Nerdwallet (NRDS) Q2 2026 earnings call transcript

Transcript, summary, guidance, and what analysts pressed on from the Nerdwallet, Inc. call on August 6, 2026.

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Held
August 6, 2026
Length
16 min
Tone
Positive0.45
Analysts
2
Words
2,328
Q3 revenue guidance
$244 to $260 million17% growth at midpoint
Q3 NGOI guidance
$29 to $37 million
FY2026 acquisition spend impact
$15 to $20 million NGOIpayback beyond current year
FY2026 incremental investment
approximately five timesyear-over-year
Trailing 12-month adjusted FCF
$141 millionup 100% year-over-year
Q2 share repurchases
$23 million$160 million over past 12 months
Normalized corporate taxes
Q2 or Q3 of 2027not expected to pay federal taxes in 2026

Summary

Management framed the quarter as a pivot toward owned audiences and longer-payback investments amid an unsettled AI-driven distribution shift.

  • Five-fold growth in IRR-based customer acquisition spending reflects confidence in recurring revenue from vertically integrated consumer cohorts.
  • The company plans to retain positive in-quarter profitability across most business lines while broadening longer-term investment selectively.
  • Management emphasized brand, reach, registration and re-engagement as defenses against AI and organic-search disruption.

Guidance

  • $260MQ3 revenue $244 to $260 million, up 17% year-over-year at the midpoint
  • $37MQ3 non-GAAP operating income $29 to $37 million
  • $20MFY2026 customer acquisition spend impact $15 to $20 million NGOI, with payback beyond the current year
  • FY2026 incremental investment approximately five times higher year-over-year
  • FY2026 federal corporate taxes none expected; normalized taxes expected in Q2 or Q3 of 2027

What analysts pressed on

  • 01Investment returns: Cohort retention and recurring revenue support scaling, with IRR targets weighed against M&A and free-cash-flow yields.
  • 02Payback duration: Management gave no specific duration, describing IRR and payback period as guardrails for LTV-to-CAC decisions.
  • 03LLM traffic: Traffic converts well and has high transaction intent, but remains a small part of the business.
  • 04Distribution and CAC: Management argued trusted brand and reach can provide an advantage, while acknowledging the future remains undetermined.
  • 05SMB recovery and allocation: Loan brokering is growing and merits investment; non-loan products face search headwinds, with channel and CRM work underway.

Notable disclosures

  • Q3 profitability is expected to be more concentrated than in prior years, reflecting seasonality, student-loan regulatory changes and the college finance acquisition.
  • The largest auto insurance carrier relationship has stabilized but has not returned to earlier-year levels.
  • Management said much of the impact on educational content from LLMs has played out over the last three years.
  • SMB weakness is concentrated in non-loan products; business loan originations are growing year-over-year.

Risks raised

  • Continued organic-search declines are pressuring consumer credit cards and SMB non-loan products.
  • The largest auto insurance carrier relationship remains below earlier-year levels.
  • AI-driven changes to distribution remain uncertain, and LLM traffic is currently a small business contributor.
  • Customer acquisition spending carries payback periods beyond the current year.

Tone: Positive 0.45

Management expressed confidence in owned-audience investments and cash generation, while acknowledging persistent search pressure and uncertainty about AI distribution.

Who spoke

Company

  • Zach OgleInvestor Relations
  • Tim ChenChief Executive Officer
  • John LeeChief Financial Officer

Analysts

  • Ralph SchackartAnalyst, William Blair
  • Michael InfanteAnalyst, Morgan Stanley

Full transcript

Analyst questions are marked with a bar. Timestamps are into the recording.

Prepared remarks

00:00

Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the NerdWallet, Inc. Q2-2026 earnings call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star 11 on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, please press star one one again. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to the very first speaker today, Zach Ogle. Zach, please go ahead.

00:38

Zach OgleInvestor Relations

Thank you, Operator. Welcome to the NerdWallet Q2 2026 earnings call. Joining us today are co-founder and CEO, Tim Chen, and Chief Financial Officer John Lee. Our press release and shareholder letter are available on our Investor Relations website, and a replay of this update will also be available following the conclusion of today's call. We intend to use our Investor Relations website as a means of disclosing certain material information and complying with disclosure obligations under SEC Regulation FD from time to time.

As a reminder, today's call is being webcast live and recorded. Before we begin today's remarks and question and answer session, I would like to remind you that certain statements made during this call may relate to future events and expectations and, as such, constitute forward-looking statements. Actual results and performance may differ from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements as a result of various risks and uncertainties, including the risk factors discussed in reports filed or to be filed with the SEC. We urge you to consider these risk factors and remind you that we undertake no obligation to update the information provided on this call to reflect subsequent events or circumstances.

You should be aware that these statements should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Furthermore, during this call, we will present both GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures. A reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP measures is included in today's earnings press release, except where we are unable, without unreasonable efforts, to calculate certain reconciling items with confidence.

