Summary
Management framed Q3 as a transition from 5G validation to commercial readiness, while acknowledging a production ramp that remains dependent on supply-chain execution.
- First 5G product revenue was small, but management emphasized successful sampling with lead customers and GoGo’s planned year-end activation.
- The call put shipment timing and supply preparation in focus, with wafer starts underway and PCB lead times lengthening.
- Management moved its adjusted EBITDA break-even expectation from Q2 2026 to Q3 2026.
Guidance
- Late Q4 2025 shipments: approximately 2,500 units, including units already shipped and backlog
- Q1 2026 supply: wafer starts expected to significantly increase supply
- Q1 2026 margins: expected to improve substantially as 5G sales contribute more significantly
- Q3 2026 adjusted EBITDA: management still anticipates possible break-even
- Q4 2026 operating cash flow: expected to turn positive
- $405G chipset ASP: around $40 remains a good average, with prices both above and below
What analysts pressed on
- 01Q4 shipment volume: management expects shipments in the approximately 2,500-unit range, including units already shipped and backlog.
- 02Customer expansion: additional backlog may arrive by quarter-end or during Q1, supporting Airspan and other sampled customers; no shipment volume was quantified.
- 03Adjusted EBITDA timing: management shifted anticipated break-even to Q3 2026 and expects positive operating cash flow in Q4.
- 04Pricing: customers are committing at prices both above and below $40, which management said remains a good average.
- 05Supply-chain readiness: management highlighted early wafer starts, testing and yield preparation, and assembly-house capacity; PCB lead times are already longer.
Notable disclosures
- GoGo’s field testing was expected to complete within a few weeks, with its launch timeline still aligned to year-end 2025.
- More than 2,500 chipset orders include units already shipped, rather than representing an entirely unshipped backlog.
- Adjusted EBITDA break-even timing moved from the previously discussed Q2 2026 timeframe to Q3 2026.
- Management disclosed PCB shortages and longer lead times, while saying accurate forecasting should make them manageable.
Risks raised
- Q3 gross margin was negative because low product revenue did not cover production overhead, with a $0.5 million write-down on slow-moving 4G LTE inventory.
- PCB shortages and longer lead times could complicate the production ramp if forecasting is insufficient.
- Service revenue declined as existing 5G development projects ended, while the company remained in a transition securing new projects.
- Commercialization depends on completing customer field testing and aligning manufacturing, testing, and assembly capacity with demand.
Tone: Positive 0.55
Management highlighted first 5G revenue, customer progress, and a planned launch, but acknowledged negative gross margin, delayed break-even, and supply-chain constraints.
Who spoke
Company
- John SchlaeferChief Executive Officer
- Edmond ChengChief Financial Officer
Analysts
- Craig EllisAnalyst, B. Riley Securities
Full transcript
Analyst questions are marked with a bar. Timestamps are into the recording.
Prepared remarks
Good afternoon. Thank you for attending GCT Semiconductor Holding, Inc's 3rd Quarter 2025 Financial Results Call. All lines will be muted during the presentation portion of the call with an opportunity for questions and answers at the end. Joining the call today are John Schlafer, GCT Chief Executive Officer, and Edmund Chang, CFO, to discuss the third quarter 2025 results. During this call, certain statements we make will be forward-looking. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, including those set forth in our Safe Harbor provision for forward-looking statements that can be found at the end of our earnings press release and also in our Form 10-Q that will be filed today, which provide further detail about the risks related to our business. Additionally, except for as required by law, we undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statements. And now I'll turn the call over to John Slaver. You may begin.
John SchlaeferChief Executive Officer
Thank you, and thanks to everyone for joining us today for our third quarter 2025 earnings call. I will focus my remarks on the operational milestones we achieved this quarter on our 2020 5G year of 5G program, while our CFO Edmund will discuss our third quarter financial disclosure in more detail. The third quarter was another important step forward for GCT as we continue to execute on our year of 5G. Most notably, we achieved a key milestone this quarter by recognizing our first 5G product revenue. While still small in dollar terms, it marks the first time our next generation technology has begun contributing to our top line, an early but important indicator. We also completed successfully sampling on our 5G chipset and modules to all our lead customers, which include AirSpan Networks and Orbic, as well as other well-known companies who are actively progressing through their evaluation processes and providing increasingly positive feedback.
This progress reflects the continued validation of our 5G platform across diverse customer applications, as well as growing confidence in the commercial readiness of our solution. One of the most meaningful developments this quarter came from GoGo, the first 5G network operator who publicly signaled full-service activation before a year-end 2025. This marks the first planned commercial deployment using GCT's 5G chipset and represents the first step in what we expect will be a broader multi-operator transition from chipset sampling to full customer activation.
GOGO has been progressing steadily through its field testing phase, which is expected to complete within a few weeks. Their system integration has validated our chipset performance in the demanding airborne environment, demonstrating the exceptional range and reliability of our 5G architecture. As part of this testing, our 5G chipset powered the first 5G air-to-ground call on Airspan's in-motion 5G platform, an industry-first achieved in collaboration with our customer Airspan and GoGo.
