Summary
Management framed the quarter around execution, growing contracting flexibility and expansion progress, while keeping guidance conservative amid volatile LNG markets.
- 91%91% of 2026 volumes are contracted, up from 84% at the prior call; management expects to tighten guidance after Q3.
- Summer output held relatively stable despite planned turbine maintenance, which management attributed to modularity, redundancy and operational improvements.
- Management emphasized preserving upside through shorter- and medium-term deals rather than contracting all expansion capacity on 20-year terms.
Guidance
- $9.1B2026 consolidated adjusted EBITDA $8.7–$9.1 billion.
- $12.50Remaining 2026 cargo liquefaction fee assumption $12.50–$13.50 per MMBtu.
- $210MEach $1 per MMBtu change in remaining 2026 fixed liquefaction fees shifts EBITDA by $180–$210 million.
- CP2 expansion FID expected in early 2027; first LNG expected in late 2028.
- Plaquemines Phase 1 expansion FID targeted for the first half of 2027; production expected in 2029.
What analysts pressed on
- 01Guidance increase drivers: management cited strong production execution and conservative remaining-year market assumptions amid LNG price volatility.
- 022027 price sensitivity: management pointed to $650–$700 million EBITDA impact per $1 move, without further explanation in the answer.
- 03Customer contracting amid Middle East disruption: management described increased five-year interest and ongoing 20-year negotiations, without quantifying deals.
- 04Ideal contract mix: management said excess capacity would be largely contracted multi-year, with greater emphasis on shorter terms than nameplate volumes.
- 05CP2 schedule: management called the timeline conservative and disciplined, citing strong site progress but declined to narrow startup timing.
- 06Dividend and buybacks: management said dividend growth would continue and buybacks could be considered, without quantifying future returns.
Notable disclosures
- 100%Management said 100% of nameplate capacity across its first three projects is contracted, while 32 MTPA of additional capacity remains to market.
- Management expects expansion projects to reach production roughly 18–20 months after FID, enabling more medium-term contracting than conventional projects.
- Management said planned Caukshire Pass turbine inspections caused inconsequential LNG production impact, rather than deferring maintenance during strong markets.
- Management said it expects multiple contracts of varied terms before year-end, with five-year interest rising over the prior 90 days.
Risks raised
- Middle East-related LNG price volatility widened the 2026 guidance range; management expects to revisit its breadth after Q3.
- Management warned Europe’s low gas inventories leave the region exposed physically and economically to severe winter weather.
- Management identified pipeline interconnects and transportation capacity, rather than domestic gas availability, as key constraints to securing feed gas access.
- CP2 startup timing remains broadly stated despite strong progress; management said it is intentionally being disciplined and conservative.
Tone: Confident 0.78
Management highlighted strong execution, rising guidance and expansion momentum, while acknowledging market volatility and maintaining conservative project and pricing assumptions.
Who spoke
Company
- Ben NolanInvestor Relations
- Michael SabelChief Executive Officer
- Jonathan ThayerChief Financial Officer
Analysts
- Manav GuptaAnalyst, UBS
- Unidentified AnalystAnalyst, Goldman Sachs
- Elvira ScottoAnalyst, RBC Capital Markets
- Zach Van EverenAnalyst, TPH Research
- Wade SukiAnalyst, Capital One
Full transcript
Analyst questions are marked with a bar. Timestamps are into the recording.
Prepared remarks
Hello, everyone, thank you for joining us and welcome to the Venture Global Inc. 2nd quarter 2026 earnings conference call. After today's prepare for marks, we will host a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one to raise your hand. To withdraw your question, press star one again. I will now hand the conference over to Ben Nolan, senior vice president of investor relations. Ben, please go ahead.
Ben NolanInvestor Relations
Thank you, Trevor. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to Venture Global Inc. 2nd quarter 2026 earnings call. I'm joined this morning by Mike Sable, venture global's CEO, executive co-chairman and founder, Jack there, our CFO, and other members of venture global senior management team.
Before I begin, I would like to remind all listeners that our remarks, including answers to your questions, may contain forward-looking statements and actual results may differ materially from what is described in these statements. I encourage you to refer to the disclaimers in our earnings presentation, which is available on the investor section of our website. Additionally, we may include references to certain non-GAP metrics such as Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA, which we may refer to simply as EBITDA during this call. A reconciliation of these metrics to the most relevant GAP metrics measures can be found in the appendix of the earnings presentation posted on our website.
Finally, the guidance in this presentation is only effective as of today. In general, we will not update guidance until the following quarter and will not update or affirm guidance other than through broadly disseminated public disclosure. I'll now turn the call over to Mike Sable.
Michael SabelChief Executive Officer
Thank you, Ben. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. We are pleased to share our second quarter, 2026 results. I will begin the call with an overview of our key accomplishments in the quarter and an update on the business. I will then make some remarks on the LNG industry before turning over the call to JAC, who will provide a more detailed review of our financial results as well as updated guidance for 2026. Following all prepared remarks, we will open the call to Q&A. On page 5, you can see some of the highlights for the quarter, including our largest ever quarterly EBITDA of $2.5 billion, and significant growth in volumes, revenue, income from operations, net income, and EBITDA year over year.
We are increasing our 2026 EBITDA guidance to $8.7 to $9.1 billion from $8.2 to $8.5 billion, based on current market outlook for the remainder of the year. Given outsized LNG price volatility related to events in the Middle East, we have maintained a broader than usual guidance range than in the past. As we contract the remainder of our expected volumes for the year, we expect to tighten this range following third quarter. Jack will discuss these numbers in greater detail in a moment.
