MPO and CPO. I don't know, and Wupen can comment a little bit on this. I don't think there are existing TPUs, XPUs, GPUs, they're shipping that have a fast enough 30 speed that we could suddenly plop in an MPO or CPO solution, which I think is what you're asking. But as these new generations come online, you know, really seeing silicon in mid-27 toward the end of 27 and early 28, all those new silicon solutions, again, GPUs, XPUs, TPUs, all seem to be driving 30 speeds that are consistent with the I think that's very accurate.
Really, I don't think how we're not seeing the retrofit of MPO onto the current XPUs.
Wupen YuenPresident of Global Business Units
We're seeing in real life, as Michael talked about, there is a broad momentum towards the 28, kind of the 28 ramp of MPO, NCPO, and re-driven by optical scale up. So this is beyond just the XPU itself. This is also goes into a rack-based multi-rack system that requires optical scale up. And therefore, we believe it's going to be a new processor, new racks, and it's a 20-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-h undred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred -hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred- hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-h undred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred-hundred We really always appreciate your questions.
Michael HurlstonChief Executive Officer
I think, you know, this is an area of incredible strength for us, right, which really, I think, is underappreciated. We have a very large market share here, and what we've done is, you know, really worked hard with, for example, the NEPs, the Network Equipment Manufacturers, to form strategic partners, and we're super pleased with, you know, how people have come to work with us on helping offset some of the CAPEx, and it's considerable that we have to put out to ramp and rose orchard, you got it right, and to then bring that into our Thailand manufacturing for packaging and test. We formed a series of arrangements that, for the most part, are three-year arrangements, and those arrangements, you know, as our normal arrangements have pricing built into them.
There are pricing levers that we can exercise if certain conditions are met, so we think we have some room there on the, on the price line, but, you know, these are giving us a lot of surety in terms of that demand, not evaporating, and in most instances, I think they're going to take or pay your comments, since you've been at the middle of that, but we feel really, really good about where we're sitting, room, and on the pumps. Again, you know, rough order, we're somewhere between 70, 80% share, and we believe we have a technology roadmap that our customers want to engage in, that will afford us the opportunity to work on price, to further increase output, but John, this is a darn exciting area for us.
Wupen YuenPresident of Global Business Units
We've been any additional color?
Tom O'MalleyAnalyst, Barclays
Great, that's great. Thanks Michael, that's really helpful. For the last 30 seconds here, a lot of discussion on NPO.
My quick follow up on that is, are the discussions engagements, you know, that type of thing associated with some of the open or standards-based NPO, you know, kind of the, yeah, I guess the standard-based NPO versus custom, and I'm asking, I'm just wondering if, you know, there's a better alternative for you, given your technology and positioning, does it matter?
Michael HurlstonChief Executive Officer
Yeah, look, I'll have Lupen comment just in the interest of time. I mean, there are OCI, right, different standards that are coming out that are talking about the way the interface between the ASIC and the optical engine, for example, that's great for us because that opens up switch opportunities, for example, that may not be open to us before. So the standard-based approach is, opens up optical TAM, but we are engaged to be honest with you in both, right? There are a lot of custom, very specific types of implementations that our customers are driving to, and we are, that's really going to be our first wave of NPO engagement room in any color?
Wupen YuenPresident of Global Business Units
A little bit of the color, I think just to extend what Michael just talked about, right? There are actually two things. One is that today, right, the physical level, the optical level, they're all so-called fast and narrow. 200 gig per lane, massive lanes, and the next generation, right, as Michael talked about would be like OCI and SA based, right? So that's on the optical side. But on the full factor side is very much proprietary, right? Everybody has a different design. Again, we talked about already a mass to their rack design, their system design, and that actually is different from customer to customer, right? So again, optically, they are kind of standard-based, but then on the implementation side, they're different between different customers.
Tom O'MalleyAnalyst, Barclays
Excellent. Thank you. Thanks so much, Ruben.
Thank you for your questions.
Kathy TaInvestor Relations
I will now turn the call back to Kathy for closing remarks. Thank you, Matthew. That is all the time we have for questions, and we look forward to connecting with you at upcoming investor conferences and meetings throughout the quarter.
With that, I'd like to thank you for joining us today. This concludes today's call. Thank you for attending. You may now.
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