Mosaic's biggest risks in the FY2024 10-K
- Mosaic faces intense commodity price volatility and seasonal demand swings for its phosphate and potash crop nutrients.
- Operations carry heavy environmental and regulatory risks tied to water management, mining waste, and hazardous materials.
- Geopolitical and trade policies, including Canadian potash tariffs, directly threaten supply chains and costs.
The risks most specific to Mosaic
- Operational Risks
U.S. tariffs on Canadian potash and retaliatory tariffs could materially adversely affect our business operations and financial condition
The U.S. imposition of a 25% tariff on Canadian potash imports could significantly increase procurement costs if reinstated.
- Operational Risks
A disruption at our production, distribution or terminaling facilities could have a material adverse impact on our business. The risk of material disruption increases when demand for our products results in high operating rates at our facilities
Concentrated operations at key phosphate and potash mines, port terminals, and distribution facilities expose Mosaic to material disruption risks.
- Operational Risks
Reduced oil refinery operating rates in North America could have a material adverse impact on our business, financial condition or operating results
Reduced North American oil refinery operating rates can decrease molten sulfur availability and drive up costs for phosphate fertilizer production.
- Operational Risks
Adverse weather conditions have in the past and may in the future adversely affect our operations, particularly our Phosphates operations. In the past, hurricanes have resulted in physical damage to our facilities in Florida and Louisiana
Hurricanes and excess rainfall can physically damage Florida and Louisiana facilities and significantly increase water treatment costs.
- Operational Risks
Our underground potash shaft mines are subject to risks of water inflows
Brine water inflows have historically caused flooding and the permanent closure of potash mine shafts at Esterhazy, Saskatchewan.
- Operational Risks
Our underground potash shaft mines are subject to risk from fire. In the event of a fire, if our emergency procedures are not successful, we could have significant injuries or deaths, or shutdowns of our facilities, or could cause us to expend significant amounts to remediate safety issues or repair damaged facilities
Handling and producing significant quantities of ammonia at Louisiana and Florida plants creates catastrophic safety and operational risks.
- Regulatory Risks
Environmental justice considerations could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition or results of operations
State-level environmental justice reviews increasingly require evaluations of permitting actions for disproportionate impacts on disadvantaged communities.
- Regulatory Risks
impoundments could result in serious injuries or death, damage to property or the environment, or result in the shutdown of our facilities, any of which could materially adversely affect our results of operations
Managing potash tailings, clay settling areas, and phosphogypsum stacks from mining creates permanent containment and closure liabilities.
- Regulatory Risks
Our most important products are global commodities, and we face intense global competition from other crop nutrient producers that can affect our prices and volumes
Mosaic sells primary products like diammonium phosphate, monoammonium phosphate, MicroEssentials, and muriate of potash into highly competitive global commodity markets.
All 36 risk factors
Headings as the filing states them, in filing order.
