Progressive (PGR) risk factors, 2025 10-K

Progressive's 2025 10-K lists 34 risk factors. No earlier 10-K is on file to compare against, so the most company-specific risks are read out below.

Risk factors listed
340 groups
Section length
11k wordsItem 1A

What dominates the section

  • Insurance profitability depends on accurate pricing, reserves, claims handling, catastrophe forecasting, and affordable reinsurance.
  • Technology disruption, cyberattacks, artificial intelligence, staffing, and third-party failures threaten operations and customer data.
  • Regulation, investment performance, capital access, subsidiary dividends, and counterparty strength affect financial flexibility.

The risks most specific to Progressive

  • Our success depends on our ability to underwrite and price risks accurately and to charge adequate rates to policyholders

    Underpricing policies or misjudging risks could leave premiums insufficient to cover claims, expenses, and profit targets.

  • Our success depends on our ability to establish accurate loss reserves

    Inaccurate loss reserves could cause Progressive to underestimate amounts ultimately payable on incurred claims and related adjustment costs.

  • Our insurance operating results have been and likely will continue to be materially adversely affected by severe weather and other catastrophe events, and climate change may be exacerbating these events and their impacts

    Hurricanes, tornadoes, floods, fires, cyberattacks, pandemics, and other catastrophes can materially damage insurance results; climate change may intensify impacts.

  • Our success will depend on our ability to continue to accurately predict our reinsurance needs, obtain sufficient reinsurance coverage for our property and other businesses at reasonable cost, and collect under our reinsurance arrangements

    Insufficient or costly reinsurance, catastrophe bonds, and state reinsurance funding could leave property and Commercial Lines exposures inadequately protected.

  • Our business could be materially adversely affected by a security breach or other attack involving our technology systems or the systems of one or more of our vendors

    A breach of Progressive’s or vendors’ systems could expose customer and employee information, intellectual property, trade secrets, and financial data.

  • Our success depends on our ability to adjust claims accurately

    Errors or delays in evaluating and paying claims could increase costs, litigation, customer dissatisfaction, and reputational damage.

  • Our workplace policies or perceptions of those policies by current and potential employees, including policies with respect to virtual, hybrid, and in-person work protocols, could impact our ability to attract, onboard, and retain talent with needed skills, knowledge, and experiences

    Weak staffing policies or inaccurate forecasts could impair talent retention and Progressive’s ability to handle changing volumes, including transportation network company growth.

  • Our development and use of new technology, such as generative artificial intelligence, may present additional risks, may not be successful, and could have a material adverse effect on our business

    Generative AI, machine learning, predictive models, and other new technologies may fail, create additional risks, or harm operations.

  • Our insurance subsidiaries may be limited in the amount of dividends that they can pay, which in turn may limit our ability to repay indebtedness, make capital contributions to other subsidiaries or affiliates, pay dividends to shareholders, repurchase securities, or meet other obligations

    Limits on insurance-subsidiary dividends could restrict the holding company’s ability to fund affiliates, repay debt, pay shareholders, or meet obligations.

All 34 risk factors

Headings as the filing states them, in filing order.