With that, I will now turn it over to Tim Chen, our co-founder and CEO. Tim?

02:24

Tim ChenChief Executive Officer

Thanks, Zach. We reported revenue of $197 million for the second quarter, up 6% year-over-year. Non-GAAP operating income, or NGOI, of $12 million was above the midpoint of our guidance range. We're in the middle of an AI transition that is changing how people get their answers to their money questions, making now an important time to check in on our long-term objectives. We are investing in building owned audiences by vertically integrating in some areas and by improving how we register and re-engage with users and others. While the story is still being written, we are confident because of the assets we have in place. a trusted brand, a large audience, healthy financials, and a strong team on an important mission.

The success we are seeing in vertical integration plays across our brokering and advisory business lines is giving us conviction to start investing incremental marketing dollars based on internal rate of return or IRR targets, rather than solely on in-quarter profitability. For the full year 2026, we expect to grow this incremental investment five-fold versus 2025. Despite the longer payback periods associated with these investments, the recurring nature of the relationships produce highly attractive IRRs. We continue to optimize for positive in-quarter profitability for most of our business lines, but in the future we envision extending these IRR-based investments more broadly across our business.

In our more traditional marketplace business we continue to deliver more relevant and personalized offers to consumers while helping financial institutions meet their growth objectives We are making it easier for consumers to find the financial products that best meet their needs. Product improvements unlocked significant volume growth in recent quarters, helping to drive the $12 million year-over-year increase in personal loans revenue delivered in the second quarter. Our relentless focus on efficiency is allowing us to stay nimble in this environment and to continue delivering solid profitability.

We also continue to generate strong free cash flow, enabling us to fund investments in our owned audience strategy while maintaining a strong balance sheet. And now, I will pass it over to John to cover our financial results in more detail.

04:43

John LeeChief Financial Officer

Thanks, Tim. As Tim mentioned, total revenue in Q2 was $197 million, up 6% year-over-year. Consumer revenue was $175 million, up 8% year-over-year, driven by personal loans and deposit accounts as consumer demand remained strong and financial institutions expanded budgets.

This was partially offset by a decline in consumer credit cards, primarily due to continued organic search headwinds. Our largest auto insurance carrier relationship has stabilized, but not yet returned to levels seen earlier in the year. As we continue to explore ways to grow with that carrier, we remain focused on scaling with other leading auto insurance carriers and expanding our in-house insurance agency, an example of our growth and owned audiences. SMB revenue was $22 million, down 11% year-over-year, driven primarily by organic search revenue declines in SMB products, partially offset by revenue growth in business loan originations.

Moving to profitability, Q2 GAAP operating income was $7 million, and NGOI was $12 million at a 6% margin, above the midpoint of our guidance range of $6 to $14 million. Q2 adjusted EBITDA was $23 million, in line with our guidance range of $19 to $27 million.

Turning to cash flow and capital allocation, our trailing 12-month adjusted free cash flow grew 100% year-over-year to $141 million, a new record. As a reminder, we were not a cash payer of federal corporate taxes during this period and received $9 million of tax refunds. We do not expect to be a federal corporate taxpayer in 2026, but expect to return to normalized corporate taxes in Q2 or Q3 of 2027.

During the quarter, we repurchased $23 million of Class A common stock, bringing our repurchases over the past 12 months to $160 million. Our Q2 weighted average diluted share count was down 14% year-over-year due to our share repurchase activity.

As of June 30th, we had $62 million of cash and cash equivalents, up from $56 million at the end of Q1, with $67 million remaining under our share repurchase authorization.

Turning to guidance, we expect to deliver third quarter revenue in the range of $244 to $260 million, up 17% year-over-year at the midpoint. In terms of profitability, we expect non-GAAP operating income in the range of $29 to $37 million. Our Q3 guidance reflects typical seasonality in our business, as well as expected tailwinds from regulatory changes in student loans and the impact of our college finance acquisition in February. As a result we expect our annual profitability to be more concentrated in the third quarter this year than in prior years For the full year we narrowing our NGOI expectation to a range of to million maintaining the midpoint of our previous guidance. This guidance includes $15 to $20 million NGOI impact from customer acquisition spend with payback periods beyond the current year.

At the midpoint, this spend implies an approximately five times increase year-over-year. We expect to continue generating meaningful adjusted free cash flow moving forward. From a capital allocation perspective, we'll continue to weigh organic investments, inorganic growth opportunities, and share repurchases against one another to maximize long-term shareholder value.

With that, we'll open up for Q&A.

Questions and answers

08:55

Thank you. As a reminder, to ask a question, you will need to press star 11 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw a question, please press star 11. Again, please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. Our first question comes from the line of Ralph Sharkart from William & Blair. Ralph, your line is now open.