Turning to page 6, in the second quarter, we exported 127 Cargos while maintaining our incredible record of safety. Commercial Momentum continued in the second quarter where we executed over two MTPA of new or increased LNG offtake agreements with new and existing customers, including total energies, VTOL, EMBW, and Atlantic Sea. The market is welcome venture globals ability to offer customers' optionality in uniquely contracting short, medium, and long-term volumes. I'm also proud to highlight that we exported our 1,000th cargo just four years after venture globals' first cargo in the first week of March 2022. The team has worked tirelessly to make us the safest, most efficient, and best performing LNG company in the industry, and we now have the track record to prove it.
These efforts, along with the investments, innovations, and process improvements we have made to our machines, position venture global well to export our next 1,000 Cargos in a fraction of the time. And in just a few years, we should be exporting more than 1,000 Cargos every year.
With our continued operational and commercial execution, we are confident in the resiliency of our cash flows. On that basis, the Board has recently improved an increase in our quarterly common dividends to 4 cents per share, a 122 percent increase. We are pleased to show this dividend growth and reward our shareholders. This quarter, we were very active in optimizing our capital structure and reducing our capital costs. We refinanced several tranches of term loans, bonds, and even preferred equity, which totaled more than $5.3 billion of capital cumulatively, and should reduce our annual interest in coupon obligations by more than $100 million. We added a new $1.5 billion term loan against our nine LNG carriers, which had previously been funded by cash.
We appreciate our capital partners and the team who has worked tirelessly to bring all these transactions together. Venture Global has now raised or refinance more than $103 billion of capital.
Moving to page seven, our contracted position for 2026 has increased markedly to over 91 percent of the portfolio from the 84 percent previously reported on our first quarter earnings call in May. The 127 Cargos produced in the second quarter were at the high end of our Cargos range for the full year. While normal seasonality does impact production during warmer months, I do think it is worth noting that we have made operational and capital investments to reduce the adverse impact of summer temperatures, which you can see is demonstrated in our relatively stable production profile. Rather than artificially increasing LNG production by deferring maintenance to capitalize on stronger market demand, our solid production performance during the summer months reflects our ongoing focus on innovation and operational improvement.
In fact, instead of postponing maintenance, we completed significant planned work during the quarter, including hot gas path inspections on the gas turbines at Caukshire Pass, activities that would typically require substantial production downtime at most LNG facilities. Given our modular configuration and built in redundancies, the impact of maintenance on our LNG production was inconsequential. Importantly, we are still early in our optimization journey and expect to debodel neck and deliver further enhancements to our output and operational performance over the coming years.
Turning to page eight, our in-house engineering procurement and construction team is working hard to safely keep CP2 on time and on budget. Now, just over a year from FID, which was July of last year, July 28, the project has roofs raised on all four LNG storage tanks, 16 fabricated liquefaction modules on site, and five of the gas and steam turbines that made up the power plant on foundations. For those power plants, we are assembling our heat recovery steam generators, the Herzigs, off site at our Morgan City facility in Louisiana. We have now built and transported five Herzigs to CP2. You can see one of them arriving and on the barge at CP2 in the picture here, which is no small task as they are nine stories tall in each way, more than 1,500 tons.
This is the first time we have built our own Herzigs, which are some of the largest modular Herzigs ever built. By taking the scope in-house and managed by our internal EPC team, we have removed one of the major bottlenecks in our construction schedule, which should streamline our timeline for first LNG.
On page nine, we have our bolt-on expansions at CP2 and plaquemons. In May, we filed an application with FERC for the expansion of CP2, which would be entirely within the existing CP2 footprint. We were pleased to receive a pre-filing waiver from FERC and have already ordered long lead equipment, such as power modules and liquefaction trains, from our long-standing partners at Baker Hughes. We expect to make a final investment decision on the 10 MTP expansion in early 2027 with first LNG production at the CP2 expansion in late 2028. For the plaquemons expansion, you can see the first phase of our bolt-on expansion plans depicted on the slide.
As previously disclosed, we expect the first phase to include eight liquefaction trains producing 6.4 MTPA of LNG. We filed to permit the full 31 MTPA expansion of plaquemons to be constructed in multiple phases late last year in a targeting FID in the first half of next year with production from phase one in 2029. To facilitate the expansion of plaquemons, we expect to build a new pipeline to North Louisiana called Cloud Connector and once producing from phase one, our runway production across all three projects is expected to be approximately 85 MTPA.
As you can see on page 10, we currently have around 53 of this 85 MTPA committed under long and medium-term contracts. Notably, 100% of our nameplate capacity across our first three projects is contracted. The additional 32 MTPA available for marketing is comprised of excess capacity in the addition of the CP2 and plaquemons phase one bolt-on expansions. We continue to maintain a portfolio approach and anticipate contracting the majority of this capacity through both the mix of long-term agreements to support new financing and medium-term contracts designed to enhance returns and retain flexibility. To help understand the portfolio approach I just described in the option value it creates for venture global. On page 12, we show the frequency distribution of implied liquefaction fees between the emergence of shale gas into the U. S. market from 2010 to 2010.
As you can see, after adjusting for the cost of gas as well as conservative shipping and logistics costs, the average liquefaction fee would be over $6 for MMBTU. While that does include several periods of significantly elevated prices, it also includes the COVID-related downturn of 2020 and even adjusting for those, the median fee would still be nearly twice that of a 20-year contract price and inevitably those periods of elevated pricing take place a few times a decade. This substantial spread with asymmetric extrinsic option value highlights the premium available for short and intermediate-term contracts in the LNG market. We believe our contracting approach and balance portfolio provide downside production with the ability to monetize our available LNG capacity at long-term rates establishing a pricing floor.
