American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) Q2 2026 earnings call transcript

Transcript, summary, guidance, and what analysts pressed on from the American Eagle Outfitters Inc. call on September 9, 2026.

Held
September 9, 2026
Length
44 min
Tone
Positive0.55
Analysts
8
Words
7,191
Q3 operating income guidance
$110-$115 million
Full-year operating income guidance
$540-$550 milliontrimmed from prior outlook
Q3 Aerie comp guidance
high teens to 20% rangetracking quarter-to-date
Q3 American Eagle comp guidance
approximately flatbelow prior low-single-digit expectation
Aerie brand awareness
59%versus roughly 76% portfolio level
Aerie advocate program growth
nearly doubledduring the quarter
Q3 gross margin
similar to last yearmarkdown coverage included
Q3 S&A expense
up high single digitsadvertising broadly rate-of-sale aligned

Summary

Management framed Aerie’s momentum and American Eagle’s gradual recovery as offsetting, while acknowledging inventory cleanup and a lower second-half outlook.

Guidance

  • Q3 comparable sales mid-to-high single digits.
  • 20%Q3 Aerie comparable sales high teens to 20% range.
  • Q3 American Eagle comparable sales approximately flat.
  • $115MQ3 operating income $110-$115 million.
  • Q3 gross margin similar to last year.
  • Q3 S&A expense up high single digits.
  • $550MFull-year operating income $540-$550 million.
  • Full-year consolidated comparable sales growth mid single digits.

What analysts pressed on

  • 01American Eagle women’s denim improved sequentially, but older fits and seasonal inventory still require rebalancing.
  • 02Aerie’s Q3 momentum is tracking guidance, with strength across categories, channels, and customer metrics.
  • 03Q3 markdown risk remains concentrated in American Eagle seasonal businesses, especially shorts and fashion items.
  • 04Marketing allocation is shifting from awareness toward conversion, though management declined to quantify brand-level spending.
  • 05Aerie brand awareness is 59%, and management sees a runway toward American Eagle’s roughly 76% level.
  • 06American Eagle’s return to positive comps depends on product, traffic, and conversion rather than inventory-led acceleration.

Notable disclosures

  • 59%59% Aerie brand awareness remains well below American Eagle’s roughly 76%, despite sustained double-digit growth.
  • Full-year guidance was trimmed because American Eagle is now expected approximately flat instead of low-single-digit positive.
  • Q3 inventory markdown coverage includes potential additional cleanup, while management expects modest gross-margin improvement in Q4.
  • Aerie’s advocate program nearly doubled during the quarter.
  • Management said Aerie matching sets are increasing outfitting opportunities across intimates and apparel.

Risks raised

  • American Eagle seasonal shorts and fashion inventory require continued markdowns into Q3.
  • Potential freight and fuel surcharge pressure is included in the gross-margin outlook.
  • Potential tariff increases in Q4 could alter the current margin assumptions.
  • American Eagle stores remain weaker than digital, despite sequential improvement during peak back-to-school periods.
  • American Eagle’s first-half 2027 comparisons remain negative, limiting planned inventory acceleration.

Tone: Positive 0.55

Aerie’s broad momentum and improving profitability outlook were constructive, but American Eagle’s recovery remains incomplete and second-half guidance was reduced.

Who spoke

Company

  • Alexis TragasInvestor Relations
  • Jay SchottensteinChief Executive Officer
  • Ravi FanawalaChief Financial Officer
  • Jen FoylePresident
  • Mike Mathias

Analysts

  • Jay SoleAnalyst, UBS
  • John KeypourAnalyst, Goldman Sachs
  • Jonna KimAnalyst, TD Cowen
  • Rick PatelAnalyst, Raymond James
  • Alex StratonAnalyst, Morgan Stanley
  • Unidentified AnalystAnalyst, JP Morgan
  • Kelly CragoAnalyst, BMO Capital Markets
  • Dana TelseyAnalyst, Telsey Advisory

Full transcript

Analyst questions are marked with a bar. Timestamps are into the recording.

Prepared remarks

00:02

Good afternoon, everyone. Welcome to the AEO Incorporated 2nd Quarter 2026 earnings conference call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. Should you need assistance, please signal a conference specialist by pressing the star key followed by zero. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To ask a question, you may press star then one on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your question, please press star then two. Please note this event is being recorded.

00:37

Alexis TragasInvestor Relations

I would now like to turn the conference over to Alexis Tragas, Vice President of Corporate Communications. Please go ahead. Good afternoon, everyone. Joining me today for our prepared remarks are Jay Schottenstein, Executive Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Jen Foyle, President, Executive Director for American Eagle and Airy, Ravi Fanawala, Chief Financial Officer, and Mike Matthias, Strategic Advisor. Before we begin today's call, I need to remind you that we will make certain forward-looking statements.

