TMC the metals (TMC) risk factors, FY2025 10-K

TMC the metals's FY2025 10-K, filed Mar 31, 2026, lists 59 risk factors. Against the prior year's 61: 4 new, 6 dropped, 16 substantially reworded.

Risk factors listed
590 groups
New this year
4vs 61 last year
Dropped
6since the prior 10-K
Substantially reworded
16of those kept
Section length
22k wordsItem 1A

What the changes say

  • TMC highlights regulatory uncertainties between ISA and US NOAA frameworks for seafloor nodule mining.
  • The company faces risks from future debt financing, potential litigation, and warrant dilution updates.
  • Technical reports and mineral reserve estimates were updated across NORI and TOML contract areas.

What changed since the prior 10-K

New

  • New

    Our business is subject to numerous regulatory uncertainties which, if not resolved in our favor, would have a material adverse impact on our business

    Uncertainties in the ISA and U.S. DSHMRA regulatory regimes may prevent us from obtaining commercial recovery permits or exploration licenses on viable terms.

  • New

    Our efforts to pursue deep-sea nodule exploration licenses and a commercial recovery permit under DSHMRA may subject us to conflicting regulatory regimes, uncertain legal interpretations, and operational risks that could adversely affect our business

    Pursuing a U.S. regulatory pathway with NOAA while maintaining ISA contracts creates conflicting regulatory regimes, legal interpretations, and operational risks.

  • New

    We are involved in litigation that may adversely affect us

    We are subject to ongoing litigation, including a securities class action filed in October 2021 in the Eastern District of New York.

  • New

    We may incur debt in the future, and our ability to satisfy our obligations thereunder remains subject to a variety of factors, many of which are not within our control

    Incurring future debt under our credit facility with ERAS Capital LLC and Gerard Barron could reduce our financial flexibility.

Dropped

  • Dropped

    Our efforts to explore a regulatory pathway for deep-sea nodule production under the U.S. Deep Seabed Hard Mineral Resources Act may subject us to conflicting regulatory requirements and other operational risks

  • Dropped

    definitively known. For the same reasons, it may also not be possible to definitively say whether the impact of nodule collection on global biodiversity will be less significant than those estimated for land-based mining for a similar amount of produced metal

  • Dropped

    Reduced growth in the adoption of electric vehicles by consumers may change our strategy and our business and operating results may be impacted

  • Dropped

    We are involved in litigation that may adversely affect us and may not be successful in our litigation related to non-performing Private Investment in Public Equity (“PIPE”) investors

    U.S. DSHMRA regulatory pathway uncertainties.

  • Dropped

    In addition, although we commenced litigation against two investors who failed to fund their commitment to purchase approximately $220 million in connection with the financing at the close of the Business Combination, we may not recover any amounts from these investors

  • Dropped

    We may seek to incur debt in the future to fund our exploration and operational programs, which would reduce our financial flexibility and could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition or results of operation

    Biodiversity loss and CCZ protection area uncertainties.

Reworded

  • 83% rewritten

    Changes to any of the laws, rules, regulations or policies to which we are subject could have a significant impact on our business

    The text was reissued without substantive changes to regulatory non-compliance risks.

  • 79% rewritten

    We are reliant on third parties to conduct independent analyses with respect to our business, and any inaccuracies in such analyses could have a material adverse effect on our offshore collection and onshore processing and refining objectives

    Updated references from initial assessments to the NORI-D PFS and TOML and NORI IA technical reports.

  • 64% rewritten

    We have limited operating history, and there can be no assurance that we will be able to commercially develop our resource areas or achieve profitability in the future

    Added explicit mention of pursuing project applications and approvals from NOAA or the ISA across multiple CCZ project areas.

  • 61% rewritten

    If our outstanding warrants are exercised, the number of shares eligible for future resale in the public market will increase and result in dilution to our shareholders. You will likely experience further dilution if we issue common shares in future financing transactions

    Updated outstanding warrant counts and added details for Class C, Korea Zinc, and Nauru warrants.