At the same time, our blended portfolio approach provides flexibility to capture materially better returns on medium-term contracts and remain in a position to harvest outsized returns on shorter-dated contracting during periods of cyclical strength. These consistently higher blended returns influence our capital allocation decisions as we believe retaining and monetizing the additional upside option value from a balance portfolio dramatically enhances the cash flow and absolute value of our LNG assets.
Turning to page 13, while LNG supply has of course been impacted by the events in the Middle East, demand has been resilient. As you can see, most of the substantial Asian markets have experienced a meaningful rebound in imports following the initial impact of elevated prices for the recent months higher on a year-over-year basis. High temperatures in both Asia and Europe have driven greater power demand and industrial demand from sectors like the fertilizer market has also proven to be inelastic. Importantly, as you can see here, European gas inventories remain well below normal levels which will likely drive higher winter demand and pricing. In fact, Europe is increasingly approaching a point at which it is exposed to severe winter weather, dangerously exposed both physically and economically.
Now I'll turn the over to our CFO, Jack Thayer, who review the quarterly performance, provide an overview of our project performance and discuss our updated financial guidance.
Jonathan ThayerChief Financial Officer
Thank you, Mike, and good morning to those of you on the line. I'll be referring to the Venture Global Incorporated Form 10Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2026. The 10Q is available on our website and some of the key results are summarized on page 15 of the presentation. During this call, I will highlight results I believe are salient to this audience and I encourage you to review the entirety of our financial statements in detail. Beginning with revenue, our top line was $4.6 billion for the second quarter of 2026, a $1.5 billion or 48% increase from the $3.1 billion during the equivalent period in 2025.
This increase in revenue was driven by $1.3 billion from higher sales volumes, 466 TBTU in the second quarter of 2026 compared with 329 TBTU in the second quarter of 2025, and $102 million from higher net LNG sales prices. Our income from operations was $2.2 billion in the second quarter of 2026, a $1.2 billion or 111% increase from $1.0 billion in the second quarter of 2025. This shift was primarily driven by the higher sales volumes I previously mentioned, augmented by higher LNG sales prices net of the cost of feed gas. Our operating and maintenance costs were $118 million higher respectively year over year due to the increased commissioning work at Plackmans and from more venture global owned ships being in operation.
GNA expenses were largely unchanged year over year despite a larger head count. Our development costs were lower than the same period last year as we were able to capitalize more costs associated with CP2 and our pipeline and bolt-on expansions. Our net income attributable to common stockholders, which we refer to as net income, was $1.3 billion for the second quarter of 2026, a $979 million or 266% increase from the $368 million in the second quarter of 2025.
Higher interest expense was offset by favorable changes in interest rate swaps and income taxes were higher due to an increase in net income. Shifting to consolidated adjusted EBITDA, we earned $2.5 billion during the second quarter of 2026, a $1.1 billion or 79% increase from $1.4 billion in the second quarter of 2025. This increase in consolidated adjusted EBITDA was driven chiefly by higher sales volumes as well as higher LNG sales prices net of the cost of feed gas.
Our EBITDA margin was 54% for the quarter as higher volumes and better pricing was not accompanied by commensurate increases in costs. Once again, this quarter our treasury team was busy refinancing $5.3 billion since our last earnings call. In June, we refinanced $2.25 billion of entry global incorporated senior secured notes, and we raised $1.5 billion in vessel financing.
In July, together with our partners at Whitewater, we reprised the $1.07 billion senior secured term loan B. As Mike mentioned earlier, we're expecting our refinancing efforts thus far in 2026 to have saved more than $100 million in annual interest costs and preferred dividend coupons.
As you see on page 16, we are providing a consolidated adjusted EBITDA guidance range of $8.7 to $9.1 billion for 2026, which is up from $8.2 to $8.5 billion when we reported in May and conservatively reflects the current market in volatility. This range contemplates a current market liquefaction fee of $12.50 to $13.50 per MBTU for Cargoes remaining to be sold in 2026.
This conservative range represents a modest discount to the current TTF and JKM forward price expectations. On average, if fixed liquefaction fees over the remainder of 2026 increase or decrease by $1 per MBTU, we expect our consolidated adjusted EBITDA range to adjust accordingly by $180 to $210 million, reflecting our accelerated pace of contracting and our 91% contracted position.
Lastly, before turning it back to Mike, on page 17, we walk through the capital allocation priorities we laid out last quarter, funding expansion, strategic deleveraging, and balance sheet optimization and return of capital.
First, as we discussed, we're making excellent progress not only on the construction of CP2, but increasingly on the bolt-on additions at both CP2 and placements, having already made material equity contributions to both expansions.
Second, with respect to the balance sheet, I just walked through some of the refinancing measures we have taken, and through July of this year, we have repaid $1.4 billion of debt, including about $1.3 billion of the bridge loan at CP2, and reduced our annual interest and coupon obligations by more than $100 million. With COD of placements in Q4, and with the start of production at CP2 next year, we anticipate positive developments with respect to our credit ratings.
Lastly, this morning, we announced a 122% increase in our dividend to $0.4 per quarter. Over the longer term, we believe our portfolio of high return bolt-on opportunities will remain in an attractive avenue for future investment. However, the relative scale of the incremental capital investment is expected to decline compared to our growing cash flows, creating more opportunities for other capital allocation priorities. Specifically, we plan to continue to retire and refinance higher cost capital as bonds mature or are callable. We are confident in the resiliency of our cash flows and expect to grow our dividend over time.
Additionally, we may also pursue share repurchases as other incremental means of enhancing shareholder value and returns as our capital program matures. I'll now turn the call back over to Mike.