These statements are based upon information that represents the company's current expectations or beliefs. The results actually realized may differ materially based on risk factors included in our SEC filings. The company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by law. You can find our second quarter investor presentation on our corporate website at www. aoe-ink. com in the investor relations section.

Now, I'll turn the call over to Jay.

01:53

Jay SchottensteinChief Executive Officer

Thanks, Alexis, and good afternoon, everyone. The second quarter represented another important step forward for AEO. We built on the strength of our portfolio making progress at American Eagle, while Airy continued to deliver outstanding performance. The second quarter came in at the high end of our expectations, with revenue of $1.4 billion and comparable sales growth of 6%. Operating income of $211 million included in that tariff refund benefit of approximately $161 million.

We remain focused on driving stronger profitability across the business, and these results underscored the strength and relevance of our brands and the progress against our priorities. At Airy, which includes offline, momentum continued. Airy delivered revenue of 25% total growth and comparable sales growth 19%. Reflecting the broad-based demand across categories and channels. We remain confident in the long-term opportunity for Airy and our ability to reach new customers.

Turning to American Eagle, total revenue grew 1% with comps declining 1% in improvement from the first quarter. AEO men's posted its fourth and second quarter positive comps, seemingly continued traction and relevance. We are moving in the right direction. You have to remain's work to do. Our progress is fueled by our people. I'd like to extend my gratitude to our associates for their relentless dedication and commitment to our brands and customers.

Before I turn over to Ravi, I want to take a moment to thank Mike for his many years of service to AEO. Mike has been and will continue to be a trusted partner to me, and I'm grateful for his leadership, his commitment and the many contributions he has made to our business over the years.

I'm also very pleased to welcome Ravi to the team. He brings comprehensive financial operating expertise, a fresh perspective, and a deep understanding of what drives long-term shareholder value. As we look at the opportunities ahead, I'm excited about the breadth of our experience and judgment he brings to the team. As we work together to make AEO a stronger, more productive business over time.

Now I'll turn the call over to Ravi.

04:23

Ravi FanawalaChief Financial Officer

Thank you, Jay. I'm excited to step into the CFO law. I've been at AEO for just a few weeks, so I'm spending a great deal of time listening, learning, and getting to know the business and our teams. What attracted me to AEO was the strength of its brands, the connection to its customers, and the opportunity I see to create meaningful, long-term value for shareholders.

I'll be focused on driving durable value creation by connecting brand growth with disciplined execution, stronger profitability, and the thoughtful allocation of resources.

Those are the areas where I'm spending time on with Jay and the leadership team as I get deeper into the business. And still early, and I want to be thoughtful about drawing conclusions. However, I'm excited by the opportunity I see at AEO and look forward to sharing more about my perspective and priorities over time. I also wanted to thank Mike and the entire finance team for the support they've given me through this transition.

Mike has been extremely generous with his time and his knowledge of AEO and are grateful to have the benefit of his experience and perspective. Given how recently I joined the company, Mike will be taking you through the details of the second quarter results and the outlook. I've spent considerable time with Mike and the team reviewing the outlook and the assumption supporting it. I'm comfortable with the company's expectations for the balance of the AEO.

05:49

Jen FoylePresident

Now I'd like to turn the call over to Jen. Thank you, Ravi, and good afternoon, everyone. Before I get into the brand details, I want to share my appreciation to our entire organization. Their passion for our brand, our product, and our customers shows up every day, and I am proud of the work they are doing. Aryan offline delivered another outstanding quarter with broad strength across the business and tremendous response from our customers.

At American Eagle, we made progress from the first quarter with continued strength and mens. There's still work to do, yet I am encouraged by the opportunity ahead. Turning first to Aryan offline, we delivered another exceptional quarter. Comparable sales increased 19% and total revenue grew 25% to $536 million. What I am most excited about is the breadth and quality of that growth.

We sought strength across channels and categories with growth in core apparel, intimates, and activewear. There was a consistent demand in airy, apparel, and teats, tanks, fleas, and bottoms. Head to co-opeting, curated monthly drops, sleep to street, and wear now fabrications resonated with our customers. Mixed and matched summer bright stripes and a little leopard all worked.

We are also pleased with continued growth in offline's cloud fleas franchise, sports bras, and incredibly strong results across bottoms. I love seeing this breadth because it tells us the customers responding to the complete lifestyle offering, not just one category or one trend.