  • 60% rewritten

    Actual capital costs, financing strategies, operating costs, production and economic returns may differ significantly from those we have anticipated and there can be no assurance that any future development activities will result in profitable metal production operations

    Updated capital and operating cost references from initial assessments to the NORI-D PFS and TOML and NORI IA reports.

  • 55% rewritten

    There can be no assurance that the Public Warrants, Private Warrants, Class A Warrants, Class B Warrants, Class C Warrants, Korea Zinc Warrants, Nauru Warrants, and Tonga Warrants will be in the money, and they may expire worthless

    Updated share price ranges, closing prices, and added September 2026 expiration for Public and Private Warrants.

    Was: There can be no assurance that the Public Warrants, Private Warrants, Class A Warrants and Class B Warrants will be in the money, and they may expire worthless

  • 51% rewritten

    Mineral resource and mineral reserve estimates from the contract areas of NORI and TOML are only estimates

    Updated to include probable mineral reserves declared in the NORI-D PFS for NORI Area D.

    Was: Mineral resource estimates from the contract areas of NORI and TOML are only estimates

  • 50% rewritten

    No seafloor polymetallic nodule deposit has ever been commercially collected, and our offshore collection technology and development plans and processes may not be sufficient to accomplish our objectives

    Retained the risk that seafloor polymetallic nodule collection equipment and technology remain unproven in subsea conditions.

  • 48% rewritten

    On March 4, 2023, the United Nations finalized the text of the UN High Seas Treaty. The treaty does not replace or amend UNCLOS, or the authority of the ISA, and must be interpreted consistently with the provisions of the Convention, including the rights granted thereunder

    Was: On March 4, 2023, the United Nations finalized the UN High Seas Treaty. The treaty does not replace or amend UNCLOS, or the authority of the ISA, and must be interpreted consistently with the rights granted by the Convention

  • 43% rewritten

    We may issue additional common shares or other equity securities without shareholder approval, which would dilute your ownership interests and may depress the market price of our common shares and sales of a substantial amount of our common shares may cause the price of our Common Shares to fall

  • 43% rewritten

    As a public company, we are required to implement and maintain internal controls over financial reporting and to report any material weaknesses in such internal controls. There is no guarantee we will maintain effective internal controls in the future

  • 43% rewritten

    While the metallurgical recovery estimates have been derived from commercial operation benchmarking, benchscale and pilot scale testwork, the commercial metal recoveries to products could vary significantly from these estimates

  • 35% rewritten

    Our ability to generate revenue will be diminished if we are unable to compete with substitutions for the minerals that we intend to process or adapt to shifts in end-market demand

  • 31% rewritten

    Our resource development activities are subject to changes in government regulation and political instability

  • 27% rewritten

    We operate in a competitive industry, and there are no assurances that our efforts will be successful

  • 23% rewritten

    VI. Public Company Risks and Risks Related to our Securities

All 59 risk factors

Headings as the filing states them, in filing order.