Michael SabelChief Executive Officer
Thank you, Jack. At this point, we would like to open up the call for Q&A.
Questions and answers
Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. Please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up. If you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 to raise your hand. To withdraw your question, press star 1 again. We ask that you pick up your handset when asking a question to allow for optimum sound quality. If you are muted locally, please remember to unmute your device. Your first question comes from the line of Manav Gupta with UBS. Your line is open.
Manav GuptaAnalyst, UBS
Congrats on a good quarter. I just wanted to talk a little bit on also congratulations on raising the dividend. Those things matter and your comments on potential share buybacks. So they're all very positive. I wanted to talk a little bit about your guidance race. Can you help us understand some of the drivers of the guidance race? Because the way we are thinking about it, you started the year at a guidance and now this guidance is almost 60% higher than your original guidance. If you can help us understand drivers of the new guidance race here.
Michael SabelChief Executive Officer
Sure, thanks Manav. The basis obviously of all of it is the execution by the team and the production at our facilities. So we continue to be confident of the quality of the continued production that we expect for the balance of the guidance activity, continue to produce well. And we highlighted those comments because it really is pure kind of operational demonstration of the uniqueness of the configuration of our facilities where we have multiple gas turbines not embedded directly in large liquefaction trains, but in multiple power plants that provide electricity for electrically driven compressors in our liquefaction trains. So it gives us maximum redundancy and availability even through maintenance. So we're pleased to see a demonstration of the execution.
Obviously, I've had a lot of volatility this year in the macro markets for LNG pricing. And the combination of just confidence in production and what we are anticipating conservatively, as Jack said, the markets look like for the remaining of the year feel good about increasing the absolute level of the cashier but not generated for the year which on the upper end moving past $9 billion is something that we're very, very proud of.
Manav GuptaAnalyst, UBS
Thank you, sir. My second follow-up here is obviously the global markets are disrupted. You are one of the few people who is ramping the projects absolutely at the right time. So you can supply more next year. I'm just trying to understand you have quantified on slide 16 the impact of $1 electrification on 2026 EBITDA, 182.10. I'm not looking for exact number but how should we think about this number as things stand? How much would the electrification see $1 movement change 2027 EBITDA if you could give us some puts and takes on that? That would be very good. Thank you.
Michael SabelChief Executive Officer
I think, Manob, on page 23 and the presentation, we actually answer that question for not just 27 but 28 and 29 and do we go to 2030 as well?
Jonathan ThayerChief Financial Officer
No, we stop at 2029.
Michael SabelChief Executive Officer
It's 650 to 700 or 27. That's a great chart because it shows the magnitude of the growth that's coming just from executing on CP2 and the brownfield expansion at CP2 and the first small expansion at Blochman's. Importantly, Mike, it kind of plays the COD at Plaquen's faces one and two as well. So with a greater contracted position, we're still maintaining significant optionality and exposure to the prevailing markets in a positive fashion.
Jonathan ThayerChief Financial Officer
Correct. As of now, we remain on schedule for and expect to be for Plaquen's COD's faces one and phase two.
Manav GuptaAnalyst, UBS
Thank you so much.
Michael SabelChief Executive Officer
Thanks, Manob.
Our next question comes from the line of John Mackie with Goldman Sachs. John, your line is open.
Unidentified AnalystAnalyst, Goldman Sachs
Good morning, John. Mackie. Hey, good morning, Mike. Team, appreciate the time. Sorry. Good morning. I wanted to pick up on some of the macro comments. You know, look, I think the disruption middle lease has gone on longer than we all would have anticipated. I'd be curious to hear from you just how your customer conversations have changed over the past, let's say, you know, couple months and how that is playing into your view around forward selling cargos either on a kind of prompt basis or maybe out to some of these five year contracts. Thanks.
Michael SabelChief Executive Officer
So it's a really, it's a really interesting question. We obviously are thinking about it every day. If you go back to right before the recent conflict started in the Straits of Hormuz, and if you recall the net spreads in the market that we were realizing were five to six dollars closer to six dollar net spreads prior to shooting, at that point we were very busy on 20 year contracting activity and discussions. And we have continued to be very busy and are active in and actually a significant number of negotiations on a 20 year contract basis. You've seen us do several billion dollars of five year deals and we continue to have interactive in those discussions as well and expect to have you know, multiple deals completed between now and the end of the year.
Obviously that's a there has been an uptick in interest on the, you know, the five year term in the last, in the last, you know, 90 days. So as this conflict has become more difficult to predict, I think there's been a, you know, I was going to say slight, but maybe a little more than slight uptick in shorter term contracting interest.
Unidentified AnalystAnalyst, Goldman Sachs
I appreciate the thoughts there. Second quick one from me going back to that kind of forward look on the volume outlook and the margin impact. The volume impact is up relative to how you framed it up last quarter. Can you just walk us through that? Is that FID timing? Is that CP2 in service timing? What are the person takes?
For the, the increase in the number of cargos? Is that correct? Yeah.
Michael SabelChief Executive Officer
I think, I think it's, it's really just as we continue to progress through the later stages of phase one of Blockamins, our confidence as we continue to operate there gets better and obviously we continue to see generate mass amounts of process data as well, that supports a lot of our analytics about production, forward production.
And, you know, as we described in, I think in July, we passed our 1000th cargo. So it's just, there's a huge increase every month in our operational knowledge that allows us to make those that, you know, we perform frequently. And as we get through that activity, that also gives us more clarity in what forward production can be. We mentioned a little bit in the comments about increased confidence in warm weather production at Blockamins. And that's, that's something we're very pleased with. And that's a, that's a part of it as well.