Our core intimate business also remains strong throughout the quarter. We continue to win with what Aryan has stood for from the beginning, real comfort. Customers responded to our focus on fabrication and the 20 years of happy booties anniversary campaigns. In July, we also introduced our new float bra collection, designed for weightless feel. Float complements our structured bra franchise and gives customers a new way to experience airy signature comfort.

Our customer base continues to grow. We are expanding the airy community and deepening their engagement with us. Our airy real makers continue to be an important part of that connection. Across the quarter, we nearly doubled the size of the advocate program and found fresh new ways to bring new customers to the brand and engagement.

As we move into the third quarter, we are doing something I love to see. We are copying the comp. We are sustaining growth against increasingly strong comparisons and seeing strength across categories while continuing to expand our customer base. So now, turning to American Eagle, we are seeing steady traction as we actively work to refine our strategies. We delivered sequential improvement from the first quarter, yet there is opportunity to build on our progress and further accelerate our performance.

Men's continues to deliver as we posted our fourth consecutive quarter of positive comps. Growth was driven by strength across all bottoms categories with tops continuing to meet our expectations. This demonstrates that our focus and strategies to restore top line growth in the A. E. men's business is paying off. In women's, customers responded well to our focus on outputting, particularly pairing tiny tops with oversized bottoms.

We leaned into the cargo trend and fashion bottoms performed positively. In women's denim, new fashion fits, including wide leg straight and low rise, gained strong acceptance. And moving forward, we recognize where there is still opportunity to restore consistent growth across categories.

A. E. 's brand awareness and cultural significance remain strong. And the active customer file continues to grow. Our marketing strategies are built on multiple touch points, tapping into differing interests, rituals and experiences. We have strategically invested in our presence at the mall as a place to shop, gather and connect on campus with our sorority partners to own a stake in Rush Talk.

And in sports on the biggest stage of the year with global brand ambassador, Lamine Lamont. We spent the last four quarters investing in brand awareness to drive purchase consideration. And now we are shifting our marketing dollars into conversion driving tactics. Ultimately, this is about showing up for our customers during the biggest moments, building the wardrobes while building our community.

And looking ahead to the second half of this year, our strategic priorities across A. E. O. are clear. To deliver best in class products, maintain our investment in marketing tactics that drive conversion, remain focused on our inventory management and improve margin health. We are also making strategic investments in product and marketing as we build towards A. E. O. 's 50th anniversary in 2027.

We enter the third quarter with Momentum and Aryan offline, a game plan to make clear improvements in American Eagle, and a highly engaged customer community across all brands.

And I'm excited about what the brands can accomplish together. Aryan's consistent growth, the opportunity we see in offline, and American Eagle's deep customer relationships give us multiple ways to serve our customers across more categories, occasions, and moments in their lives. Each brand has its own identity and distinct opportunities. Together, they give A. E. O. a springboard to grow. We have talented teams across our stores, distribution centers, and corporate offices, bringing these brands to life every day. And I have tremendous confidence in what we can achieve together.

Thank you all of our associates for all of your hard work. With that, I'll turn the call over to Mike.

12:04

Mike Mathias

Thanks, Jen, and good afternoon, everyone. Different by strong momentum across Aryan, our second quarter revenue and operating income hit the top end of our guidance.

As you heard from Jay and Jen, we're zeroed in on opportunities for the A. E. Brand, and are continuing to fuel Aryan's exceptional growth.

I'm going to take you through the financial results, including the impact of the tariff refunds recognized in the quarter, and then discuss our outlook for the balance of the year. All reported results include the impact of tariff refunds.

Second quarter consolidated revenue, $1.4 billion increased 8% to last year with comparable sales, growing 6%. Ary strong business continued with total sales, growing by 25% and comparable sales up 19% with growth across channels. A. E. total sales increased 1% with comparable sales declining 1%. The gross profit dollars of $672 million rose 34% from last year, and gross margin of 48.7% increased 980 basis points.

Included in gross profit this year is a net benefit of $179 million related to tariff refunds, which drove 1,300 basis points of the gross margin expansion.

Merchandise margin is the leveraged 330 basis points with improvement in A. E. , offset by markdowns in A. E. , as we previously guided to for the second quarter.

S&A dollars increased 19% and 290 basis points to a rate of 29.6%, inclusive of $18 million of incentive expense attributable to tariff refunds. The remaining increase is primarily resolved to plan investments in advertising.

The appreciation decreased slightly every year at $52 million compared to $55 million last year. We recorded a second quarter operating profit of $211 million compared to $103 million last year, included in operating profit this year as a net benefit of $161 million related to tariff refunds.

Interest expense increased primarily due to the sale of tariff claims as discussed last quarter. Other income increased due to unrealized gain on equity method investments.

