Oshkosh's biggest risks in the FY2024 10-K
- Heavy reliance on U.S. government contracts like the 10-year USPS delivery vehicle agreement dominates risk exposure.
- Supply chain vulnerability stems from significant direct imports from Mexico, China, and Canada totaling $875 million in 2024.
- Acquisition integrations and cyclical access equipment markets heavily influence operational results.
The risks most specific to Oshkosh
- Business and Operational Risks
Our performance under the United States Postal Service (USPS) contract may not be what we expect
Our performance under the 10-year USPS contract for up to 165,000 Next Generation Delivery Vehicles may fall short of expectations, having reached 51,500 orders through December 31, 2024.
- Business and Operational Risks
The USPS ordering fewer units than we expect which could result in an impairment of our deferred contract asset
Scaling USPS production may take longer or cost more due to design changes, supplier quality issues, or workforce challenges, risking deferred contract asset impairment.
- Business and Operational Risks
Changes in trade policies and other factors beyond our control may adversely impact our results
We face direct import risks from significant 2024 sourcing volumes of approximately $600 million from Mexico, $175 million from China, and $100 million from Canada.
- Business and Operational Risks
Our dependency on contracts with U.S. and foreign government agencies subjects us to a variety of risks that could materially reduce our revenues or profits
Approximately 20% of our 2024 net sales were derived from the U.S. government, subjecting us to strict procurement regulations and budget uncertainties.
- Business and Operational Risks
We may not realize all of the anticipated benefits of our acquisitions
We may not realize anticipated benefits from recent acquisitions, including AeroTech in August 2023 and AUSA in September 2024.
- Financial Risks
We may experience losses in excess of our recorded reserves for doubtful accounts and guarantees of indebtedness of others
We held consolidated gross receivables of $1.3 billion and customer indebtedness guarantees of $596 million with a $96 million maximum exposure as of December 31, 2024.
- Financial Risks
An impairment in the carrying value of goodwill and other indefinite-lived intangible assets could negatively affect our operating results
Approximately 77% of our goodwill and indefinite-lived intangible assets were concentrated in the Access segment at December 31, 2024.
All 27 risk factors
Headings as the filing states them, in filing order.
Business and Operational Risks
- 01Our markets are highly cyclical. Declines in these markets could have a material adverse effect on our operating performance
- 02Our performance under the United States Postal Service (USPS) contract may not be what we expect
- 03The USPS ordering fewer units than we expect which could result in an impairment of our deferred contract asset
- 04Warranty costs may be higher than we anticipate
- 05Changes in trade policies and other factors beyond our control may adversely impact our results
- 06Fluctuations in prices of raw materials and other inputs may adversely impact our results
- 07We are dependent upon third-party suppliers, making us vulnerable to supply shortages and price increases
- 08Labor issues may adversely impact our results
- 09Our dependency on contracts with U.S. and foreign government agencies subjects us to a variety of risks that could materially reduce our revenues or profits
- 10We must spend significant sums on product development and testing, bid and proposal activities, and pre-contract engineering, tooling and design activities in competitions to have the opportunity to be awarded these contracts
- 11Certain of our U.S. government contracts could be delayed or terminated, and all such contracts expire in the future and may not be replaced, which could reduce revenues that we expect under the contracts and negatively affect margins in our Defense segment
- 12Our results could be adversely affected by severe weather, natural disasters, and other events in the locations in which we or our customers or suppliers operate
- 13Consolidation within our customer and dealer bases may impact our strategy, pricing and product margins
- 14Disruptions within our dealer network could adversely affect our business
- 15We face significant competition in the markets we serve
- 16We may not realize all of the anticipated benefits of our acquisitions
- 17If we are unable to continue to enhance existing products and develop new products that respond to customer needs and preferences, we may experience a decrease in demand for our products and our business could suffer
- 18We are subject to fluctuations in exchange rates associated with our non-U.S. operations that could adversely affect our results of operations and may significantly affect the comparability of our results between financial periods
- 19We may not be able to expand international operations or increase sales and profitability consistent with our growth targets
Financial Risks
- 20We are subject to changes in contract estimates
- 21We may experience losses in excess of our recorded reserves for doubtful accounts and guarantees of indebtedness of others
- 22An impairment in the carrying value of goodwill and other indefinite-lived intangible assets could negatively affect our operating results
- 23Financing costs and restrictive covenants in our current debt facilities could limit our flexibility in managing our business and increase our vulnerability to general adverse economic and industry conditions
- 24Additional liabilities relating to changes in tax rates or exposure to additional income tax liabilities could adversely impact our financial condition and cash flow
Cybersecurity Risks
- 25Increased cybersecurity threats and more sophisticated computer crime pose a risk to our systems, networks, operations, products and services
Legal and Regulatory Risks
- 26Our international sales and operations subject us to risks that may have a material adverse effect on our business
- 27We may be required to make material expenditures or incur additional liabilities to comply with changes in environmental laws or climate change regulations or to meet the increasing societal expectations on companies to address climate change
Other Oshkosh 10-Ks
- FY2025 10-K risk factors29 risks4 new2 dropped12 reworded
Tariffs are surging with 2026 costs estimated at $200 million. USPS contract costs exceed future profits by $135 million. Manufacturing capacity expansions and AI adoption create new operational risks.
Filed Feb 17, 2026
About this page
The headings are the filing's own. The one-line readings and the overview are automated and can be wrong: read Item 1A of the 10-K for the exact wording.