Unidentified AnalystAnalyst, Goldman Sachs
All right. That's great. Appreciate the time.
Michael SabelChief Executive Officer
Yep.
Our next question comes from the line of Gene Ann Salisbury with Bank of America. Your line is open.
Michael SabelChief Executive Officer
Good morning, Gene Ann.
Unidentified AnalystAnalyst
Hi, good morning. Thanks for the new slide around historical distribution of the liquefaction fee and the discussion around the balanced portfolio approach. What is kind of your latest thinking around your ideal steady state mix of long term contracts, medium term contracts and uncontracted in your book? And how far away is it from what your mix looks like today?
Michael SabelChief Executive Officer
So our, our, our plan and our target is to largely contract which we've already done in the nameplate capacity, largely contract all of the excess capacity production on a multi-year basis. And we have several years of commissioning cargoes both from CP2 and from the bolt-ons that are coming. And those for several years will give us nice exposure to that, that upside option value that that slide refers to. And so ideally, ideally, and we expect to be able to do it, but the excess capacity will be largely all contracted in a multi-year basis where when you look at the total portfolio, we are overweighted in 20-year contracts. So while we are going to do more 20-year contracts, our emphasis is going to shift more to much shorter contracts for the balance of that portfolio to drive the much higher price.
And you know, as that, that the data in that slide we think is really fascinating and that it shows, it really explains a lot of the, the portion of the market that's occupied by the trading companies that contract and buy from producers and on sale to the market. And when you look at, when you look at over the course of that time, many of those traders started out as primarily building and producing their own facilities and volumes. And, and since then have grown bigger businesses and contracting from other producers that are taking the balance sheet risks that build that capacity. And it's, it's exactly for the math that, that's shown over the last 16 years here that there's more than double the value and over the last 16 years for having shorter term contracts than the 20-year contracts.
And we think 16 years is a, is a, a, a great data set. And, and we think that that, some version of that going forward is, is going to continue and be reflected in pricing. So the, the combination of us contracting all of our nameplate capacity, which supports investment grade, credit rating treatment at our projects, but retaining more of the extra production capacity that we have on a shorter than 20-year capacity captures that higher option value. And is the right, the right combination of portfolio mix that will maximize the return over time. And it's been the case for the last 16 years. And we think it will continue. And I think the, the behavior and activity of the very large trading market demonstrates that that, the market could think that's the case too.
Unidentified AnalystAnalyst
That makes sense. Thank you. And did the Placumen Phase 1 bolt-on timing FID move up from just like 2027 to now one half, first half of 2027. And what drove that? Was it customer demand?
Michael SabelChief Executive Officer
We've been, for a while, we've been looking in at that we've been, we've been, we've had our eyes focused on the first half of 2027. We think the customer demand can comfortably support that. And the constraint's not going to be the timing of the off-take contracts.
Unidentified AnalystAnalyst
Great. Thanks a lot, Mike.
Michael SabelChief Executive Officer
Thanks, Janim.
Our next question comes from the line of Elvira Scato with RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open.
Elvira ScottoAnalyst, RBC Capital Markets
Hey, good morning, everyone. I just wanted to follow up on a couple of the questions. I just, the first one, on the expansion projects that you are going to do on, on CP and, and, and the Plac means, what is your targeted contracting strategy there? Is that, are those expansion projects going to be long-term contracts or a mix?
Michael SabelChief Executive Officer
They'll be, they'll be, that's a great question. It'll be a mix. The, when you look at the timing that we just described, you'll notice that they come on, they come online fairly quickly because they're, because they're a true bond field that benefit significantly from the existing installed facilities. The time from FID to production is much shorter, even faster than what we've been able to achieve to date and may, in fact, set new records on, on, on timing. It gives us extra flexibility on the mix of term that we need for the contracts and doesn't require as many of those to be 20-year contracts. So we will do some 20-year contracts, but it'll have more mid-term contracts than projects have been able to execute successfully in the past.
You know, generically, the project finance and the LNG business is designed around, you know, needing $10 billion to construct facilities and you don't get any revenue or profits for, you know, six, seven, eight years on average. And that, you know, securitizing 20-year contracts and amortizing construction loan bank that over 20 years is a requirement to make the math work. When you are 18 to 20 months between FID and production, it's a, it's a, it's a much different formula and gives you more flexibility in financing. And also creates an opportunity to drive much, much more significant returns on capital.
Elvira ScottoAnalyst, RBC Capital Markets
Great. Thank you for that. And then I know you, you talked about this a little bit, but maybe go with a little bit more detail. You increased your dividend, 122 percent to four cents a share. What was the rationale for that increase at this time? And then, you know, you talked about your broader capital allocation strategy, but, you know, given this increase, how should we think about, you know, the dividend going forward?
Michael SabelChief Executive Officer
If a lot of it was largely just, we were significantly below the rest of the group on an, on an absolute and, and a percentage yield basis. And even after this increase, that's the case. And that's obviously just because we only recently started, started a dividend. And so it's just, it's just part of the catch up. And our plan is continue to grow the dividend over time. It's a reflection also of our maturity of our, of our growth and our, and our businesses.
As we, you know, we passed $60 billion in assets and we feel good about the progress of turning on CP2 and the, and, you know, in a giant increase in the execution of all the 20-year contracts that are associated with, with CP2, that we can, we feel very comfortable in, in absorbing that. As Jack described in his comments in the future too, that could be combined with not just dividend increases, but also potential share buybacks that, you know, obviously will be part of the, part of the discussion as, as Jack described.
