6. Options and the volatility desk

Value and payoff at expiry

An option's price is what it is worth if used right now (intrinsic value) plus a bet on the future (time value), and at expiry only the first part is left.

  • 5 min
  • 3 questions
  • Lesson 2 of 5

Why you would care

Two calls on the same stock, one costs $6.21 and one costs $1.17. Why? And why does a cheap option lose value even when the stock does not move? The answer is these two parts.

The idea from scratch

In, at and out of the money

Compare the strike to today's stock price. Stock at $100:

OptionStrikeNameWhy
Call95in the moneyYou could buy at 95 something worth 100
Call100at the moneyStrike equals price
Call105out of the moneyBuying at 105 what is worth 100 makes no sense
Put105in the moneyYou could sell at 105 something worth 100

Intrinsic value and time value

Intrinsic value is what the option would be worth if you used it this second. For a call it is stock minus strike (never below zero). For a put it is strike minus stock.

Time value is whatever the premium pays on top. It pays for the chance that the stock moves your way before expiry.

Illustrative numbers: stock $100, 30 days left, volatility 25%, rate 4%.

Call strikePremiumIntrinsicTime value
956.215.001.21
1003.020.003.02
1051.170.001.17

The at-the-money call has the most time value: it is the one where the future matters most. The 95 call is mostly "real" value.

Time value shrinks every day and is zero at expiry. That melting is what the Greek called theta measures (next lesson).

Gloom screenshot: A call's value today versus at expiry
A call's value today versus at expiry

Profit at expiry

At expiry, only intrinsic value is left. Your profit is that value minus what you paid.

You buy a call, strike 100, premium 3 (illustrative, per share):

Stock at expiryCall is worthYour profit per sharePer contract (x100)
900-3-$300
1000-3-$300
10330$0
11010+7+$700

Your breakeven is strike plus premium: 103. Below the strike you lose exactly the premium, never more. Above breakeven you gain without a ceiling.

The seller sees the same table flipped: they keep the 3 if the stock stays below 100, and lose more the higher it goes.

Gloom screenshot: Profit at expiry for buying and selling a call and a put
Profit at expiry for buying and selling a call and a put

Four shapes cover most of options. Green is profit, red is loss. Buyers have a floor; sellers have a cap on gains.

See it in Gloom

Gloom screenshot: A payoff chart in OSA
A payoff chart in OSA: white curve today, amber V at expiry

Look at the two lines. The amber V is the profit at expiry: sharp corner, only intrinsic value. The white curve is the profit on a scenario date before expiry. The gap between them is time value.

open ittype OSA AAPL. OSA is the strategy analyzer (full lesson). This example position holds two options, which is why the shape is a V on both sides.

  1. Amber line. Profit if you hold to the expiry date shown above the chart.
  2. White line. Profit on the "Selected" date. At the bottom of the V it sits above the amber line: time value still left.
  3. Breakevens. The header lists where profit crosses zero.
  4. Max loss and max profit. The header says how bad and how good it can get.

Practice and recap

Try it3 tasks
  1. In the table above, what is the call's profit at 100? Why not zero? (It is -3: the premium is gone.)
  2. Using the 105 call (premium 1.17), where is breakeven at expiry? (106.17.)
  3. Draw a put's version: strike 100, premium 3. Where does it break even? (97.)
Common mistakes3 mistakes
  • Thinking "in the money" means "profitable". A call with strike 95 bought at 6.21 needs the stock above 101.21 to profit.
  • Ignoring the 100x multiplier when reading profit.
  • Forgetting that selling an option also has a payoff: small fixed gain, large possible loss.
Check yourself3 questions
  1. Stock is 50. What is the intrinsic value of a put with strike 55?
  2. You buy a call for 2 with strike 40. Where is breakeven at expiry?
  3. What happens to time value on the last day?
Answers
  1. 55 - 50 = 5.
  2. 42.
  3. It goes to zero. Only intrinsic value remains.
Words in this lesson7 words
in the money
An option that would have value if used now
at the money
Strike about equal to the stock price
out of the money
An option with no value if used now
intrinsic value
What using the option now would be worth
time value
Premium minus intrinsic value: the price of the chance
breakeven
The stock price where profit is zero
payoff
Profit or loss at expiry for each stock price

Educational material about reading market data, not investment advice.