The second quarter tax rate was approximately 25% and EPS was 79%. Consolidated inventory costs was up 14% with units up 9%. The increase in costs includes the impact of incremental tariffs this year. Unit inventory plans will continue to be rebalanced between brands and categories for the remaining of the year. And the second quarter as Jay noted, we continue to make long-term investments in our business while returning cash to shareholders.

Second quarter cap X total $66 million in the company returned 21 million to shareholders during the quarter via the quarterly dividend.

We ended the quarter with approximately $148 million in cash and investments and $783 million of total liquidity, including our revolver.

Before turning to our outlook, I want to note that Ravi has been engaged with the team in reviewing our plans and expectations for the balance of the year. The outlook I'll discuss today reflects the company's current expectations.

So the third quarter we expect comparable sales growth in the mid to high single digits with the area and offline continuing in the high team to 20% range in American Eagle approximately flat. Gross margin is expected to be similar to last year with full year gross margin up year over year.

Operating income for the third quarter is expected to be in the range of 110 to $115 million with SNA expense up in the high single digits.

The tariff rate assumption for the rest of the year reflects the section 301 tariff implemented in late June. For the full year, we expect operating income in the range of 540 to 550 million based on consolidated comparable sales growth in the mid single digits.

In closing, we're committed to building on the momentum and area and offline, accelerating improvement at American Eagle, and unlocking greater profitability across the business. With that, we'll open up the questions.

Questions and answers

16:06

We will now begin the question and answer session. To ask a question, you may press star then one on your telephone keypad. If you are using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing the keys. To withdraw your question, please press star then two. Please limit yourselves to one question. At this time, we will pause momentarily to assemble our roster.

16:37

Jay SoleAnalyst, UBS

The first question is from Jay Sol with UBS. Please go ahead. Great. Thank you so much. I want to ask you about the women's debt and business at American Eagle. Just maybe dive into that a little bit more. Tell us about how that business developed over the quarter, what you see happening in Q3, just from a sales standpoint into kind of what's driving that. And, you know, the opportunity for continued progress from here. And then also maybe second part to that question is you talked a little bit about third quarter. I think you said you've seen trans continue. You can sort of clarify that a little bit. I mean, where do you see airy so far in Q3 and how is that factoring into your guidance?

Same question for both brands. Thank you.

17:15

Jen FoylePresident

Thanks. Look, we're seeing sequential improvement in denim. Sorry, I have a little bit of a cold. So. But we are seeing sequential improvement. As I mentioned in my last earnings call, we definitely need to pivot. We needed to pivot and we pivoted quite nicely into the fits that we're working 100%. Really it was low rise that we really wanted to get into that business. And as you saw that that was our marketing launch for back to school. So really excited about how we repositioned denim.

What we are needing to work through right now is just some of the older fits and really just rebalancing our inventory. It's as simple as that. And our numbers reflect the guide in a as we look to airy. I mean, we continue to launch new ideas and airy. All categories are working. All categories are firing. We can't ask for more. I mean, these numbers, you know, we're proving. I love what I said, right? We're proving we can comp the comp.

And I think the team's really geared up for holiday. We're seeing, you know, nice continuation of the sales comp again, reflective in the guide. And with all our new launches, we relaunched our booty campaign, our undies campaign, intimates is gaining share, our float bra launch. We're going to really work on bra innovation. That's a new playbook for us.

We're going to reinvigorate it because we're excited about some new ideas and bras. I think we're really going to compete on that end with really launching ideas that I think our customers are going to really embrace. So some new ideas that are coming your way, and that will build into next year. And then, of course, apparel. Apparel has been really on fire.

The numbers are incredible, and they like completing the outfit, right? We're building them from inside out, and that's what we do in airy. And offline certainly has seen incredible growth as well.

Okay. Thank you so much.

19:09

The next question is from Matthew Boss with JP Morgan. Please go ahead.

19:14

Unidentified AnalystAnalyst, JP Morgan

Thanks. It's Amanda Douglas on for Matt. Jen, could you speak to the difference in merchandise margin performance within the quarter, with improvement at airy offset by the American Eagle brand? And what are you specifically seeing on markdowns by brand entering back to school?

19:30

Jen FoylePresident

Sure. We've seen a little pressure, as Mike mentioned, on seasonal ideas in AE. So we continue to see a little of that pressure as we go into Q3. So we're working through that again, right sizing our inventory. And airy's been doing an outstanding job leveraging this customer base that's growing our brand awareness. That's another thing that I didn't mention in my last answer, the brand awareness in airy. We're still only at 59%, albeit it's growing. There's still a lot of opportunity for runway in airy.

But pivoting back, like as we think about the promotional cadence airy, has done a really nice job balancing out their promotions.