Elvira ScottoAnalyst, RBC Capital Markets
Great. Thank you very much.
Michael SabelChief Executive Officer
Thank you.
Our next call comes from the line of Zach Van Evern with TPH research. Your line is open.
Michael SabelChief Executive Officer
Good morning, Zach.
Zach Van EverenAnalyst, TPH Research
Morning. Thanks to take my questions. Maybe the first one, we saw William sanction a project that delta access project that does appear to be heading the direction of Blackline does. Curious if that is going to help feed current or future feed gas or if your, your own cloud connector pipeline is enough on the pipeline side.
Michael SabelChief Executive Officer
Jack, do you want to take that question?
Jonathan ThayerChief Financial Officer
Sure. So, so as you surmised, that's, that's headed directly towards our, our Blackman's facility and we would expect that pipeline to connect into our cloud connector. Uh, our cloud connector pipe and, and we have capacity on that pipe.
Zach Van EverenAnalyst, TPH Research
Got it. Makes sense. And then maybe around that same theme, you know, we've seen a significant increase in power demand and power projects around Texas, Louisiana. How do you guys think about supply contracts with producers, maybe with longer terms, just to make sure you have that, not only the FT, but also the supply secured for your contracts into the future.
Michael SabelChief Executive Officer
The, I'll make some comments in Jack if you want to, if I miss, if I miss some things, jump in. The, we're always in the market, negotiating and contracting a mixed blend of gas supply, and we do it opportunistically. The, and so yeah, we keep careful watch on that. Our, our view is that there's, there's plenty of gas to support the, the domestic demand, both for LNG, domestic production and, and, and also incremental demand that we'll layer on in years to come from data centers. And we're more focused on the interconnect and transportation and pipeline capacity to access the plentiful gas. And so you've seen us make, you know, significant and, and meaningful investments in this area.
And we'll continue to, to, to, to do some of that. And that was part of the long range planning that you saw play out for us with the significant investment in our nitrogen removal unit at CP2. Several of those large units are doing on foundations last Saturday. I saw the second rolling onto foundations done at CP2. And in addition, the longer CPX lateral, which approaches 100 miles down to Sillsby and our beautiful black thin pipeline that we partnered with Whitewater that, that heads to 80 and our transportation agreements that that take us all the way to the Waja. And so it's, we've been, we've been focused on this, you know, I think a few years ahead of the rest of the market and feel in a very strong position and continue to, on a, you know, spend a significant amount of our time and kind of medium and long term planning on that front.
Jonathan ThayerChief Financial Officer
Yeah, it's a mad. Just, just two quick points, Mike. That was a comprehensive answer. First of all, power plants relative to LNG facilities are relatively small consumers of, of, of natural gas. I would say roughly less than 10% relative to an LNG facility for, is consumed at a, at a power plant. I think the other comment I'd make is the majority of, of our pipes are in, are in trust state, which allows us to control 100% of the capacity on those pipes, whether it's, whether it's our own pipes or whether we're contracting for significant capacity on, on laterals that connect into our facility. So the amount of dedicated supply and dedicated delivery that's coming to our facilities, we think gives us a significant competitive advantage relative to others who are not spending the money to build that dedicated connectivity and are, are looking to contract on it on a, on a relatively short term basis and will be more exposed to competing for access to gas over time.
We think it's a, a real strength of our portfolio.
Zach Van EverenAnalyst, TPH Research
Awesome. I appreciate the detailed answer. Thanks guys.
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Craig Sheer with two E brothers investment research. Your line is open.
Michael SabelChief Executive Officer
Good morning, Craig.
Unidentified AnalystAnalyst
Good morning. Um, I want to pick up on John's contracting question a bit. Um, I want to confirm that the quote multiple more deals, uh, anticipated by year and 26 are indeed three to five years and, and given that kind of increased hedging through decade end, could that position you for more of a multi-year guidance and capital allocation outlook by first half 27?
Michael SabelChief Executive Officer
So, uh, we're, we're, we're uniquely in the market now, um, able to talk to customers about almost any term that customers have need for, uh, because as we, um, are bringing on, uh, placements, um, to, to COD, we still retain a large volume of, uh, um, capacity that's not contracted on a 20 year basis. And as CP2 comes online, um, that's going to increase dramatically. And as you, um, uh, will note from our comments and the presentation today, uh, we have what we think are very attractive schedules for the CP2 and placements, both ons to come on online in 28 and 29 as well. And so it gives us tremendous, uh, availability, uh, that, that we think is having material positive impacts on the price of, of, of LNG globally and gas.
Uh, and so, uh, yes, we're, we're, we're, we're, we're expecting multiple deals of, uh, buried terms, um, this year and, you know, next year and year after, of course. So it's, you know, we've been waiting and watching progress on our projects to get to this point, uh, in our, in our growth that would enable us to have that advantage.
Unidentified AnalystAnalyst
And, uh, the, the slide that shows the option value, what, what numbers have been, what page number is the, I love that.
Michael SabelChief Executive Officer
So that's my favorite slide and in the deck. It's a slide 12, slide 12 that shows the, um, the data for the last 16 years on what pricing is looked at on a average and a medium basis over that period. It shows that there's tremendous option value in our configuration and execution. Frankly, I don't think is captured in our value at all because we, um, like the rest of the market have contracted the nameplate capacity of our production, but because of our configuration and our ability to, uh, convert the massive amount of data we generate into process engineering that produces significant extra volumes, uh, gives us that upside option value that over time, long periods of time have, uh, proven extremely, uh, valuable and, um, and, uh, well above the long term contract prices.