Other

  1. 01Summary of Material Risks Associated with Our Business
  2. 02Our business is subject to numerous regulatory uncertainties which, if not resolved in our favor, would have a material adverse impact on our businessNew
  3. 03On March 4, 2023, the United Nations finalized the text of the UN High Seas Treaty. The treaty does not replace or amend UNCLOS, or the authority of the ISA, and must be interpreted consistently with the provisions of the Convention, including the rights granted thereunder48% rewritten
  4. 04Our efforts to pursue deep-sea nodule exploration licenses and a commercial recovery permit under DSHMRA may subject us to conflicting regulatory regimes, uncertain legal interpretations, and operational risks that could adversely affect our businessNew
  5. 05Our resource development activities are subject to changes in government regulation and political instability31% rewritten
  6. 06Changes to any of the laws, rules, regulations or policies to which we are subject could have a significant impact on our business83% rewritten
  7. 07We may become subject to environmental liabilities as a result of noncompliance with existing or future regulations
  8. 08The grade and quality of the polymetallic nodule deposits that we intend to develop are estimates, and there are no guarantees that such deposits will be suitable for collecting or commercialization
  9. 09No seafloor polymetallic nodule deposit has ever been commercially collected, and our offshore collection technology and development plans and processes may not be sufficient to accomplish our objectives50% rewritten
  10. 10We are reliant on third parties to conduct independent analyses with respect to our business, and any inaccuracies in such analyses could have a material adverse effect on our offshore collection and onshore processing and refining objectives79% rewritten
  11. 11Mineral resource and mineral reserve estimates from the contract areas of NORI and TOML are only estimates 51% rewritten
  12. 12Our business is subject to significant risks, and we may never develop minerals in sufficient grade or quantities to justify commercial operations
  13. 13Uncertainty in our estimates of polymetallic nodule deposits could result in lower-than-expected revenues and higher costs
  14. 14We operate in a competitive industry, and there are no assurances that our efforts will be successful27% rewritten
  15. 15The prevailing market prices of nickel, manganese, copper, cobalt, and other commodities will have a material impact on our ability to achieve commercial success
  16. 16We may be adversely affected by fluctuations in demand for nickel, manganese, copper, cobalt, and other commodities
  17. 17We may experience difficulty in creating market acceptance for a novel manganese product
  18. 18Our ability to generate revenue will be diminished if we are unable to compete with substitutions for the minerals that we intend to process or adapt to shifts in end-market demand35% rewritten
  19. 19Negative perceptions related to the offshore collection of polymetallic nodules could have a material adverse effect on our business
  20. 20We, our partners and our shareholders may be adversely impacted by pressure and lobbying from non-governmental organizations
  21. 21Offshore collection and onshore processing and refining operations pose inherent risks and costs that may negatively impact our business
  22. 22The polymetallic nodules that we may recover may require specialized transfer and delivery equipment and processes, and there is no certainty that we will be able to develop or otherwise access such transfer and delivery equipment or processes that are suitable for our purposes
  23. 23Our business is contingent on our ability to successfully identify, collect, ship and process polymetallic nodules profitably, and in doing so, we will need to rely on certain existing and future strategic relationships, some of which we may be unable to maintain and/or develop
  24. 24Some of the offshore equipment that we will need to accomplish our objectives has not been manufactured and/or tested
  25. 25Our business is substantially dependent on our strategic relationship with Allseas. If we and Allseas are unable to successfully maintain and expand this relationship, our business may be materially harmed
  26. 26While the metallurgical recovery estimates have been derived from commercial operation benchmarking, benchscale and pilot scale testwork, the commercial metal recoveries to products could vary significantly from these estimates43% rewritten
  27. 27Our exploration, development and polymetallic nodule collecting activities may be affected by natural hazards, which could have a material adverse effect on our business
  28. 28Fluctuations in transportation costs or disruptions in transportation, processes or services, or damage or loss during transport could decrease our profitability or impair our ability to supply polymetallic nodules, processed minerals or products to our customers, which could adversely affect our results of operations
  29. 29Actual capital costs, financing strategies, operating costs, production and economic returns may differ significantly from those we have anticipated and there can be no assurance that any future development activities will result in profitable metal production operations60% rewritten
  30. 30We have limited operating history, and there can be no assurance that we will be able to commercially develop our resource areas or achieve profitability in the future64% rewritten
  31. 31Work stoppages or similar difficulties could significantly disrupt our operations, reduce our revenues and materially adversely affect our results of operations