Leveraging the newness. They've been doing new drops. And we've been easily able to reconstruct the promotional activity between brands so that we're balancing this out.

20:23

Yeah.

20:26

Kelly CragoAnalyst, BMO Capital Markets

The next question is from Kelly Craigo with BMO Capital Markets. Please go ahead. Hi guys. Thanks for taking our question here. So just wanted to dig in a little bit further on the third quarter, calm guide up mid to high. You could just break out expectations by, by brand and any color again, more explicitly about what you're seeing quarter to date at the two banners. I think then you're speaking to some, maybe higher promos that evil than you were anticipating and how that might impact the margins in the third quarter. Thanks.

21:08

Mike Mathias

Hey, Kelly. I can take that. I think Jen mentioned or prior answer that calm guidance by brand is in line with where we are quarter to date. So a relatively flat, some sequential improvement from what we just reported for Q two area in the high teams to 20% again, similar to what we just reported in Q two. So the trend continues there. And also as Jen said, I mean, you know, copying the comp and actually maintaining com trend against tougher compares, which is what the team has been going after. So we have a good proof point here, quarter to date an area on that front.

And then yes, you know, the merge margin performance in Q two and so the mark downs in 80 that we guided to back in May.

Alongside, you know, our 45 to $50 million guidance, those did come through kind of in line with expectations and then we're resulting in us hitting that high end of our op in guide. And then for Q three, we do have, as Jen said, as we're definitely still looking to rebalance the inventory. We have some mark downs in the Q three, merge margin guide for some potential mark downs as we go through that work.

And that's covered in our gross margin guide a relatively flat to the third quarter in areas continuing its nice performance there on the merge margin line. So again, a little bit of a mixed brand output where areas maintaining strength in margin. You know, definitely getting back to some strength and we do have a little bit of mark down coverage for some of this inventory work that still needs to be done.

And then just understanding with the tariff refund, I noticed you said something about, you know, I mean, if you're accruing some some higher incentive comp here. Can you just kind of walk through how that plays out in the high single digit. As she may guide, I think it's for three Q apologies if I'm missing for the details here. Is that like related to the higher intent of comp marketing anything else there? And then how does this sort of play on the fourth quarter as well? Thanks. And that's all I got.

Sure. Yes, we did book in the second quarter against their refund. Some incentive comp commensurate with the refund in line with our full year income targets tied to those incentive plans.

The accrual for the back half third and fourth quarter. I think I've got into it now back in March and then again in May that that more that elevated accrual is up against more because it's up against a lower than historical result last year. So this pop around in terms of that accrual is kind of more average or more historical. The impact of there's no impact in the third and fourth quarter to anything kind of refunds.

So that was this isolated against the refund benefit that we saw in the second quarter, any kind of incremental number. So the back half as we got in third quarter up high single.

That includes again the impact of that more historical or average incentive accrual versus a lower accrual in history last year.

And with the rest of the line advertising relatively in line. To the rate of sale and a third quarter some leverage in the fourth quarter. As we pass through look at FCA on a go forward on 12 month basis. You know, advertising we're lapping this elevated spend.

After you know, as a this quarter as we look forward on a go forward basis, advertising will be a leverage line item in 2027. And as we normally get past the next couple quarters of a bit of an half as an orange is incentive accrual impact. That will also be a leverage line item as we go into 2027. So as we look at a 12 month basis and for the full fiscal 2027 period.

We're looking to be back to position where we're leveraging FCA at a minimum at a mid single digit comp, but targeting a low to mid single in total. But again, the team and Robbie will provide more teller on that go forward. And specifically when we give guidance for 27 in March as usual.

25:14

Kelly CragoAnalyst, BMO Capital Markets

Got it. Thanks. First of luck.

25:17

John KeypourAnalyst, Goldman Sachs

The next question is from John Kipore with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead. Hey, good afternoon. Thank you guys. I was you guys gave color about Eagle and mentioned that men sounded good across the board. Women's bottoms sounded good from what I heard. I'm just wondering what drove the negative comp and then I have a follow up.

25:39

Jen FoylePresident

Women's bottoms has made improvements. So why we still mix the business actually other bottoms, so that means pants. A car goes, for instance, have done very exceptionally well, but there's still some balance to do in denim. But we are excited about the momentum in denim and what we've seen headed into Q three. So we're excited about that.

26:00

John KeypourAnalyst, Goldman Sachs

Got it. And then you guys mentioned in your inventory comments and rebalancing going to take place and some continued promo activity.

Extending into three Q a little bit. I'm wondering is that entirely overhang from the one key inventory in women's bottoms? Or is there also a little bit of overhang from two Q that's moving now through three Q?