And as you include just construction costs inflation in projected periods, uh, you have additional, you know, floor price support that, that's still coming. So in that, we think that that, as I described earlier, my answer shows up in the behavior of all the trading companies that, uh, continue to grow their contracted portfolios, um, rather than deploying their balance sheet capacity and capital in building, um, mostly new production capacity, they continue to allocate more of their, their business in contracting from other producers and on selling it higher, much higher prices than the long term contract prices. And, and there's a lot of data. I mean, really, all the data shows that that, uh, at least in the last 16 years has been the correct strategy.
Unidentified AnalystAnalyst
I answered a lot more than you are there. Sorry, correct. But, you know, in your media training, they tell you to do that. So I, I, I heard, I heard in there your question.
We, we agree with the upside in that captured and market value, but believe the three to five year contracting, uh, does start to capture that. And to the degree, the poster on conflict, medium term contracting increases, uh, relative to what had been open cargos, relative to what was shorter term contracted before. Uh, we just felt that that, that, that opens up the opportunity to start thinking about a more clarified multi-year outlook that could help, you know, uh, unleash some of that upside we're just talking about. Um, maybe, maybe you could kind of provide thoughts on that, but to finish out my second question. Um, some of these figures, you know, I, I think are starting to bleed together a bit.
Uh, you mentioned six M2PA median term guided contracting, but I think that includes the one half M2PA, a foundation, CalPAS, uh, contracts. That includes one M2PA rolling off, uh, in April 28th. So, you know, you could, you could be lagging into some nice medium term margin uplift on a variety of levels here.
Michael SabelChief Executive Officer
No, we, um, we, uh, we agree and we, uh, we think about, we think about it every day as we, uh, plan and schedule our, our investments in, in growth. I think the first stop in thinking about the your comments on the, the multi-year projection is really what the actual physical production capacity curve looks like. You know, we, we, we load roughly what we do in 43 cargos a month or so today. Uh, you know, that's going to more than double as we turn on CP2 and add these boltons in, you know, two, two and a half years. So that's a massive increase on already a very large, uh, LNG production business in a short amount of time to have a, a, a doubling in scale.
And you can layer on multiple pricing scenarios, uh, on top of that and on page 23, we're trying to show what that looks like. And we're, we're coming upon as we turn on the facility's tremendous, um, increase in production capacity. And we think, um, the way that the market, meaning the commercial contracting customer market is, uh, executing their, their, you know, portfolio strategies, um, shows that there's, uh, a more bullish view than a pessimistic view on expected prices that, uh, we believe will brought very nice returns, very, very nice returns on our, on our investments and produce a lot of, a lot of, uh, increases in cash generation in, in the next few years.
Unidentified AnalystAnalyst
Thank you.
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Wade Suki with capital one. Your line is open.
Michael SabelChief Executive Officer
Good morning, Wade.
Wade SukiAnalyst, Capital One
Good morning, everyone. I appreciate y'all taking my questions. I'm just kind of curious if, if you maybe could discuss what might be kind of holding you guys back from, uh, maybe narrowing the timeline on, on CP2 startup or moving it forward with those toggles might be.
Michael SabelChief Executive Officer
We're, I mean, these are very large complex construction projects and that, you know, and so we're just being disciplined and being conservative. Uh, you know, the market, you've seen how we've executed on a timing basis, the, the, the first LNG first, Coxy Pass and Plaquemons was 29 and 30 months respectively. And so, you know, we've done it before, the first LNG train, uh, you know, as you've heard us say and know that CP2 is going to be the 55th train that we've done. So the teams have executed, um, these configurations, uh, a lot now and it's going extremely well from an execution standpoint. We're, we're just, we're just being disciplined and conservative at this point on how we're providing guidance.
You know, obviously we're very careful when you say the second half of, of, uh, next year, uh, you know, this in, in our definition, the second half of, of next year starts July 1 and goes to December 31 of next year. And that's a pretty broad range and, uh, but we're, we're being precise in kind of the language, but we're also, we're also sprinkling in and you saw it in the commentary here. Um, the data points about the progress at, at, at the site, you know, July 28, just a few days ago, uh, a little less than two weeks ago was the one year anniversary at CP2. And, uh, most projects after 12 months may still be doing, uh, finishing engineering and doing test piles.
And we have, uh, complete modules sitting on foundations, being integrated and having cables pulled. And so CP2 knock on wood in addition to our focus on safety is, um, progressing as well as a LNG facility is ever progressed. So we're being, we're being disciplined. We, we obviously know as the market investors contemplate, uh, the next couple of years, the significance of the timing of when CP2 turns on. And, um, and so it's certainly, it's certainly, uh, tempting for us, uh, to provide more detail on it. But for the moment, we're being, uh, conservative, but, uh, it is going very well.
Wade SukiAnalyst, Capital One
Thanks.
Michael SabelChief Executive Officer
Thanks for that, Mike.
Wade SukiAnalyst, Capital One
That all makes sense. So there's, there's some upside to slide 23 is what you're telling me. Switching, switching gears a little bit. If you don't, if you don't mind, um, just to maybe dovetail on some of the prior questions on contracting, you know, and I'm speaking what may be more industry wide, not, not, not poking at you guys specifically, but it seemed to be sort of a lack of, or fewer, you know, longer term 20 year contract signed this year, just industry wide, at least from what I've seen. I'm just wondering if you maybe give us a little bit more granularity on what your kind of commercial conversations are like and to the extent you can sort of parse that out by customer type, region, develop world, you know, you know, developing world, that would be helpful.
Thank you.