GoGo's deployment timeline remains aligned with our production schedule, and our program milestones are tracking to support their planned launch later this year. In parallel, we are now confidently moving forward to prepare our 5G product and production flow for the GoGo launch and subsequent launches that are expected to follow in 2026. Including the initial sample shipments to date, our 5G chipset orders have already exceeded 2,500 units. The early demand represents strong pull-through from lead customers and growing engagement from others prepared to follow GoGo's lead. We are working closely with our manufacturing partners to expedite shipments and ensure we can fulfill these orders as quickly as possible. Based on current production schedules, we remain on track to support these deliveries in late Q4 2025.
Importantly, the volumes already shipped are sufficient to support the first wave of aircraft installations, positioning us to scale as additional operators and network partners begin their own deployment cycles in 2026. To further support our efforts we also strengthened our financial position in the quarter by securing million in debt financing from our largest shareholder The net proceeds are providing additional capital to accelerate final production readiness supporting other working capital requirements and ensuring we fully prepared for the coming production ramp including the volume shipments that are expected to begin later this year Overall these milestones reflect a company that is executing steadily and methodically We are entering the later stages of commercial readiness with strong customer engagement, early production revenue, and strengthened balance sheet to support this next phase of growth.
As we look ahead to the fourth quarter and into 2026, our focus remains on scaling efficiently by ensuring our production operations, supply chain partners, and logistics are aligned to support the transition to volume production and sustained 5G sales. And with that, I'll turn the call over to Edmund to discuss our Q3 results.
Edmond ChengChief Financial Officer
Thank you, John. The third quarter represents a meaningful transition point for GCT as we record our first 5G product revenue. An important proof point in our commercialization path, while total revenue remains modest, this initial contribution from our 5G chipset underscores the tangible progress we are making toward broader adoption and accelerated production.
With that, I will now turn to our third quarter 2025 financial results. Further details can be found in the 10-Q that will be on fire with the SEC. Net revenues decreased from $2.6 million for the three months ended September 30, 2024, to $0.4 million for the three months ended September 30, 2025. The decline was largely driven by a decrease of $1.6 million in product sales. The prior year period included $1.5 million from the sales of our 5G platform to support the customer in shifting their product development priorities to our 5G products. Service revenues also decreased by $0.6 million, primarily due to the completion of existing 5G product development projects, while we are in a transitional phase in securing new projects.
Cost of net revenue increased by 0.5 million, or 50%, from 1 million for the three months ended September 30, 2024, to 1.5 million for the three months ended September 30, 2035. The increase in the cost of the net revenue was primarily due to additional production overhead costs and $0.5 million incremental write-down related to slow-moving 4G LTE inventory, partially offset by lower service costs. Our gross margin for the three months ended September 30, 2025, was negative and reflects the lower product revenue that is currently not sufficient to fully absorb production overhead costs. This makes our gross margin less indicative of the underlying profitability of our products and services. We expect margins to improve substantially as 5G product sales contribute more significantly to our overall revenue beginning in Q1, 2026.
Research and development expenses decreased by 1 million or 23 percent from 4.2 million for the three months ended September 30, 2024, to 3.3 million for the three months ended September 30, 2025. The reduction was largely due to a 1.2 million decrease in professional services related to the design of 5G chip products as this development project was completed in the second quarter of 2025, partially offset by a 2.2 million increase in personnel-related costs. Sales and marketing expenses were relatively flat year over year increasing 0 million from 0 million for the period ended September 30th 2024 to to management for the previous year The last year we have been talking about the last year the last year The last year we have been talking about the last year.
We ended the quarter with cash and cash equivalent of $8.3 million, as well as next accounts received, In the last few months, we have a lot of money receivable of $3.7 million and net inventory of $1.9 million. As John mentioned, in September of this year, we secured $10.7 million in senior secure debt financing from our largest shareholder. These net proceeds are being used to accelerate production readiness, manage other working capital, and support volume shipments. This financing completes our existing $200 million shelf registration, providing us with the flexibility to fund the next stage of the commercialization of our 5G chip set. With this, I will turn it back over to John.
John SchlaeferChief Executive Officer
John McClure Thanks, Edmund. In summary, the third quarter reflected continued progress on all fronts, from technical validation and customer engagement to early 5G revenue and strength and liquidity. Our focus now is on completing production readiness, supporting customer launches, and ensuring we execute efficiently as we enter the next stage of 5G commercialization. I want to thank our employees, partners, and shareholders for their ongoing support and commitment. We're pleased with the steady progress we're making and look forward to building on this momentum in the quarters ahead.
I will now turn the call back over to the operator who will assist us in taking your questions.
Questions and answers
Certainly. Ladies and gentlemen, if you do have a question at this time, please press star 11 on your telephone. If your question has been answered and you'd like to remove yourself from the queue, simply press star 11 again. Our first question comes from the line of Craig Ellis from V. Riley Securities. Your question, please.