26:23

Jen FoylePresident

It's primarily concentrated on some seasonal businesses, shorts being the number one. And there is some fashion that we need to ensure that we're clearing.

All right, great.

26:34

John KeypourAnalyst, Goldman Sachs

Thank you guys.

26:37

Dana TelseyAnalyst, Telsi Advisory

The next question is from Dana Telsi with Telsi Advisory Google. Please go ahead. Hi, good afternoon, everyone. As you think about the later back to school time period, any assessment of if that had any impact on sales and either of the businesses. And then as you think about stores versus online, how is the performance for each business, whether and then the metrics traffic conversion in stores versus online and how the remodels are performing. Thank you.

27:07

Mike Mathias

Thanks, Dana. I think, you know, with us reporting today, we're through the full Labor Day period and Labor Day shift. So it's a good sense of kind of where we are quarter to date accounting for those shifts. And we'll pass really all the peak back to school periods, too. Even other were shifts within August and shifts here in early September.

For the most part, we've got line of sight to those. So our, you know, again, the guidance by brand and in total kind of mid single digit comp, mid to high single digit comp for the quarter and the guidance by brand is commensurate with that quarter day trend. And at this point, we've seen for the most part any kind of impact from shifts.

Stores versus online business. I'll start with the area areas, you know, positive across the board. I think I use the description last quarter that all the conditional formatting is green. That's still the case that we're seeing here for today. Stores, digital traffic in both channels.

You are UPT, AOV, customer accountants, you name it. All going in the right direction with strength across channels, strength across categories, strength across metrics.

I eat a flattest result with guidance. Stores are definitely on the lower side of that and digital is stronger. So that's what we've kind of seen for a few quarters now.

Seeing that quarter to date here is still in Q three. Stores have gotten better. So, you know, against the negative one comp in Q two, what we've seen quarter to date here in Q three is stores coming back stronger. We always, we, we tend to see that during these peak periods, we are a destination in the mall during back. It's going holiday. We'll see how that plays out the rest of this quarter.

So, a little more rebalancing between channels versus what we saw in the second quarter, but stores still on the lower side of the average.

28:49

Jonna KimAnalyst, TD Cowen

The next question is from Jonna Kim with TD Cowan. Please go ahead. Thank you for taking our question, Jen. Just on the airy side for the holidays. I know you had, you know, very strong holiday last year with pajamas and other key items. How are you just thinking about the product assortment this year? And then especially on the Eagle side, is there anything they are doing differently also around the holiday season?

29:13

Jen FoylePresident

Thank you. Yeah. You know, in both brands, we're very excited about, honestly, the brand health for both brands has been extremely positive. So, let's start with that. So, what we're working on the American Eagle side is really converting those customers and entertaining them. And we're very focused on getting them to stores. This is when we really gear up. I do think long legs are going to build into the, into Q3 and into Q4. So, with AE, that should be, you know, hopefully positive and some optimism there.

Again, still eight weeks to go in this quarter, but we're not into full long length yet either. So, I think we have some opportunity there. The key items that the teams have worked through, the new ideas, all of our fun ideas that we do during the holiday season in both brands. I think we're really going to excite the customer there. Color, optimism, fun.

Airy is going to continue to do its drops, as well as AE. All the newness drops have been working. It's new ways to re-engage our customers and get them into the stores. And I think, I think we have a lot brewing for the holiday season.

30:31

Jonna KimAnalyst, TD Cowen

Just one more follow-up, Jen, on the airy side. Any color on how intimate to perform and how you feel about those sermons there? Very nicely.

30:40

Jen FoylePresident

We're excited what we're seeing and intimate. There is some market share gain. And we're really focused on newness and bras as we move forward. Sports bras have been working well, other bras. But we really want to gain credit for all the innovation we do in our core bras. And I think there'll be a lot of work and some new innovation that you'll see on the go forward. Keeping in mind as we head into Q4, we definitely dive into other categories as well. It's a gift-giving season. And I think Airy does it best.

31:12

Jonna KimAnalyst, TD Cowen

Thank you.

31:14

Unidentified AnalystAnalyst, Barclays

The next question is from Adrian Yee with Barclays. Please go ahead. Hi, this is Angus Kelleher on for Adrian Yee. Jen, you mentioned airy brand awareness is still around 59% despite the strong growth. What's the marketing plan to close that awareness gap and how much of the incremental ad spend in the back half is targeted at that versus, you know, performance slash conversion marketing? Thank you.

31:44

Jen FoylePresident

We're not going to really disclose our ad spend contribution. However, you know, if I looked at a brand awareness, which is roughly 76%, look at that gap right there and think about the concept area is able to drive. So I'm pretty excited about the opportunity there. Our goal is to get it, you know, at least equal, if not exceed the brand awareness that we see in our portfolio. What I will say, the teams are up to everything. I mean, from in-store events to our double down on digital spend, which I think has been really optimized, you know, connecting with our customers, building on our airy real makers, building on our advocate C program.