09:28

Ralph SchackartAnalyst, William Blair

Great. Thanks for taking the question. In the script, you talked about stepping up the investment, I think, fivefold versus last year with longer payback duration. I guess what's giving you the confidence this investment is at the right time at this particular scale? And then maybe if you could provide some color on the new payback duration. I wasn't sure if you said more than one year. also in the prepared remarks, but in any color, you know, how you're thinking about the payback as well. Thank you.

09:55

Tim ChenChief Executive Officer

Yeah, I'm happy to take that. So with the investments we made in vertical integration, we're beginning to see cohorts of our consumers with high retention and recurring revenue. So tailoring our marketing spend to the stickier audiences on the basis of IR is a natural extension of our progression here, but we're still keeping a very high bar and tracking cohort performances in detail. And to us, it's really ultimately an LTV to CAC optimization over a longer period of time while using IR and payback period as guardrails. And from an IR target perspective, it's really a capital allocation question for us. We know what our free cash flow yields are today. We have a pretty good sense of what our M&A opportunities are, and these internal IR investments need to stack well against those opportunities for to have capital allocated against it.

Okay. And then just another question, just switching gears maybe to the LLM traffic and some of the SEO headwinds that you called out. just some perspective on you know just another quarter with the LL models how is that traffic converting you know you guys finding new workarounds just you know any color can add there as well great thank you yes this is Tim the traffic is converting well I mean I think intent is extremely high when someone is coming through an LLM in terms of wanting to transact in a marketplace it It continues to be a pretty small part of our business today, but it's definitely an area of investment and growth for us.

11:50

As a reminder, to ask a question, you will need to press star 11 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press star 11 again.

12:02

Michael InfanteAnalyst, Morgan Stanley

Our next question comes from the line of Michael Infante of Morgan Stanley Michael your line is now open Yeah hi guys Thanks for taking my question. Tim, I'd just get your thoughts on just the importance of distribution and the future with everything going on from an AI perspective. How much of that value do you think ultimately accrues to NerdWallet versus the platforms and anything you can share in terms of, you know, some of the underlying CAC trends that sort of gives you the confidence that you can continue to capture that over time?

12:42

Tim ChenChief Executive Officer

I think brand and reach are just an incredible asset. I mean, I think distribution is so important in this future state of the world. A lot is left to be determined. Obviously, the story is being written. but we've already entered a phase where you've got billions of weekly active users across major LLMs. Mass adoption is already taking place, right? And so I think a lot of the impact that we've already seen in terms of our educational content being affected the last three years has played out. I think we're starting to see what the future looks like. the importance of like that trusted brand when you're talking about offering marketplaces and high stakes financial guidance is really front and center.

And I just think we're really well positioned there. And then that does translate into CAC. You know, brands with higher trust are going to have advantages there. And so that's where our vertical integration strategy is really banking on. We think our distribution and our trust are going to give us a leg up there.

13:48

Michael InfanteAnalyst, Morgan Stanley

That's helpful. And then maybe just on, you know, just the SMB business and the corridor sort of down 11, those structural search headwinds sort of continuing, like, how should we be thinking about the path to recovery there? and or like if this is a business you ultimately want to continue to own and lean into incrementally relative to just investing more into the consumer vertical integration. Thanks, guys.

14:20

Tim ChenChief Executive Officer

I think about SMB as having two distinct parts. Part of it is the loan business. So that's more of a loan brokering operation with a highly, highly considered purchase on behalf of the small business owner. And then the other piece of the SMB business is more of our traditional business. I mean, we're recommending things like everything from credit cards to bank accounts to software.

So where we're really seeing headwinds year-over-year is on the non-loans part of the business, and loans is growing year-over-year. The loans business does have this dynamic of an owned audience that does come back to us over and over again over a number of years. So that's the part of the business that we continue to invest on from a brokering efficiency standpoint. And then in terms of the rest of that business, we really think about expanding our channels and improving our CRM.

So we're investing in both.

15:26

I'm showing no further questions at this time. I would now like to turn it back to management for closing remarks.

15:35

Tim ChenChief Executive Officer

Thanks, everyone, for your questions today. Looking ahead, we're going to remain focused on building owned audiences through vertical integration, registrations, and data-driven engagement. And with the assets and people we have in place, we're confident that NerdWallet will emerge from the AI transition as the most trusted consumer finance brand and the place people turn to for answers to their most important money questions. I look forward to updating you on our progress next quarter.

15:59

Thank you for your participation in today's conference. This does conclude the program. You may now disconnect.

Other Nerdwallet earnings calls

  • Q3 2026 earnings call

    Management framed the quarter as an execution miss in auto insurance, while emphasizing longer-term investment in owned audiences, vertical integration and AI.

    Nov 05, 2026Cautious-0.25

All Nerdwallet transcripts

About this transcript

The summary, guidance, analyst focus, and tone are automated and should be checked against the call before being relied on. Names and figures can be misheard. Listen to the replay.