  32. 32A shortage of skilled technicians and engineers may further increase operating costs, which could materially adversely affect our results of operations
  33. 33We depend on key personnel for the success of our business. The loss of key personnel or the hiring of ineffective personnel could negatively impact our operations and profitability
  34. 34Our growth will depend on our ability to execute on our plans and expand our operations and controls while maintaining effective cost controls
  35. 35We are dependent upon information technology systems, which are subject to cyber threats, disruption, damage and failure
  36. 36Our business is subject to a variety of risks, some of which may not be covered by our future or existing insurance policies
  37. 37We may not be able to adequately protect our intellectual property rights. If we fail to adequately enforce or defend our intellectual property rights, our business may be harmed
  38. 38We or our partners may not be able to obtain necessary patents and the legal protection afforded by any patents may not adequately protect our or our partners’ rights or permit us to gain or keep any competitive advantage
  39. 39If we infringe, or are accused of infringing, on the intellectual property rights of third parties, it may increase our costs or prevent us from being able to commercialize new products
  40. 40If we are unable to resolve claims that may be brought against us by third parties related to their intellectual property rights on terms acceptable to us, we may be precluded from offering some of our products or using some of our processes
  41. 41VI. Public Company Risks and Risks Related to our Securities23% rewritten
  42. 42We may issue additional common shares or other equity securities without shareholder approval, which would dilute your ownership interests and may depress the market price of our common shares and sales of a substantial amount of our common shares may cause the price of our Common Shares to fall43% rewritten
  43. 43If our outstanding warrants are exercised, the number of shares eligible for future resale in the public market will increase and result in dilution to our shareholders. You will likely experience further dilution if we issue common shares in future financing transactions61% rewritten
  44. 44There can be no assurance that the Public Warrants, Private Warrants, Class A Warrants, Class B Warrants, Class C Warrants, Korea Zinc Warrants, Nauru Warrants, and Tonga Warrants will be in the money, and they may expire worthless55% rewritten
  45. 45We are involved in litigation that may adversely affect usNew
  46. 46We may incur debt in the future, and our ability to satisfy our obligations thereunder remains subject to a variety of factors, many of which are not within our controlNew
  47. 47An active trading market for our common shares and warrants may not be sustained, which would adversely affect the liquidity and price of our securities
  48. 48There can be no assurance that we will be able to comply with the continued listing standards of Nasdaq
  49. 49As a public company, we are required to implement and maintain internal controls over financial reporting and to report any material weaknesses in such internal controls. There is no guarantee we will maintain effective internal controls in the future43% rewritten
  50. 50The market price of our securities may be volatile, which could cause the value of your investment to decline
  51. 51We may redeem unexpired warrants prior to their exercise at a time that is disadvantageous, thereby making the warrants worthless
  52. 52Reports published by analysts, including projections in those reports that differ from our actual results, could adversely affect the price and trading volume of our common shares
  53. 53As we are not a reporting issuer in Canada, our common shares and Special Shares may be subject to restrictions on resale in Canada
  54. 54We are exposed to risks vis-à-vis our multi-national operations, which could adversely affect our business
  55. 55Canadian law and our Notice and Articles contain certain provisions, including anti-takeover provisions that limit the ability of shareholders to take certain actions and could delay or discourage takeover attempts that shareholders may consider favorable
  56. 56For instance, our Notice of Articles and Articles contain provisions that establish certain advance notice procedures for nomination of candidates for election as directors at shareholders’ meetings
  57. 57Further changes to critical minerals policies and regulations in Canada and the U.S. and elsewhere may impact our ability to conduct our businesses internationally, including processing and sales of minerals and metals, and the ability to negotiate or agree any merger, acquisition or change of control
  58. 58Our Notice and Articles permit us to issue an unlimited number of common shares and preferred shares without seeking approval of the holders of our common shares
  59. 59As a company incorporated in British Columbia with some of our directors and officers residing outside of the U.S., it may be difficult for investors in the U.S. to enforce civil liabilities against us based solely upon the federal securities laws of the U.S

Other TMC the metals 10-Ks

  • FY2024 10-K risk factors
    61 risks

    Deep-sea nodule collection faces severe regulatory uncertainty under the ISA, UNCLOS, and potential U.S. DSHMRA pathways. Commercial viability is unproven, relying heavily on Allseas and unbuilt equipment. Environmental opposition and potential biodiversity impacts threaten market acceptance in the EV supply chain.

    Filed Mar 27, 2025

About this page

The headings are the filing's own. The one-line readings and the overview are automated and can be wrong: read Item 1A of the 10-K for the exact wording.