Craig EllisAnalyst, B. Riley Securities
Yeah, thanks for taking the questions, and congratulations on moving 5G ahead, guys. John, I wanted to start just getting a better sense for the volumes that might ship later this year. I think the press release noted orders for 4,500 units. Is that what you'd expect to ship in Redbrec in the fourth quarter, Or are you expecting a materially larger amount?
John SchlaeferChief Executive Officer
Yeah, so I think the price release indicates that the total orders received so far is around 2,500 units. And we should be able to – I mean, that's stuff that we've already shipped as well as what's on backlog that we'll ship this quarter. So it's in that range. And that's what we're expecting right now.
Craig EllisAnalyst, B. Riley Securities
Got it. Okay. So we'll be able to ship a small volume to ORBIC and Airspan, and it sounds like go-go, this quarter. Can you talk a little bit more about how that might evolve when we get into the first quarter? In the past, we've talked about a European equipment customer. Would you expect to be broadening shipments to those that are starting to take product in 4Q and 1Q? And can you help us understand how the customer base might broaden further as you get into the first quarter?
John SchlaeferChief Executive Officer
Yeah, yeah. So we have started asking more wafers already that will, you know, significantly increase our supply into Q1. The backlog that we have right now is what I've indicated already. We do expect that within Q1 or certainly within Q1 and perhaps by the end of this quarter we have more backlog that we be supporting actually Q1 and it will be for continuing on with airspans demand as well as other customers that we talked about that we been sampling Got it.
Craig EllisAnalyst, B. Riley Securities
And this may be more of a question for Edmund. Edmund, I think we had previously been looking for adjusted EBITDA break-even in the 2Q26 timeframe. Can you talk about the confidence in the business's ability to get there, and what are some of the things that we can look to that will help indicate that that or another date would be the time that we get to that key milestone?
Edmond ChengChief Financial Officer
Great. Thank you so much for the question. And although we have not been publishing our adjusted EBITDA, but internally we have been checking our adjusted EBITDA trend, and for the last three quarters the trend was quite stable from that perspective. And with that trend and with the anticipated scale production And sales ramp into the second half of next year. We are still anticipating that we might be able to have a break-even adjusted EBITDA in Q3 next year and starting to have a more positive cash flow in terms of operations in Q4 next year.
Craig EllisAnalyst, B. Riley Securities
Okay, that's helpful. And then one other detail is we get to the point where we're starting to ship to customers who have placed orders. How are you finding that pricing is holding up? I think we've historically thought there would be that very significant increase to around $40 ASPs. Is that what you're seeing customers commit to, or are there gives and takes, and if so, to what extent?
John SchlaeferChief Executive Officer
We're seeing prices above that. We're seeing prices below that, but I think that that still serves as a good average.
Craig EllisAnalyst, B. Riley Securities
Okay, that's helpful, John. And then there was mention made of doing things to ready the supply chain for higher volume production. Can you just identify the top two or three things that you've got your eye on as we look to bring our 5G chips to customers in more significant volume as we exit this year and move into 26?
John SchlaeferChief Executive Officer
Yeah, I think those things would be the longest lead time, of course, is fab. So, having wafers start fab as early as possible to support that sort of a ramp. So that's begun. And we'll continue to do that as we move forward to support the increased demand. The other thing is to make sure that we've got our testing in place so that we can yield properly and efficiently. And then the other thing would be to actually prep our assembly house for the demands that are coming. We're starting to see a little bit of shortage in the marketplace and longer lead times for PCBs. And so as long as we are forecasting properly, that shouldn't be a big problem, and we should be able to actually manage that.
Craig EllisAnalyst, B. Riley Securities
Got it. Okay, well, thanks for taking all the questions, and good luck, guys.
John SchlaeferChief Executive Officer
Thank you, Craig.
Thank you. Once again, ladies and gentlemen, if you do have a question at this time, please press star 11 on your telephone. And this does conclude the question and answer session as well as today's program. Thank you ladies and gentlemen for your participation. You may now disconnect. Good day.
Other GCT Semiconductor Holding earnings calls
- Q2 2026 earnings call
Management framed Q2 as a commercialization step, emphasizing broader customer applications and shipment growth while attributing results chiefly to customer deployment timing.
Aug 10, 2026Mildly positive0.35 - Q1 2026 earnings call
Management framed Q1 as an early commercialization step, emphasizing customer progress while cautioning that deployment timing and service revenue remain uneven.
May 12, 2026Mildly positive0.35 - Q4 2025 earnings call
Management framed 2025 as an inflection from development to early commercialization, while stressing that customer schedules still limit revenue visibility.
Mar 25, 2026Positive0.55
Done reading? Open GCT Semiconductor Holding with the chart, filings, and estimates next to this call.
About this transcript
The summary, guidance, analyst focus, and tone are automated and should be checked against the call before being relied on. Names and figures can be misheard. Listen to the replay.