Michael SabelChief Executive Officer
The, uh, there definitely is rhythm to the conversations with customers, not just for us, but the whole market. The, uh, when you do multi billion dollar 20 year contracts, they typically, um, happen after years of conversations. And, and so, uh, they, they, they, very often are the timing of concluding those contracts are not being driven by current macro environment, but just the, the byproduct of multi year conversations and contract roll off by utility customers that are doing very long range planning. And so you can, sometimes you can't, and you shouldn't read too much into the macro relationship with contract announcements.
Um, for us, the contracting activity has remained very steady all the way from last year to today. And we're, we feel really good about, um, the, the cadence of those conversations and, and, uh, matching up with, um, how we want to continue to contract our portfolio. The, um, uh, it's pretty, it's pretty, uh, broadly distributed between Europe and Asia. Europe was running a little bit ahead, I think last year of the, the pace of Asian contracting. And I think today, the Asian contracting is, this is a very general as caught up with, um, kind of the number of, uh, and level of interest from, from Europe.
Wade SukiAnalyst, Capital One
Awesome. Thank you again. Appreciate all the color.
Michael SabelChief Executive Officer
The demand on the demand side, it remains very, very positive. You continue to see periodically new announcements on reas terminals and power plants, uh, trying to, uh, continues to make very, very significant, um, progress and construction of reas terminal capacity. That's, uh, a very, very significant percentage of the, the, the global, the, the total global on G market. And you're starting to see a lot more, uh, global announcements of very large scale, uh, data center, um, a demand that a large portion of which will be, uh, gas fired, um, electricity. And so, uh, there's still a lot of growth coming internationally in our view, uh, on top of the, the, the, the very strong, um, trend, um, being driven by growing global middle class, um, that has the same, the same, uh, typical demands that we've seen over, over decades, um, as the rest of the world that, that, that, you know, as you, you start with, um, a lot of cold production capacity and layer and more gas on top of it.
And we see that strong trend continuing and new demand on top of it that will be significant in certain markets for data center, uh, demand.
Wade SukiAnalyst, Capital One
Great. I'll make sense. Thanks again. Appreciate it.
Thank you. Great day. We have time for one more question. Our final question comes from the line of Sunil Cibal with Seaport Global. Your line is open.
Michael SabelChief Executive Officer
Good morning, Sunil.
Unidentified AnalystAnalyst
Hey, good morning. And thanks for the time this morning. So, uh, I wanted to understand a little bit about, uh, you know, longer term capital allocation strategy. Obviously, you've raised dividends and I think you also talked about share buybacks. And then you've talked about investment grade at the full consolidated level also, you know, in the past. So I was curious and especially when you look at, uh, stock buybacks versus investment grade ratings, how do you prioritize those two? And then maybe in the context of that, you obviously have, you know, the capital structures, some junior, uh, you know, data also. So how do you think about that also in that context?
Michael SabelChief Executive Officer
So as Jack mentioned in, uh, in his comments, the, um, the, the, the, the growth of our LNG production and how that translates, um, incoming years to increase, um, cash generation. You know, as I described a moment ago and the next couple of years or so, we'll, we'll double from our current production capacity. Um, even in, in, uh, a pretty broad range of, uh, sale contract pricing, uh, we generate a lot of cumulative cash, tens of billions of dollars of cumulative cash in the next few years. And so it, it gives us the cash generation that supports, uh, continued growth that we've been describing, but it also continues, it supports, um, investment grade path at the project levels and at the parent level.
It supports, uh, dividend growth and supports, uh, stock buybacks in the future. It's just the, the, the, the incremental scale of the production, the new production that we've described is just getting smaller in a relative basis to the, the scale of our earning assets. We're, you know, we're passing 61, 62 billion dollars of assets. And if you look at, uh, I think we've added 8 billion plus this year and year and year basis around 15 billion dollars. And that general path is going to continue for a few years. So we just are building a big earning asset base that generates a lot of cash. You know, if you look at our absolute levels, it's, you know, we're our first, our, our first, the first cargo we loaded was the first week of March 2022.
And here we are in 2026 projecting 9 billion dollars of cash, even though this year, that's, you know, that, uh, that's, that's, that's material. And so it's, uh, it's just a, it's a big, big, big, um, uh, amount of, uh, on G volume.
Unidentified AnalystAnalyst
Understood. And then, uh, on the arbitration on, on Calcutta pass, any update there, obviously, you know, you can't comment on ongoing arbitration, but I was curious, you know, with what we are seeing in the market, does that help, or does that change your view in any way in the last few months with regard to, you know, settling of some of those ongoing, uh, arbitrations?
Michael SabelChief Executive Officer
So we don't control, we don't control the schedule, um, of the, the, the arbitration processes, those are, those are controlled away from us. And so we, uh, expect, uh, resolution of the next one, you know, we thought it would be in the first half of the year.
We, we, we still expect it before the end of the year. Uh, and then we have a, uh, the next one after that, we have a hearing that begins in the end of November and we'll extend it to next year. Again, if we don't settle, uh, we, you've seen us obviously, uh, settle, uh, several of them successfully and, uh, we remain, um, open and constructive on, on, uh, settling what, what remains outstanding and we remain optimistic on being, um, uh, uh, you know, sick, successful in, in, uh, in, in working through them.
Unidentified AnalystAnalyst
Okay. Thank you.
Michael SabelChief Executive Officer
Thanks, Sunil.
We have reached the end of the Q&A session. I will now turn the call back to Mike Sable, CEO, for closing remarks.
Michael SabelChief Executive Officer
Thank you, everyone. We appreciate your time this morning and look forward to, answering, uh, follow up questions and, uh, look forward to seeing many of you in person in, uh, in coming months.
This concludes today's call. Thank you for attending. You may now disconnect.
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