Operational Risks
- 01Our operating results are highly dependent upon and fluctuate based upon business, economic and other conditions and governmental policies affecting the agricultural industry in which we or our customers operate. These factors are outside of our control and may significantly affect our profitability
- 02U.S. tariffs on Canadian potash and retaliatory tariffs could materially adversely affect our business operations and financial condition
- 03Pandemics, epidemics or other health outbreaks could materially adversely affect our business operations and financial condition
- 04Unfavorable worldwide economic and market conditions could adversely affect our business, financial condition or operating results
- 05Our crop nutrient business is seasonal and varies based on application rates, which may result in carrying significant amounts of inventory and seasonal variations in working capital, and our inability to predict future seasonal crop nutrient demand accurately may result in excess inventory or product shortages
- 06A disruption at our production, distribution or terminaling facilities could have a material adverse impact on our business. The risk of material disruption increases when demand for our products results in high operating rates at our facilities
- 07Reduced oil refinery operating rates in North America could have a material adverse impact on our business, financial condition or operating results
- 08that is not recovered through an increase in the price of our related crop nutrients products could have a material adverse impact on our business
- 09The occurrence of any of the above in the countries in which we operate or elsewhere could jeopardize or affect our ability to transact business there and could adversely affect our revenues and operating results and the value of our assets located outside of the U.S
- 10Our assets outside of North America are located in countries with volatile conditions, which could subject us and our assets to significant risks
- 11Adverse weather conditions have in the past and may in the future adversely affect our operations, particularly our Phosphates operations. In the past, hurricanes have resulted in physical damage to our facilities in Florida and Louisiana
- 12If adverse weather conditions occur in coming years, our facilities may be required to take additional measures to manage process water to comply with existing or future requirements and these measures could potentially have a material effect on our business and financial condition
- 13Climate change could adversely affect us
- 14Our underground potash shaft mines are subject to risks of water inflows
- 15Accidents or equipment failures occurring in the course of our operating activities could result in significant liabilities, interruptions or shutdowns of facilities or the need for significant safety or other expenditures
- 16Our underground potash shaft mines are subject to risk from fire. In the event of a fire, if our emergency procedures are not successful, we could have significant injuries or deaths, or shutdowns of our facilities, or could cause us to expend significant amounts to remediate safety issues or repair damaged facilities
- 17Our business operations rely on our information systems and any material disruption or slowdown of our systems could cause operational delays or loss of revenue
Regulatory Risks
- 18Environmental, health and safety regulations and requirements to which we are subject may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations
- 19Our operations are dependent on having the required permits and approvals from governmental authorities. Denial or delay by a government agency in issuing any of our permits and approvals or imposition of restrictive conditions on us with respect to these permits and approvals may impair our business and operations
- 20We are, and may in the future be, involved in legal and regulatory proceedings that could be material to us
- 21We have included additional information with respect to pending legal and regulatory proceedings in Note 23 of our Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements and in this Form 10-K in Part I, Item 3. “Legal Proceedings”
- 22Environmental justice considerations could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition or results of operations
- 23Regulatory restrictions on greenhouse gas emissions and climate change regulations in the U.S., Canada or elsewhere could adversely affect us, and these effects could be material
- 24impoundments could result in serious injuries or death, damage to property or the environment, or result in the shutdown of our facilities, any of which could materially adversely affect our results of operations
- 25Our competitive position could be adversely affected if we are unable to participate in continuing industry consolidation
- 26Our strategy for managing market and interest rate risk may not be effective
- 27A shortage or unavailability of trucks, railcars, tugs, barges and ships for carrying our products and the raw materials we use in our business could result in customer dissatisfaction, loss of production or sales and higher transportation or equipment costs
- 28Our success will continue to depend on our ability to attract and retain highly qualified and motivated employees
- 29Our most important products are global commodities, and we face intense global competition from other crop nutrient producers that can affect our prices and volumes
- 30Some of our competitors and potential competitors have greater resources than we do, which may place us at a competitive disadvantage and adversely affect our sales and profitability. These competitors include state-owned and government-subsidized entities in other countries
Industry Risks
- 31Future product or technological innovation could affect our business
- 32The success of our strategic initiatives depends on our ability to effectively manage them, and to successfully integrate and grow acquired businesses
- 33Cyberattacks could disrupt our operations and have a material adverse impact on our business
- 34Our crop nutrients and other products are subject to price and demand volatility resulting from periodic imbalances of supply and demand, which may cause our results of operations to fluctuate
Financial Risks
- 35We may incur significant non-cash charges if our goodwill or long-lived assets become impaired in the future
- 36We are subject to taxes, including income taxes, resource taxes and royalties, and non-income based taxes in countries where we operate. Changes in tax laws or regulations or their interpretation could result in higher taxes, which could materially adversely affect our operating results and financial condition
Other Mosaic 10-Ks
- FY2025 10-K risk factors38 risks6 new4 dropped10 reworded
New risks emphasize liquidity, credit ratings, labor disruptions, inventory write-downs, currency exposure, and customer repayment risk.
Filed Feb 27, 2026
About this page
The headings are the filing's own. The one-line readings and the overview are automated and can be wrong: read Item 1A of the 10-K for the exact wording.