Everything is really begun. You know, we're firing on all cylinders and the customer and the community is really responding. This is what where the magic happens in airy. This community that we're able to build and retain and add the spend, our spend is up for customer, double digits in line with these numbers that you're seeing. So I think the team, you know, it's our secret to us. So we don't share that, but I think the team knows how to deliver on this.

32:59

Unidentified AnalystAnalyst, Barclays

Great. Great. Thank you.

32:59

Mike Mathias

And then just a quick clarifier for Mike and Ravi, buying an occupancy or BOW. They leveraged about 150 basis points last quarter, but we're roughly flat this quarter. I'm curious if there's anything to call out there regarding distribution costs, occupancy or anything else like that. And, you know, is that leverage plan to come back in the back half? Thank you.

Yeah, I think for the second, what you'd expect in the third and fourth quarter to be similar to second quarter. First quarter is a little bit of shift between things with kind of disposition or the wind down of our quiet.

Third part of the logistics business. So the BOW line that expect from here to be to have a similar result from a leverage perspective that we saw here in the second quarter. With more work on danger constantly, you know, there's rent, delivery, distribution costs that are in that bucket of expenses. There's cross functional teams still in place working on all those line items that we've since, you know, our expense initiative a few years ago and that's still in place.

That helps a lot. That's the block.

34:15

Unidentified AnalystAnalyst, Barclays

Thank you.

34:16

Rick PatelAnalyst, Raymond James

The next question is from Rick Patel with Raymond James. Please go ahead. Thank you. Good afternoon.

34:21

Mike Mathias

Can you unpack your expectations for gross margins a little further? How do we think about the puts and takes in Q three and if that differs from your two four plans? I know that inventory cleanup is ongoing. So curious if that's done with in Q three or if that's something that spills over into Q four.

Yeah, I'll provide some additional detail there. So I think in general, we're looking for areas continued strong performance on the merge margin line to continue. And again, definite improvement from the first half of the year, some placeholder markdowns to cover us as we work through some of this inventory balancing. I just hit the BMW line item.

Similar expectations in the third and fourth quarter as the second quarter kind of been relatively in line to last year as a rate. I think the other moving parts, we do have some head in there. I'll call it or the potential for some freight fuel surcharge. In fact, so we believe we're covered there. We don't know for sure exactly where things are going. Oil is over $100 a barrel again, but we want to make sure we're covered there. Not surprised by anything. Nothing significant to date, but, you know, the, the potential of that to happen is covered.

And then from a tariff impact perspective, you know, Q three will be kind of a negligible difference to last year again with these. You know, the kind of the rates in place just announced in June versus kind of a partial quarter impact last year, the dollar difference is pre negligible in the third quarter. And then at that 12 and a half rate for fourth quarter up again, it's kind of full of either tariffs could be a little upside, but we're also, you know, we know that there's still.

Kind of analysis and studies being done, potential person to increase to those tariffs in the fourth quarter. So I'm the impact of the fourth quarter. It doesn't happen could be some upside there. So growth margin in general, or, you know, all those in the now relatively flat for the third quarter.

Modest improvement in the fourth quarter in the guide.

36:23

Rick PatelAnalyst, Raymond James

Thanks very much.

36:31

Alex StratonAnalyst, Morgan Stanley

The next question is from Alex Stratton with Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead. Okay.

36:36

Mike Mathias

Thanks so much. Maybe for Robbie and my, if our math is right. It just looks like you're trimming the full year even guidance just slightly compared to last quarter. So someone has a fault to the last question. I'm just trying to understand it. Is that just higher incentive a cool or has your view on other pieces of a string A or gross margin change at all.

Now you're right. I would say we are trimming the back half guide a bit from where we were back in May. I said the number one driver of that, if you remember the color or her expectation was a to be up like low positive or low single digit positive. We're given flat guidance for the balance of the year. So that's a piece of it. A little bit of markdown placeholder as we described alongside that reduction to revenue expectations.

Flip side of that, at least for the third quarter, airy at a high team to 20 is ahead of where we thought, but the mix of that. Still, you know, taking a little bit of a bit of the income line based on the mix of that comp performance between brands.

The SGA line isn't much different. We talked kind of in line with sales mid to high single. So a few million dollars there that we're still working on, but not a big driver of the guidance trim. And in fourth quarter, it's similar essentially. We're guiding a to flax actually fourth quarter, our private prior guidance was a still low single positive for the back half and total, which meant fourth quarter as well.