Other

  1. 01We have also included an “Other” section in the discussion below to identify risks that do not fit into one of the categories above
  2. 02Our success depends on our ability to underwrite and price risks accurately and to charge adequate rates to policyholders
  3. 03Our success depends on our ability to establish accurate loss reserves
  4. 04Our insurance operating results have been and likely will continue to be materially adversely affected by severe weather and other catastrophe events, and climate change may be exacerbating these events and their impacts
  5. 05Our success will depend on our ability to continue to accurately predict our reinsurance needs, obtain sufficient reinsurance coverage for our property and other businesses at reasonable cost, and collect under our reinsurance arrangements
  6. 06Our business depends on the secure and uninterrupted operation of our systems, facilities, and business functions and the operation of various third-party systems
  7. 07Our business could be materially adversely affected by a security breach or other attack involving our technology systems or the systems of one or more of our vendors
  8. 08We must maintain a brand and reputation that is recognized and trusted by consumers
  9. 09Our success depends on our ability to innovate effectively and respond to our competitors’ initiatives
  10. 10We must effectively manage complexity as we develop and deliver high-quality products and customer experiences
  11. 11We compete in property and casualty insurance markets that are highly competitive
  12. 12Our success depends on our ability to adjust claims accurately
  13. 13We are subject to a variety of complex laws and regulations
  14. 14Moreover, inconsistencies in requirements among the various states, or between state and federal requirements, or changes in regulatory priorities, may further complicate our compliance efforts, potentially resulting in additional costs for us
  15. 15Misconduct or fraudulent acts by employees, agents, and third parties may expose us to financial loss, disruption of business, and/or regulatory assessments
  16. 16Our ability to attract, develop, and retain talent, including employees, managers, and executives, and to maintain appropriate staffing levels, is critical to our success
  17. 17Our workplace policies or perceptions of those policies by current and potential employees, including policies with respect to virtual, hybrid, and in-person work protocols, could impact our ability to attract, onboard, and retain talent with needed skills, knowledge, and experiences
  18. 18Lawsuits challenging our business practices, and those of our competitors and other companies, are pending and more may be filed in the future
  19. 19Our long-term business strategy and efforts to acquire or develop new products or enter new areas of business may not be successful and may create enhanced risks
  20. 20Intellectual property rights could affect our competitiveness and our business operations
  21. 21Our development and use of new technology, such as generative artificial intelligence, may present additional risks, may not be successful, and could have a material adverse effect on our business
  22. 22The performance of our fixed-income and equity investment portfolios is subject to a variety of investment risks
  23. 23liquidity available to, one or more issuers of those securities or, in the case of asset-backed securities, due to the deterioration of the loans or other assets that underlie the securities
  24. 24New regulations and societal pressures relating to ESG and other public policy matters could negatively impact our returns or cause us to change our investing strategies in ways that could negatively impact our results
  25. 25The inability to access our cash accounts or to convert investments into cash on favorable terms when we desire to do so may materially and adversely affect our business, cash flows, and capital position
  26. 26Our financial condition may be adversely affected if one or more parties with which we enter into significant contracts or transact business (including under certain government programs) become insolvent, experience other financial difficulties, or default in the performance of contractual or reimbursement obligations
  27. 27Our insurance subsidiaries may be limited in the amount of dividends that they can pay, which in turn may limit our ability to repay indebtedness, make capital contributions to other subsidiaries or affiliates, pay dividends to shareholders, repurchase securities, or meet other obligations
  28. 28If we are unable to obtain capital when necessary to support our business, our financial condition and our ability to grow could be materially adversely affected
  29. 29Our access to capital markets, ability to obtain or renew financing arrangements, obligations to post collateral under certain derivative contracts, and business operations are dependent on favorable evaluations and ratings by credit and other rating agencies
  30. 30Our dividend policy likely will result in varying amounts being paid to our common shareholders, or no payment in some periods, and the dividend policy ultimately may be changed in the discretion of the Board of Directors
  31. 31Our investments in certain tax-advantaged projects may not generate the anticipated tax benefits and related returns
  32. 32Our goal is to maximize the long-term value of the enterprise and we do not manage to short-term earnings expectations, which may adversely affect short-term results
  33. 33securities. Our personal property business has caused, and is likely to continue to cause, additional volatility in our consolidated results
  34. 34Our business and results of operations could be adversely affected by epidemics, pandemics, or other widespread health risks

Other Progressive 10-Ks

  • 2026 10-K risk factors

    31 risks. The company's risk profile is dominated by insurance underwriting, loss reserving, and catastrophe exposure across 50 states.

    Filed Mar 02, 2026

About this page

Item 1A of the 10-K on EDGAR was split into its risk factors and, where the company's previous 10-K is on file, each heading was matched to last year's and the text compared word for word. The headings are the filing's own. The one-line readings and the overview were written by a language model from the text of the new, dropped, and rewritten risks; they refer to risks by position and cannot misquote a heading.

Progressive (PGR) Risk Factors: 2025 10-K, What Changed | Gloomberb