And we're looking at airy kind of more in the high single to low double range, which is the same place we thought. So the trim both quarters is really. This a brand flax expectation versus upload single and a little bit of markdown kind of placeholder against that. I mean, in total, we are, you know, the third quarter guide implies apply, implies similar income result to last year. So much, much improved from the first half of the year.

With work to do fourth quarter implies some operating rate improvement and kind of mid to high single digit income increase. So, again, 12 month basis go forward, making progress here in the back half, even with a little bit of reduction to guide. And, but positioned and positioning things in general cross cross margin and SGA plans to be back to, you know, revenue outpacing expense.

I think growth outpacing revenue growth and operating leverage again now that is begin to, you know, the back half into holiday and in the next year we're past, you know, parrot impact for the most part, even though there'll be some in and out there, but. Mostly absorbed this point. SGA structured the leverage, like I said, at a low to mid single digit level in the next year. So we're confident that we get into the holiday period and then into next year that we'll be. You know, back to income outpacing revenue growth and some operating rate improvement on a 12 month forward go. 12 month forward basis.

39:44

Alex StratonAnalyst, Morgan Stanley

That's super helpful, maybe just on on a is a quick follow up after it gets to that, maybe flat level in the back half. How do you think about the return the positive and like what API is you care most about a year and monitoring that trajectory.

40:01

Mike Mathias

I think traffic's a big one. I think I can wait here to, but I think look you start with the mix of what the product strategies first. I think the team feels good about where things are going forward. We're going to build on the sequential improvement. We've seen quarter over quarter here. We're given a flat guide based on quarter day performance in Q three or playing that forward into holiday. I think the team hopes to exceed that expectation to the balance of this year plans in place next year to comp negative results.

But, you know, being prudent about how we plan that and not, you know, this is this inventory work is making sure we're not getting out of our skis in terms of inventory again. The comp expectation for the first half next year, even though we're up against, even though we're up against negative. So we want to make sure we're positioned to, you know, chase trend and not get to ahead of things there. So I think, you know, I guess the intention go forward is for a on the metric side, be driven by product strategies first.

I think the marketing rebalancing we've been talking about. We're just, you know, first, first, you know, the third quarter here is our first path that's rebalancing that spend toward what was kind of top of funnel consideration brand awareness to, you know, definite, you know, conversion driving purchase behavior type spend on the digital marketing performance marketing away from bigger campaigns and top of funnel and we're seeing some traction there with sequential improvement. We've seen so far quarter of your dates. Teams are building upon that into holiday and then next year as well. So I think traffic convert traffic against.

Traffic and stores and conversion against that traffic are definitely focuses alongside product strategies go forward.

41:52

Alex StratonAnalyst, Morgan Stanley

Thanks so much. Good month.

41:55

Unidentified AnalystAnalyst, Retail Tracker

The final question today will come from Marty Shapiro with the retail tracker. Please go ahead. Hey guys, thanks and congrats on airy. It was really stunning to see it in every single hall for back to school. So I want to actually talk a little bit about airy. You're focusing on the bras and I love that and I thought the float was a great launch. I'm curious about also the show off and that collection, which feels a little sexier than what I'm used to seeing from airy. I like it. And you also had a couple of sheer bras that were always towards the front of the store and seemed to always be selling out.

So I'm curious if this is a shift for airy and you think that there's room for you guys to compete there. I think there is. And then I'm also curious if you're seeing that your customer is buying the match back set. So the matching stripe raw let with the matching boy short and then the matching stripe sweatshirt to go with it. And is that helping to drive up basket like you're fully outfitting her now?

42:52

Jen FoylePresident

Marty, I think you could have taken this call for me. All of the above that was perfectly said. Really all bras are working. And we're going to really look to build out each franchise and find new ways to navigate bras. That's what we're up to right now. We do see these set selling. We love how they go back to the apparel.

And you'll see more of each category and probably some naming and claiming down the road. We have some excitement as we head into the back half and we go into really spring and really into back to school with some even. We have plans. Let me just say all the way through. We're already planning how we're going to try to cop next back to school. We're going to do that with some of these ideas. Excited what the teams are delivering as far as innovation, novelty, laces, new laces.

They're doing an excellent job. And yes, this match back is definitely an opportunity. And is this sexier look and intentional look? And is it something that you can carry over to EGLE without getting away from the core DNA of the brand? Absolutely. But we have to do sexy in our way. I think we do it in a different way. And I think it's relevant. But I think there's ways to do it that can be cool and understandable for our customer base.

44:10

Unidentified AnalystAnalyst, Retail Tracker

Fantastic. Thank you guys.

44:10

Thank you, Marty. The conference is now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.

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